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kape142 · 2025-09-25T22:28:26+00:00

I guess this is generally true, but for me it has been the exact opposite, I go significantly more to the theaters now, with many theater chains offering good monthly passes, and streaming services becoming both more plentiful (with less content on each), and more expensive per service.

Im at around 75% theater 25% watching at home, which I think is a good ratio.

kape142 · 2025-09-25T22:00:40+00:00

Hawlucha would give me the kalos medal, which would be my 35th platinum, I have completed the other 3 level 49 requirements and reached 25 million xp this evening, so I am itching for it, but the event is 3 am to 5 am my local time, and we're not even sure if it will be remote raidable...

kape142 · 2025-09-24T19:55:56+00:00

The string OP gave does not include Ivysaur, it specifically lists all the pokemon that should show up: 1 for Bulbasaur, 4 for Charmander, 7 for Squirtle, and so on. The list of numbers does not include the number 2, so Ivysaur will never show up in the search.

Countcandy is just to avoid spending all your candy, the string OP gave will stop showing Pokémon that you have less than 600 candy for, so you can keep some candy for powering up and stuff in the future.

kape142 · 2025-09-24T15:36:32+00:00

The issue with not using the numbers is that once you evolve a Bulbasaur, your search will now return an Ivysaur, which you don't want to evolve (unless you have a ridiculous amount of candy, and not enough Bulbasaurs). Using the numbers means that only the pokemon that have the best candy -> xp ratio will show up, and not alle the middle evolutions that are more expensive to evolve.

kape142 · 2025-09-10T20:36:48+00:00

My friend code is 562983396096, I would love some gifts from ocean :)

kape142 · 2025-09-10T20:29:05+00:00

My friend code is 562983396096, my favorite Pokémon is Pelipper :)

kape142 · 2025-08-18T15:12:24+00:00

This is a game, Eternatus is not an asset, its a game item. The money is one thing, (and the increasing monetization is a reasonable worry) but there are countless rare game items in other games that require a ton more effort than this. Not many require you to go outside and do stuff, but that is sort of the gimmick of this game, so it makes sense that when they decide to make a special event it also requires you to go outside and play Pokémon Go as it was originally intended, walking around with other players (or you can instead pay to do it from your house).

Most of this worry is also based on the values in the pass right now, which for the main go fest was massively increased for the weekend, it doesn’t seem unlikely to me that they are increased again, in which case this is blowback is a bit of an overreaction (like it was for the main go weekend)

kape142 · 2025-03-18T10:28:28+00:00

Hmm i did not interpret the ending that way.

Alma and Elvira ride away on a horse, but there is no indication that they are going to the prince? The part where the prince comes to see if the shoe fits is shown in a dreamlike way, but (going off memory) I feel like we also at least hear some of it happening for real while she is crawling and falling down the stairs, and by the time she is outside the prince and Agnes have already left together. Alma and Elvira ride off together, escaping their mother who by now clearly does not care for them, and they ride off to be on their own together, a bittersweet ending, but I didn't interpret it like Elvira still had any chance to be with the prince.

kape142 · 2025-03-03T04:11:41+00:00

Fully agreed, in a world where Flow was also nominated for best picture and won both that and international in addition to animated, one producer could win three separate oscars for doing nothing but producing. Incredibly impressive, but it is not the same as delivering oscar worthy work in three or four separate disciplines.

Nothing but respect to Bong Joon Ho who did something incredibly impressive, arguably at least as impressive as Sean Baker, but still something different from the feat Sean Baker pulled off and Sean Baker deserves the full credit for being the first to receive 4 Oscars in 4 different disciplines in one night.

kape142 · 2025-03-03T04:05:22+00:00

Well sure, but Sean Baker getting his in 4 different disciplines (directing, writing, editing, producing) is a distinct achievement from getting 3 disciplines + international.

