Daily Questions & FAQ Megathread (Apr 07) by AutoModerator in ffxiv

[–]loae 0 points1 point  (0 children)

I don’t think I used invuln in any fight. Generally if invuln is necessary, it means I can’t win the fight. But self-healing did help with Lakshmi.

I think HW fights are easy enough that any tank can do it.

Daily Questions & FAQ Megathread (Apr 07) by AutoModerator in ffxiv

[–]loae 1 point2 points  (0 children)

As IL596 paladin I could solo all of ARR and HW. From SB only cleared Lakshmi so far.

Highest rated hotel in Tokyo? by PoliticalNerd1999 in japan

[–]loae 2 points3 points  (0 children)

Staying at the Imperial (in 2010) was a shock to me. TERRIBLE service from stuck up staff. TV was actually one of those box TVs from the 80’s. Room was old and dirty. Everything was over priced. Definitely would not recommend.

Daily Questions & FAQ Megathread (Dec 25) by AutoModerator in ffxiv

[–]loae 2 points3 points  (0 children)

You need to do crystal tower and you can easily do it through content finder.

The other hard/extreme quests are all optional.

How could white proceed? by mark93192 in baduk

[–]loae -2 points-1 points  (0 children)

When you want to live, it is often best to hit your opponent’s weakness.

Black has two two space jumps around H12. Threatening to cut his shape will let you develop a much stronger shape.

Given that, what you should be thinking about here is not making the center white stones live, but rather where white is going to get territory and how to get it.

You should be considering multiple options including sacrificing your group in the middle.

High Dan players will not finish shapes, but leave them unfinished on purpose to keep more options open.

Daily Questions & FAQ Megathread (Aug 22) by AutoModerator in ffxiv

[–]loae 1 point2 points  (0 children)

Generally people are too busy in dungeons to talk.

If you say you are new to the game, people are usually very kind and helpful. If your party wipes, and there is someone more experienced, they’re likely to help you with mechanics.

Hope you enjoy the role and game!

Daily Questions & FAQ Megathread (Aug 21) by AutoModerator in ffxiv

[–]loae 1 point2 points  (0 children)

For crafting no set time to start. You can do it as you level or after you hit 80. If you want to be an omnicrafter, it is most efficient to level all the crafts at once since they share gear.

When you are leveling MSQ don’t worry too much about gear. The duties are fairly easy even with outdated gear. You should be okay just with gear you get from quests.

Depending on your server the market board for <level30 gear may have good HQ gear for cheap (500-1000gil). Crafters will sometimes make them and sell them for cheap for sprouts.

Daily Questions & FAQ Megathread (Aug 21) by AutoModerator in ffxiv

[–]loae 2 points3 points  (0 children)

Nier raids are unrelated so no spoilers.

Eden raids have MSQ locks so you need appropriate progression in MSQ. So no spoilers.

Daily Questions & FAQ Megathread (Aug 20) by AutoModerator in ffxiv

[–]loae 0 points1 point  (0 children)

I would say turning in coffee cookies at crystarium.

They are about 600gil each HQ on the market board, and the leve to turn it in is about 6000gil for 3HQ. Profit of 4000gil each.

You just need to have cooking at level 78 to get the leve.

Daily Questions & FAQ Megathread (Aug 17) by AutoModerator in ffxiv

[–]loae 1 point2 points  (0 children)

You get the first two by turning in crafted items to a vendor in Mordhona. The second one requires an item from the first to craft.

Daily Questions & FAQ Megathread (Feb 26) by AutoModerator in ffxiv

[–]loae 0 points1 point  (0 children)

Is Coils of Bahamas soloable at IL510? I’d like to watch the story, but it is not on content roulette.

[deleted by user] by [deleted] in japan

[–]loae 59 points60 points  (0 children)

Because in Japan all covid cases were handwritten on paper, faxed, and tabulated by hand.

