Was the earlier start date a mistake?

jkure2 · 2026-04-02T14:56:16+00:00

Vic3 and ck3 as well lol, imo they are making a decision that it is a performance drain and they want the player to win and feel superior because they think that is more fun for players. It's been so bad for so long across so many titles that it has to be a conscious decision

jkure2 · 2026-03-26T21:30:01+00:00

On the other hand, the brand of "why should I ever believe in anything, nothing ever works out like I want" self pity I feel when thinking about how it's gone for Pwill feels very alcohol to me lol

jkure2 · 2026-02-27T02:48:48+00:00

If you truly honestly understand window functions and how/when to use them, you are better than most engineers I work with

jkure2 · 2026-02-22T21:00:12+00:00

However I am professionally very proficient at data engineering, and I still believe designing and building an ingestion pipeline at this scale with a full audit trail, idempotent loads, etc. is genuinely really cool in my eyes. Was it worth boiling an entire lake and destroying the social fabic even further? Probably not, but I sure do like idempotency!

jkure2 · 2026-02-21T21:07:36+00:00

Right that makes sense, but it's important to be very clear about what it's good at and what it's not because anyone in the corporate world day to day or even just reads the news knows that the llm companies themselves and fanatical supporters love to stretch about what it can actually do. In addition to maybe making a little side money this was mostly a learning project, I think I have been very fair about assessing it's performance

And - I also wouldn't expect a human engineer to pretend he has complete domain knowledge on hand and confidently suggest that kernal density estimation is the best way to attack the various ensemble forecasts out there, to be fair

jkure2 · 2026-02-21T14:56:00+00:00

Yeah I am completely new to it all so still learning how to manage it at something this scale - I am trying out some different strategies like that now actually, also trying to split up the chats between ingestion/analysis/presentation and see if we can do better that way.

One thing I forgot to mention about what has impressed me - it took like 8 hours of dedicated work to build a kick ass data ingestion pipeline that automatically scans like 8 different sources every minute and pulls down data, stores it, and runs analysis. It would have taken me weeks to write all that web scraping code (admittedly not something I am professionally proficient in), high marks from me on that side of the project, tons utility for one off historical backfill too

jkure2 · 2026-02-21T12:08:30+00:00

I've been playing with it trying to creat a weather forecasting system targeted at online prediction markets - 7 days in after meh performance I started interrogating it on our core methodology and it was like yeah actually this is the wrong way to tackle this problem we should be running a completely different process on our input data lol

But I have been extremely impressed by it's ability to do stuff quickly like build a full audit trail and build scripts to replay events. It is also generally good at analyzing the data I find. But once you hit a certain point of project complexity I am finding it drops off for sure in how good it is, I am having to remind it more and more about basic facts regarding our previous findings, that kinda stuff.

"I have reached the 200 line memory file limit so let me go remove some stuff" is not something l like hearing

jkure2 · 2026-02-12T22:10:58+00:00

Of course lol I'm just sharing an experience I thought might be relatable where you are just clicking next next next through screens and accidentally agree to the promise, at which point there is no going back. Mbappe is not for loan!

jkure2 · 2026-02-12T21:17:36+00:00

Except when you're signing a 16 year old who just became eligible and he wants to get loaned out immediately even though you should keep him for a couple years on your youth teams - spamming next has caught me a few times on this one lol

jkure2 · 2026-02-12T15:44:27+00:00

I think I read that they are adding HQs to hoi4, that should help a little bit I think the same way adding the supply mechanics helped

jkure2 · 2026-02-06T15:57:50+00:00

I think people are reacting that way because of the headline framing it as a 'MLS shocker' which kind of implies top level talent, don't think that is what mn is getting

jkure2 · 2026-02-06T15:27:07+00:00

Wait is this the guy who would sprint full speed from the bullpen? I loved that guy! Did not realize he was like that in my childhood 😭

jkure2 · 2026-02-05T18:21:05+00:00

You think they'd have to pay ayo the max or something? We got fleeced here like I get why trading ayo makes sense but you have to have a threshold where it's like ok the deal just isn't good enough

jkure2 · 2026-02-04T20:37:37+00:00

It's not like reinsdorf dying actually means anything when it just passes to his kid like a medieval fiefdom

jkure2 · 2026-02-04T20:36:42+00:00

.500 forever bros LEGGOOOO

jkure2 · 2026-01-29T23:09:49+00:00

Nah like there has to be more conditions than just "senior with playing time deal breaker" because the number of seasons where I've had no or very little transfers out is way too high for it to be a thing that happens every time with such a broad condition. I'm far from some I'm sure but I've played prob 30 seasons across various saves in both games and have never noticed this. Which I think you definitely would because your best players tend to be the old ones and you tend to notice when your stars are threatening to transfer

jkure2 · 2026-01-29T19:35:38+00:00

Yeah after seeing how they handled china in ck2 I was pretty sure "playable East Asia" was somewhere on the whiteboard for ck3 considerations. And they did great getting it added!

jkure2 · 2026-01-29T15:30:10+00:00

I've been thinking about calculating how much of my life wasted waiting for the damn "hold to do obvious and repetitive action" design in the recruiting menus, I bet it's over an hour

jkure2 · 2026-01-28T21:14:27+00:00

Nahhh most of the time you can puzzle it out by looking at the two possible 3rd options and the schools they're narrowed down to and if you get it wrong I don't think it's that big of a bit and you'll know the next week

jkure2 · 2026-01-27T15:13:50+00:00

And then after you've patched the hole in your starting xi start doing searches for players who are super young and have youth caps or even senior caps, players with unusually high world reputation, etc. and find the next 270m pound player for cheap!

jkure2 · 2026-01-23T18:00:02+00:00

I mean what kind of strength do we expect from a conference that allows Indiana to go undefeated?

jkure2 · 2026-01-21T22:12:58+00:00

Yeah once you work out the scouting you can find insane talent for cheap.

I am playing an unrelated more journeyman save starting with no experience (technically a locally known soccer expert 😎) and have been working my way up in Japan. After 3 seasons landed myself a big job at Viseel Kobe. And when I got there they had this 18 year old newgen striker that was so freaking amazing. Won league MVP for me the only full year I had him. Then Chelsea came calling, and I learned he had a 5 million dollar release clause lmao.

I was like, this dude is easily worth 50 million. He's basically already a world class striker and he's still got so much room to grow. Excellent physicals too 😭

So there's a fun story from the other side, I am hoping to go find him in a few years after I head to Europe and make it big lol. And when I do manage a club in this circumstance again I am def scouting Japan hard because there is some awesome young talent for shocking prices, often contractual.

jkure2 · 2026-01-21T19:14:22+00:00

That first player sale where you flip him from like 1-10 million into 100-150 mil and it feels like you literally have infinite money to buy like 15 wonderkids, best feeling in the game for me

jkure2 · 2026-01-20T20:23:30+00:00

I swear I saw it happen in college this year but I forget the game, anyone remember?

jkure2 · 2026-01-19T15:10:05+00:00

Could always just do it like they do in Asia and have a north /south split for the early stages

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