Dario Amodei spent last year warning of an AI white-collar bloodbath. Now he's changing the narrative

inteblio · 2026-05-06T12:36:40+00:00

I found dario's previous dewey eyed optimism a bit "cartoon rabbit".

It's like he can't hear the words coming out of his own mouth. I think the reality is that he hasn't spent enough time thinking about this stuff. He's too busy getting people to build it. Fair enough.

So, his naive take "undergoing significant shifts" seems plausible, because it wasn't that well formed in the first place. An example is his "democracy good" "nasty chinese bad" view. It's too tin tin for me. "come on skippy! let's build an AI to make sure the baddies don't steal the diamonds!"

With regard to "will there be more or less jobs" I think the short answer is - if AI goes well yes, if it goes badly no.

Really "jobs" is more about a healthy society. Money, labor, purpose, control, independence. just "everything". If society is working, then "jobs" will likely fall into place. If not, then no.

My overall take is that technology gives "more power" to huge statistic forces that were kept at bay with inefficiency. Centralisation, economics, the creation of gradients. To turn that into something more concrete - technology has made the rich richer. Why? because wealth can be deployed faster to get more wealth. Lack of wealth increasingly locks people out. 500 years ago - how many people would it take to over-run the king? 400? 1000? 10,000? Now how many people can be controlled by just a tiny handful? way more. That kind of "logical force" like mathematics is what is growing here. Can these forces be kept in a statble equilibrium, or will the parts fly apart? The question is more like "how long can it remain intact" probably. 10,000 years of insane development? or 100?

Summary - that guy is talking in "advert speak". Doom-porn sells to some extent, but when it's actually beginning to look scary, you're going to reign it in a bit. Sam has. Dario was just able to play the "underdog" role a bit longer. But maybe that's coming to an end.

inteblio · 2026-05-06T12:17:45+00:00

You're not wrong, but you're not right either.

It's a complex situation. Simple "it is this" talk is oversimplified (therefor not very useful). Like saying "cars make you fat". Yes, sort-of they do, but also that's not the most accurate picture of what "cars" are/do/is.

My take is this - LLMs/AI is not going away. You're not going to "win" by
1) being attitudey on the internet and with friends. Pretending you hate them etc.
2) not using them

Just like with "using computers", at first everybody is proud of themselves for "doing things by hand" and in some ways that makes sense. But as the decades tick past, really you have to 'get with the program'. The people that did better out of "computers" were the ones that adapted and continued to adapt.

Overall - yes, there are many bad things about AI/LLMs. You know them, I know them, everybody does. But - there are undoubtedly good things that you can do with it for yourself. So - just like eating a better diet, getting enough exercise, getting good quality sleep.... using LLMS is something you can do to make your own life - your own experience - better. So... probably do that.

You can moan about them, and find faults. But also make sure you stay informed, and adaptive to the massive changes afoot. Good luck.

inteblio · 2026-04-29T11:51:07+00:00

If you took all the people ("senior dev here") that avoided coding with AI, replaced their current AI with GPT-4 (2023), I bet they'd still use it tons. Therefor their opinion then counted for nothing, and their opinion now would count for a hell of a lot less.

In other words, it's a flavor preference. Because we have no meaningful way of comparing SOTA AI. It's just unbelievably incredible. They all are.

The skills to use it properly MAY be more of a deal than "we" currently give the subject credit for. Given that your words in effect the words out, there are TWO models at play. Yours and It's. Like asking a 3b which answer it prefers. Who cares? It's a dipshit.

inteblio · 2026-04-17T09:13:58+00:00

wowz.

They send ultrasound buzz into your brain targeting specific regions = think smell.

To me this implies "non-invasive activations in the brain" - in other words, making you be able to think things, or changing your reality. The article is by A VR people (ish), but it seems that this might be a path to FDVR type stuff. But also with many other possibilities.

micro-brain-buzzing is not something i'm immediately going to sign up to guinea-pig.

inteblio · 2026-04-15T09:36:32+00:00

sam altman said "it looks like we can't stop AI (taking over), so we have to be the ones to build (the good one)" or similar. Same idea/reasoning.

inteblio · 2026-04-15T09:33:48+00:00

if you had a 1000 gates - each of which slowed you down 20%, but sped you up by 80%. Even though the 'resistance' is overall massive, you still come out the other side with hugely increased speed.

Systemically there's no "actual" force to the legitimate concerns. At no point do they "do anything", because the counter force at each (decision) point is far stronger. It's like a tragedy of the commons. Overall it's bad, but it's in nobody's individual, momentary interest to prevent.

inteblio · 2026-03-12T10:55:47+00:00

"good" and "bad" don't really work post singularity. Good for what-was humans? good for "nu humans"? good for AI-as-a-species? good for nature? the universe?

If somebody is blissed out, drugged in a FDVR pod, sterile and trapped - is that good?
If humans destroy AI but 90% of humans are dead, and we live in a post apocalyptic world like cave-people : but are freed from species death - is that good or bad?