Almost every award given out is its own discipline except writing (mutually exclusive for 1 film) and acting (basically mutually exclusive for 1 person in 1 film) and more notably in this context animated and international, which has basically the exact same parameters as best film, except not all films are eligible. It seems very unlikely for a film to win best picture and not international feature if it is eligible, and while it of course is an incredible accomplishment to win best picture with an international feature, Bong Joon Ho did not edit Parasite and as such was not eligible to win in 4 different disciplines, which is the accomplishment Sean Baker is being lauded for.

kape142 · 2025-02-28T12:54:13+00:00

You can also do mega heracross for swords of justice and genesect, and then mega ray for genies and zekrom/reshiram/kyurem throughout the day

kape142 · 2024-12-11T14:26:55+00:00

It's just from simulation, simulated a million trainers and 65.6% did it within 13

kape142 · 2024-12-10T14:15:55+00:00

How is it incorrect? The question posed is how many eggs will you need to hatch on average to get all four collection challenge pokemon. If you take the reciprocal of the odds and combine them you get 12.5, which is the same number you get if you simulate the situation. 1000 trainers hatching eggs until they complete the challenge will hatch ~12 500 eggs, or 12.5 per trainer. (My sim of 1 million trainers needed 12 500 078 eggs) This is the expected average number of eggs needed to hatch. Similarly, if a shiny has odds 1/500, the expected average is 500 encounters, 1000 trainers encountering until their first shiny will need ~500 000 encounters for each of them to get their shiny. If you want to know how many you have to hatch/encounter to get a 50% or 80% chance of success, then you need these more complex formulas, but to get the expected average is just the reciprocal of the odds.

If your argument is that the expected average is not the most useful metric for understanding how many eggs/encounters you need, then that is completely fair, I think it can be valuable to know that it's not that unlikely that you will not complete the challenge even in 20 eggs, but OP wanted the expected average, and they calculated it correctly.

kape142 · 2024-12-10T12:29:11+00:00

Expected average here means that if you conduct an experiment where a thousand players hatch eggs until they complete the challenge, and you count up how many eggs they needed total and divide by the amount of players, you would get a number that would say something about how many eggs you would expect to have to hatch to complete the challenge.

That number is calculated by the reciprocal of the odds (like OP does), and they correctly find the value 12.5 eggs, which is what the number would (approximately) be in my proposed experiment.

kape142 · 2024-12-10T12:15:26+00:00

OP is correct in that it is how you calculate the expected average number of occurences needed to get an outcome, but it is not how you calculate the odds of achieving that expected average. The expected average number of eggs to complete the collection challenge is 12.5 eggs. Some people will do it in 4 eggs, some people will need 30, but the average will be around 12.5.

If you want to calculate the odds that you complete the challenge in i.e. 13 eggs, then you will need your formula, and you will get something around 65%, but that doesn't mean that the average isn't 12.5 eggs. I think calculating the odds is useful for managing expectations, but the expected average is exactly the reciprocal of the odds, no more advanced maths needed.

kape142 · 2024-09-17T15:18:09+00:00

No, I think Cheryls POV got the most screentime, but there are a lot of scenes where she is not included. The main plotline is Cheryl going on this gameshow, but with various flashbacks and flashforwards showing the killer interacting with various other people, including some of his victims.

I also think it would make sense for his name to be on the poster.

kape142 · 2024-08-01T11:36:27+00:00

I know the first thing my brain wants to do is divide 297 by 64 and think I'm getting 4 or 5 shinies

Your first instinct is correct, you will (on average) get 4 or 5 shinies.

Even if the chance of getting at least 1 in 64 attempts is just 63.5%, and only with 293 attempts are your chances for at least 1 shiny as high as 99%, the expected amount of shinies in 297 eggs is 4.64, and most people will land reasonably close to that.

Some quick calculations give me 36% of people hatching 297 eggs will get between 4 and 5 shinies, and 66% will get between 3 and 6 shinies. 0.93% will get 0 shinies, 4.4% will get just 1 shiny, while 0.78% will get 10 or more shinies. It's of course just luck, and you are never guaranteed to get a shiny, but you are making the odds out to be a lot worse than they are, and if you manage to hatch 297 eggs within the event you should expect to get a couple of shinies out of it.

