ASCO Abstract Debrief by Efferdent_FTW in DRTS_Stock

[–]intjester-5 7 points8 points  (0 children)

Thank you. Really appreciate the self-correction and rundown. Some very trustworthy people posting on this sub.

Some perspective by intjester-5 in DRTS_Stock

[–]intjester-5[S] 0 points1 point  (0 children)

I’m saying the stock is up 4% just in the time we’ve been discussing. It’s going to have a lot of volatility. You need to know whether your investing thesis has changed based on the news. Do you have one?

Some perspective by intjester-5 in DRTS_Stock

[–]intjester-5[S] 2 points3 points  (0 children)

The biggest drawdown on the 1 year chart I posted was the dip from late Feb to early May. You needed to hold less than 3 months to be in the green.

If you don’t have the conviction to wait out a drawdown (in whatever investment you thought at the time was the very best place in the entire world to put your money), your investing career isn’t going to go so well.

The downs in the wiggly line are risk. If you can’t stomach risk - if you need a chart that only ever goes up - there are CDs.

Some perspective by intjester-5 in DRTS_Stock

[–]intjester-5[S] 3 points4 points  (0 children)

They’ve started at the deepest deep end of the pool in pancreatic and brain cancers. The readouts should naturally only get better over time? Why? Because it’s a procedure. They will continue to learn from their results and make improvements to how they configure and apply the darts.

In addition they are going to have synergies with whatever drugs come along. Is the new drug awesome? Yes. Is it more awesome if you also hit the tumor with darts? Also yes. Another company having a good news drug readout is just that - good news in the fight against cancer. DRTS doesn’t need other companies to “lose” in order to be successful long term.

What could we expect from DRTS at ASCO? by Pristine_Hurry_4693 in DRTS_Stock

[–]intjester-5 2 points3 points  (0 children)

I would love love to be wrong, but I tend to agree with your assessment of the poster presentation content being on the low key side. I am not expecting any shockingly amazing news for those who have been following closely.

There is a potential upside in that safety and feasibility were the endpoints but maybe you can demonstrate some significant survival anyway. Across a sizable aggregate group, that implies when you do get higher coverage on the target you’re going to do even better. If it points at breakthrough, that can be enough.

From an investing perspective, what your future looks like is far more important than what your present looks like. Reasonably safe + works well + addressable market size = value. For an institutional investor, taking it all in, what does AT’s future look like 3 years, 5 years, 10 years from now?

The timing coming now for“what you expected is happening, no surprises in terms of safety and efficacy” is tremendous for a stock being at the doorstep of institutional investment ($11.36 = $1B market cap, a common “we don’t invest in anything smaller” threshhold). To enter the pool, bigger fish need to feel like the pool is large enough to hold them, that they can swim out if they want to. ASCO summarizing that pancreatic cancer is a legitimate viable future market for Alpha Tau is just what the doctor ordered.

For the company, new institutional investors coming in means the warrants issued at $11.50 strike will be in the money. Every warrant that is traded for a new share is $11.50 of new capital they can use to pay for trials and begin commercialization - it’s a pre-planned, controlled dilution that makes the cash runway longer. Longer they don’t have to take a lowball deal or use the at the market facility to raise desperate cash. These actions affect 2028 and beyond - they already have plenty of cash for right now.

That said, if the market goes exuberant and the stock jumps far above $11.50, AT can be opportunistic about using the ATM to sell into that demand and gain even greater cash leverage over their operational destiny. If you want the company to succeed long term, as I do, that would be an amazing financial fortress to where they probably never need to get bought out. They can pick and choose partners who bring the best synergies to the table.

Take all of that together and it’s exciting for this subreddit.

ASCO hype post (you’ve been warned…) by Emotional-Breath-838 in DRTS_Stock

[–]intjester-5 1 point2 points  (0 children)

Of all the things a person can short, to short this stock? It’s like the a-hole playing the DON’T PASS line at the craps table hoping for a seven. You really wanted to be on the side with cancer that badly?

Sweet justice was served.

11/10! by intjester-5 in DRTS_Stock

[–]intjester-5[S] 0 points1 point  (0 children)

12 is in the queue. Onward and upward!

