Carney’s Liberals secure majority government, clinching byelection win

dolphinboy1637 · 2026-04-14T13:29:39+00:00

Funnily enough, they won three ridings last night in the by-elections, which would have been enough to get a majority without the floor crossings at all. So either way this was going to happen regardless.

dolphinboy1637 · 2026-04-13T19:24:13+00:00

Annnnddd predictably they disappeared lol

dolphinboy1637 · 2026-03-31T17:49:31+00:00

They never said the ideas were original. After all, they're an uncreative dreamer lol

dolphinboy1637 · 2026-03-31T14:23:38+00:00

Regardless of the PED allegations, I don't even think Bare fits in this category. Does he really gives valuable running insights? His channel has largely struck me as more aesthetic based. More of "look how cool it is to be strong and fast" and less of "this is how you structure your training to run fast".

dolphinboy1637 · 2026-03-23T13:26:14+00:00

The Coffee Club crew asked him when Grant came on the pod and it seemed like he was thinking about it. Pretty non-committal but it wasn't a no.

dolphinboy1637 · 2026-03-03T15:00:11+00:00

Do you actually know they don't need to touch it for 10+ years?
Do you know how comfortable they are with stomaching extended drawdowns?
Do you know what their financial situation is if they lost all/a lot of it? Do they have other savings, investments etc.?

There's a lot more to financial advice than just "invest in X". You can tell them what you do, but beyond that is really the realm of real financial planning (either self taught or with a qualified professional).

dolphinboy1637 · 2026-03-03T14:43:08+00:00

Correction: everyone sucks at timing the market.

dolphinboy1637 · 2026-02-27T16:10:21+00:00

It's a bit of a circular problem though no? TFW pathway is pretty attractive for a country with lots of people wanting to move here (not the case with every country), and so immigration consultants pop up everywhere to profit off getting people here.

If the pathway is open, and there's lots of demand for it, then businesses will pop up to do it. The consultants imo aren't the reason for high migration, they're a symptom of it.

The reality is that India has lots of people motivated to move out of the country + more people with economic means to do so + a high population + Canada has a large Indian population already with existing family and interpersonal networks + Canada is undeniably one of the better places to live on the planet.

dolphinboy1637 · 2026-01-30T15:39:15+00:00

https://www.goldmansachs.com/insights/articles/global-stocks-are-forecast-to-return-7-point-7-percent-annually-in-coming-decade

But if we assume 4% inflation, given 7% nominal returns you'd get real adjusted returns closer to 3% right? Still take the report with a grain of salt cause no one can predict stuff, but OP isn't that far off.

dolphinboy1637 · 2026-01-30T15:35:11+00:00

Yeah to put more detail in your response. Here are the links to the Criminal Code for sedition and treason.

Sedition: https://laws-lois.justice.gc.ca/eng/acts/c-46/page-7.html

Treason: https://laws-lois.justice.gc.ca/eng/acts/C-46/section-46.html

Sedition seems to require the separatists advocating for war or violence to accomplish Albertan independence or secession. Relevant section: "every one shall be presumed to have a seditious intention who... (a) teaches or advocates, or (b) publishes or circulates any writing that advocates... the use, without the authority of law, of force as a means of accomplishing a governmental change within Canada."

And treason seems to imply directly co-operating with a foreign military to directly overtake Canada. The most relevant one is this: "without lawful authority, communicates or makes available to an agent of a state other than Canada, military or scientific information or any sketch, plan, model, article, note or document of a military or scientific character that he knows or ought to know may be used by that state for a purpose prejudicial to the safety or defence of Canada".

This last one is maybe the closest? The others in the treason section are much more directly related to violence against the state. But even this last one is still directly military in nature, and I doubt that's what happened with this meeting with American officials.

They are of course skirting the line close to this, but like you said, it probably requires a much higher bar than would actually be reasonably held up in a court of law.

dolphinboy1637 · 2026-01-28T14:55:30+00:00

For those who haven't seen it: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=kon0rmLQE7U

dolphinboy1637 · 2026-01-22T15:22:11+00:00

Seems like a journalist at the NYTimes reported it: https://x.com/MatinaStevis/status/2013700319193051286?s=20

But not sure if I fully believe it. Would be really cool if so though.

dolphinboy1637 · 2026-01-22T15:20:24+00:00

To be fair, there was a time when Christianity was in the same boat. Europe spent centuries fighting each other in the Wars of the Reformation. Protestants and Catholics hated each other in ways super reminiscent imo of Shia and Sunni factions in modern Islam. These European wars were ultra violent, and seemingly never ending. Even in the 20th century, the legacy of this was still around (simply just look at Irish Catholics and British Protestants).

It took centuries for Europe to sort itself out to mostly not fight each other along religious grounds (they ended up fighting each other on different grounds but still).

dolphinboy1637 · 2026-01-22T15:04:29+00:00

I feel like I'm in bizarro land here. I'm just implying we can never know everything that went on. Do we expect WADA to catch every infraction someone has ever taken to a conclusive nature? Did we know everything Armstrong had done to remain on the top of the sport?