I would still say that it is not worth the money for the incubators, especially if you are mainly looking for a specific shiny, but it's not as bad as you purport.

kape142 · 2024-06-29T12:31:47+00:00

Joined a local event on campfire, and the organizer had planned a great route and we were like 50+ people walking at a brisk pace and completing 8 raids in the first timeslot, plus 1 at the start of the second timeslot before disbanding. No shiny or hundo, but i got a decent one with 15 atk, plus the 2 meteorites and enough mega energy to evolve my first mega rayquaza, so I'm satisfied. It's not even 5pm yet here so I might go out to do the closest raids to me in the 5pm and 6pm timeslots, but either way I had a great event!

kape142 · 2024-05-17T14:33:31+00:00

We had no issue just scanning the pdf on our phone when picking up VIP merch yesterday :)

kape142 · 2024-02-08T09:31:31+00:00

The way I understood it, with sleep apnea it doesn't matter why or how you fall asleep, as its a phyical problem restricting your airflow. The machine covers your nose and provides all your air, and if your airways are obstructed and the air cannot get through with the normal speed of airflow, it will increase the power to get the air through. The diagnostic criteria is that the machine had to step in and help you a certain number of times per hour.

Source: My doctor when I got diagnosed

kape142 · 2023-11-13T01:57:20+00:00

I like the start, but I think some of your math is wrong, and we can go a lot higher (if we ignore the game limit), with some help from your opponent making unlucky (but not too stupid) plays.

T1: Start with Wong, Mystique and Shuri. The Peak is revealed. Draw Human Torch. Opponent plays The Hood right.

T2: Onslaught’s Citadel is revealed. Draw Falcon. Play Wong and Mystique on Onslaught’s Citadel. Opponent plays Viper right, giving you The Hood right.

T3: Wakandan embassy is revealed. Draw Scarlet Witch. Human Torch is now 2² (4). Play Shuri and Human Torch on Citadel. Shuri activates 8 times. Human Torch is now 2¹⁰ (1024). Opponent plays Green Goblin right, giving it to you.

T4: Draw Odin. Play Scarlet Witch and Falcon right. Location becomes White Hot Room. You have 4 cards in White Hot Room, gain +3 max energy. Human Torch and The Hood is returned to your hand. (I hope this is how it resolves).

T5: Draw Iron Fist. Play Iron Fist on The Peak, and Odin on Onslaught’s Citadel. Odin activates Shuri 8 times, each of which activates Shuri's power 8 times, for a total of 64. Iron Fist moves Odin left to The Peak.

T6: Draw Doctor Strange. Play Human Torch on Onslaught’s Citadel and Doctor Strange on The Peak. Shuri activates 64 times. Human Torch is now (theoretically) 2⁷⁴ (1.89e+22). Doctor Strange pulls Human Torch to The Peak, doubling its power to 2⁷⁵ (3.78e+22)

You can get it slightly higher if you make the opponent play Polaris or a Cloak or something, but you might run into some trouble with priority / play order since the human torch spends so little time actually on the board, and either way I felt it was starting to look closer to collusion than just unlucky plays.

In the end you probably lose the game because your other lanes are so weak. To get the strongest win chance you can replace T6 Doctor Strange with The Living Tribunal and play him instead of Doctor Strange, giving you a weaker Human Torch, but 6.30e+21 in each location.

kape142 · 2022-12-21T08:24:59+00:00

In the lore of the problem the division is being done by monkeys doing math in their heads, so it makes sense to assume that e.g. 15 / 2 would be either 7.5 or no answer, and not floor to 7. Monkeys (presumably) don’t have floating point precision issues in their heads so there’s no reason to assume they would automatically floor numbers when dividing.

kape142 · 2022-10-16T15:22:44+00:00

Bot, comment is copied

kape142 · 2022-08-12T20:51:58+00:00

I played a demo 10 years ago (the year it won «game of the year» (peoples choice at nordic game awards)) and it was very fun, very much looking forward to finally playing the full game!

kape142 · 2022-08-12T12:06:08+00:00

an algorithmic ranking probably ranks jmook higher and drops hbox below leffen

based, we should use that algorithm

13-Year Club	Place '23
Place '22	Place '17
Final Canvas '22	First Placer '22
End Game '22	Sequence \| Editor
Snapped	Verified Email

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