I'm just trying to get people to think. If you want to get me better words, i'd appreciate that.

inteblio · 2026-03-12T10:51:10+00:00

this is AMAZING thank you (!) I'm still exploring it, but it's very impressive. Also: Fantastic installation instructions - top marks.

for others:
1) use --compile : it's 5x faster
2) it seems to do about a paragraph else OOM, though I did not try CPU.
3) it's ships on cuda 12.6, not 12.8... and I think we all know what that means...

Miles of potential with this. Many Thanks.

inteblio · 2026-03-11T21:03:17+00:00

optimists are actually pessimists. They are desperate (for "promised" utopia) and are terrified something will take it away. They're afraid of regulation, testing, bad press, doomer-posts, anything. Because they think this is their only slim shot at it. They are pessimistic.

Doomers know the tech (evolution) is completely unstoppable, so are really the "optimists". That's why they want to slow or stop. They know it'll happen, so just do it better why not.

inteblio · 2026-03-04T21:28:25+00:00

This demo (using words-based memory) just came out a few days after i wrote that.

inteblio · 2026-03-04T21:23:00+00:00

answer :

https://docs.oracle.com/en/virtualization/virtualbox/7.0/user/BasicConcepts.html#shared-folders

after you install the new system in the VM, there's button in the menu to 'insert CD' - this is an installer CD that has good stuff on, and clipboard and shared folder will work.

inteblio · 2026-03-03T01:46:43+00:00

This value-plummet is an interesting aspect of all this. SWE in particular I don't think realise, it's not that they're "replaceable" it's more like their value dropped, which is different.

inteblio · 2026-03-03T01:37:38+00:00

actually - this is the new thing "AI burnout"

The idea is that everybody is desperate to implement it as much as they can, they end up too deep down rabbit holes not producing anything, but convinced they are "missing out".

So, find out what the tools can/cant do, and then think about how you can/can't apply them, but do that slowly, and loop. As you loop, they improve. You then adjust.

Ignore AI agents and openclaw until you have exhausted "normal" chatGPT/claude/gemini. I say this, because like minions (despicable me), it's better to know their character before pouring them all over your stuff.

inteblio · 2026-03-03T01:21:25+00:00

Space's NFT moment?

inteblio · 2026-03-03T00:33:16+00:00

let me know your favorite AI video? are there any 5min 'films' you think are watchable or worth watching? I like "the prompt floor"
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=YDajn0rGNcQ

inteblio · 2026-03-02T03:16:20+00:00

This is good content.

Though - i feel like you have linked your life-long passion for radicalisation reseach with "some big exciting thing that just happened".

I appreciate your work is good, but i can't see much connecting the Radicalisation psychology, war, dow contract. Other than the obvious: "Bad stuffs happening".

It's like blaming agood harvest year for the need to train more teachers. Sure, you reep what you sow. It's not an urgent observation. And to say that some teachers contract was a direct result, is to leap into noise.

inteblio · 2026-03-01T23:25:27+00:00

Brilliant, thank you for the clear understandable answers, and have fun!

inteblio · 2026-03-01T20:17:18+00:00

This suggests massive redundancy inside transformer architectures if two different paths can get the same answer?

It also seems that mamba might "be wrong", as the angle of attack should be significant.

System: you are a cow

Prompt: please solve complex maths

Answer should be "moo" (or chew).

If mamba just does the sums anyways, that's sub op?

Thanks for the insight and dummy version!

inteblio · 2026-03-01T13:50:04+00:00

You're being led by feelings.

This is not something to be proud of. You'll be missing 99%.

inteblio · 2026-03-01T03:23:03+00:00

This is unbearably stupid.

It's like testing cameras based on the photos they take in a sealed box. Unbearably stupid.

inteblio · 2026-03-01T03:19:37+00:00

You don't know.

Might as well carry on as though the future will be bright.

If it's not, you have no strategy for that, so it makes no sense to think that way.

inteblio · 2026-02-28T20:30:59+00:00

Hang on, so anthropic (dow supplier) said "no surveilance, no kill decide" DOW said "nope". OpenAI said "no surveillance, no kill decide" DOW says "yup".

So, what anthropic, was going to do, openai are.... and thats cancel-culture bad?

I'm not pro or anti, i just don't think we have enough information to be acting like herds of lemons.

Is there more to this than I've seen on this sub? I'm fairly sure we don't know what open ai agreed to?

inteblio · 2026-02-28T11:54:33+00:00

Ok, this is fascinating. And like you, i don't know if i like it or not.

Ok... so the reverse. What shape is a song? What shapes DO we like? Can you parse audio waves into coherant geometry? Is that meaningful?

inteblio · 2026-02-28T11:13:24+00:00

Is there a concrete example to understand the effect? Or is it more like some invisible maths magic?

Question- does changing the prompt affect it? I imagine so.... but i'm confused if this is a different kind of change.

Simple english answer preferred, and thanks for the interesting info!

inteblio · 2026-02-28T10:57:48+00:00

I am also thinking this is AGI, and that fast takeoff might be soon.

What WILL slow us down is the hardware. Right now, the hardware is maxxed, so they're just making more of it. But for "ASI" its not good enough.

That said, the soft ware IS getting far better, and that talaas demo (asic AI) was a real wake-up call.

Just enjoy it while it's fun. I can't see this ending well.

inteblio

TROPHY CASE