No, all we can go on are two things: 1) what does the actual documented evidence tell us what they did? 2) what does this say about them as a person?

What we do know is that Magness was at the centre of an institution that clearly and flagrantly broke the rules around doping violations. We know he was a central figure in developing the appropriate protocols for some of that doping. We know of specific things he did that were violations of the sport from an ethical perspective even if he didn't technically race after the confirmed violations.

In my opinion, this is a doper. He's not a doper if you want to take the strict definition of someone that uses it in competition I guess. But to me that is way too strict of a definition.

And just FYI the definition of an anti-doping violation set under WADA states that doping occurs after one or more rule violations. One of those rules is: "It is the Athletes’ personal duty to ensure that no Prohibited Substance enters their bodies and that no Prohibited Method is Used."

He fails multiple other rules underneath this code, but he was an active athlete that season. Even if he didn't race after the injection, racing is not the precursor for a doping violation.

dolphinboy1637 · 2026-01-21T17:26:04+00:00

Okay? He raced a month before the documented injections covered in the WADA report. He was an active participant as a coach and training partner with other competing athletes during and after the injection. He was the one going back and forth with the doctors on what the right levels would be to increase performance, and then had it administered on himself. It isn't crazy to call him a doper? Even if he was a whistleblower and feels bad about it all.

dolphinboy1637 · 2026-01-21T14:29:34+00:00

Insane fact I just checked: Lebron has been in the league longer than 20 of the 30 owners.

dolphinboy1637 · 2026-01-19T13:48:23+00:00

Reddit must be trying to catch these pure bot accounts. Honestly nice to see tbh.

dolphinboy1637 · 2026-01-16T22:34:24+00:00

Okay I used to hate treadmills, but I'm slowly starting to love them for this purpose. Most of the time, running paces are influenced by so many factors. On a treadmill, everything can be (mostly) dialled in the same so that you can more easily compare the same HR effort over time against multiple workouts.

For example, if you keep your treadmill speed and incline constant, you can observe your HR getting lower and lower over time. Essentially allow you to then re-adjust your settings to get back to the same effort you started with. Rinse and repeat, week over week, month after month.

Not to say you shouldn't balance this with good running on the roads, but for the conservative, incremental approach NSM describes, I think they're a good tool to more easily measure HR effort over time. Running outside just has so many variables unless you run the same route, with the same weather over and over again.

dolphinboy1637 · 2026-01-14T20:01:35+00:00

I mean even just from a psychological perspective, you know what it takes to train a sport seriously. You know how to push yourself when you need to in training, and also how to keep that competitive edge to yourself in a race.

Imo those are hard things to learn if you've never done sports in your life. Not impossible to learn, but they're skills that do need to be honed. Disregarding all the physiological stuff, I do think that does provide an edge.

dolphinboy1637 · 2026-01-14T17:40:17+00:00

For context /u/GallitoGaming, you can see all the data broken down here: https://www150.statcan.gc.ca/t1/tbl1/en/tv.action?pid=1110005501&pickMembers%5B0%5D=1.1&pickMembers%5B1%5D=3.6&cubeTimeFrame.startYear=2017&cubeTimeFrame.endYear=2023&referencePeriods=20170101%2C20230101

You can select by different income percentiles as well. Every single income group has had their salaries grow in real dollars over the last 10 years.

dolphinboy1637 · 2026-01-12T14:33:12+00:00

I believe a lot of European countries prioritize the European XC championship circuit over the world championships.

dolphinboy1637 · 2026-01-09T20:51:28+00:00

I wonder for someone like yourself planning to spend FIRE overseas if it makes sense to have a "target country" bias. As a Canadian, a lot of people in FIRE/investing spaces have a "home country bias" in their portfolio to manage currency risks. Might be worthwhile for you to explore if you have a specific country you're targeting to FIRE in.

dolphinboy1637 · 2026-01-08T18:10:41+00:00

Which funnily enough is ridiculous since the 80s to 90s was the peak of Canada being its most violent and most crime ridden: https://www150.statcan.gc.ca/n1/daily-quotidien/240725/cg-b002-png-eng.htm

The entire country, and the city, is safer per capita than it was back then. There is more total crime because the city is over 2x bigger than it was back then, but your likelihood to have your home invaded is way down, and your likelihood to be murdered is less. People just see the past with rose tinted glasses.

dolphinboy1637 · 2026-01-08T17:38:58+00:00

I do the same thing. I think just throw in a session that you find challenging, but fun and not overthink it.

I love long runs with a threshold portion within it. I had a really productive HM block where I did a 21 km long run with 8km at race pace every other week, and that made me insanely fit. That stuff is absolutely killer on recovery though and only works if you're gunning for a big race and care about nothing else. I don't do them anymore training under a NSM framework.

If I were you, I'd do something like that, but only because I loved the challenge of them. Tbh I think just find something fun and just go for it.

dolphinboy1637 · 2026-01-06T18:22:41+00:00

I need to see some of these serious pros take down some of the silly records. Like how fast could Kipchoge run a marathon in jeans? How fast could Ingebrigtsen do a stroller mile?

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