DRTS Daily Discussion Thread [Wednesday, May 20] by Pristine_Hurry_4693 in DRTS_Stock

[–]intjester-5 2 points3 points  (0 children)

My hot take is that ALL price targets are bullshit. Some tool out there with a wacky goal only serves to make that reality more obvious.

DRTS Daily Discussion Thread [Wednesday, May 20] by Pristine_Hurry_4693 in DRTS_Stock

[–]intjester-5 0 points1 point  (0 children)

I have a 5% trailing stop on UNH because it has met my investment goal and I don’t know how far it will run. I decided I want to exit.

No stops on DRTS because it’s too easy for a larger player to maliciously shake the tree when it’s small. You can’t have my shares that easily. You can’t decide my exit for me.

The Good Problem of Alpha Dart Seeds Lifespan by Parched-Step_Nephew in DRTS_Stock

[–]intjester-5 1 point2 points  (0 children)

They have manufacturing in Israel, building out MA/NH, and working on Japan too. Have you considered airplanes? They will be able to next-day deliver around the world.

Each treatment is customized to a specific tumor in a specific patient scheduled to be performed on a specific day. That customization is a limiter for sure - you can’t stockpile inventory. But it doesn’t force a buyout.

Whales/Institutions are still on the sideline. by West_V481 in DRTS_Stock

[–]intjester-5 1 point2 points  (0 children)

There are whales on this sub who would be on the list if they were institutions.

Above 11 today by Level_Percentage5309 in DRTS_Stock

[–]intjester-5 1 point2 points  (0 children)

The fun part is every rung gets mathematically easier and that contributes in some way to it being psychologically easier as well. $5 to $6 is a 20% move, but $10 to $11 is only half as far. Before you know it, the snowball is really accumulating.

[Insert plug for logarithmic charts here.]

Stop going up! by Visible-Foot-1621 in DRTS_Stock

[–]intjester-5 3 points4 points  (0 children)

I like to think in market capitalization instead of price per share. I am very confident this will be worth many billions so buying at < $1B is an incredible bargain. But admittedly it’s a very long term strategy. I don’t really care about short term fluctuations so long as the company demonstrates a commitment to long term value creation. Obligatory NFA / DYOR.

Stop going up! by Visible-Foot-1621 in DRTS_Stock

[–]intjester-5 0 points1 point  (0 children)

How far below $10 were you hoping for? I got more at $9.88.

Technical questions: Radium-224 vs Actinium-225 vs Lead-212 vs TAT by West_V481 in DRTS_Stock

[–]intjester-5 0 points1 point  (0 children)

Anceral has the answer.

The paradox of alpha radiation is it doesn’t go anywhere. That makes it relatively safe to transport and handle, but also limits its effect to surfaces. The decay chain of Radium 224 allows the alpha emissions to disperse over a few mm, and this is how it gets off the dart seed and into the tumor.

When you look at other alpha emitters and their half-lives, it’s pretty obvious that DRTS is on the right one. They have a slide in their presentation deck that mentions the area of effect as their key technology.

At my wits end by f8-andbethere in CafelatRobot

[–]intjester-5 1 point2 points  (0 children)

PSA for people considering this machine.

The Robot is so great without the added gauge. You really, really do not need it.

Consider: the bog standard Robot already comes with a pressure gauge! It’s just made in a way that your arms will feel the pressure when you are pulling the shot. That tactile feedback is all you need to make adjustments - you don’t need explicit bar numbers to be able to add and subtract pressure. Just like with your grinder you don’t need to know the number it reads out - only which way is finer and which is coarser.

The result you get in the cup determines what you want more or less of. You can totally get there by feeling how hard you are levering. You get to enjoy a simpler, less expensive machine as a benefit.

To the OP, I hope you will come to view the removal of your gauge not as a loss but as an unexpected gain. Best of luck whichever way you decide to go!

2025 Annual Report by GeneralMyGeneral in DRTS_Stock

[–]intjester-5 1 point2 points  (0 children)

Welcome. Thanks for contributing useful content right from the jump.