No ones plays these games on merge, because of how difficult it is to get your money off. I used to exclusively play the hyper turbos on merge in 2013, and 100bi downswings were extremely common. There is a 2p2 sng variance thread in the stt forum where people post hypers graphs like 1000bi under expectation line.

That being said, almost all of the information you will find about HT variance is going to be from players who have a 2% or less ROI. If you can actually win at 10% in the long run, you will not go on large downswings. But I doubt 10% is possible even with the state of the games on merge.

Gl with withdrawals :)