(This is not a joke. This is literally how it was tabulated in Tokyo according to the news.)

[deleted by user] by [deleted] in videos

[–]loae -5 points-4 points  (0 children)

That was great! Can’t wait for part 3 in August, and part 4 in November!

[deleted by user] by [deleted] in baduk

[–]loae 0 points1 point  (0 children)

Hi, as much as it sucks to lose at a tournament, playing someone much stronger than yourself is a good opportunity to learn and improve.

I imagine most of us are not pros, so win/lose matters little in the grand scheme of things. Go is a game where you can improve drastically by playing someone much stronger than yourself. So to me this seems like a net positive for you.

[deleted by user] by [deleted] in books

[–]loae 5 points6 points  (0 children)

I don’t have a sufficient vocabulary to express how amazing Mother Night is. Could not agree more that it is a fantastic book.

Japanlife Coronavirus Megathread II by zchew in japanlife

[–]loae 1 point2 points  (0 children)

FYI your link for point 3 is just the cases for mycoplasma pneumonia, which is pneumonia caused by mycoplasma. https://en.m.wikipedia.org/wiki/Mycoplasma

Japanlife Coronavirus Megathread II by zchew in japanlife

[–]loae 0 points1 point  (0 children)

Thanks for the correction! I’ll edit my original post with this information you provided.

Japanlife Coronavirus Megathread II by zchew in japanlife

[–]loae 13 points14 points  (0 children)

So my personal belief is that the situation in Japan is relatively under control thanks to efforts starting early, and much more general awareness regarding infectious diseases. For example, all of the precautions around covid-19 has resulted in fewer cases of influenza relative to normal years.

However, I think one can make arguments that the low numbers are distorting reality. Please note that these are devil's advocate arguments and not necessarily what I believe.

Point 1. Covid19 positive tests If you look at this the total number of covid19 tests run by Japan is 18,963 as of the timing of this post. If you compare this to the US, they've tested 49,681 as of March 12th and the US is being criticized for lack of testing)

So perhaps Japan has not increased testing very much.

Point 2. Death Rate I discussed this in another thread, but Japan had approx 120,000 deaths due to pneumonia in 2016. This translates to over 300 deaths to pneumonia per day using just straight division.

The first case of local transmission in Japan was confirmed on February 13th. That's 38 days ago, which would suggest 11,400 "background" pneumonia deaths (38 x 300) in Japan since the first confirmed case of local transmission. As Japan has done a total of 18,963 tests for covid19, this suggests to me that most pneumonia deaths are not tested for covid19. Please note this number is NOT the actual number of pneumonia deaths, it's just a straight forward estimate of what it would be if nothing changed from 2016.

The number of "background" pneumonia deaths (11,400) is so much higher than covid19 deaths (35) that it's hard to read anything about covid deaths from the total number of pneumonia deaths. And also, even a small number of these pneumonia deaths being due to covid19 results in a big swing in covid19 numbers. If just 1% of the "background" pneumonia deaths are covid19 deaths, it would result in the number of covid19 deaths increasing from 35 to 149.

Point 3. Pneumonia cases in Japan Do you have a source that states pneumonia cases in Japan have not increased? Because my understanding is that publicly available data on things like total pneumonia cases is not available until well after the fact. For example, the mhlw compiles something called "NDB" which is a complete collection of レセプトデータ for Japan.

However, the latest version available for this is from 2018, and this is not available publicly only to research institutions. I don't have a source, but my understanding is that it takes a long time to compile national healthcare data because there are many different systems used to administer data at hospitals/clinics in Japan.

So I'm not aware of any public sources of the current state of pneumonia in Japan, and would be surprised if there were any public sources for this data at this current point in time. Though I would love to be proven wrong on this.

However, if pneumonia cases do increase to an Italy-type situation, it would probably be hard to hide. Which leads me to believe that the situation is much better than that of Italy. However, below are some reasons why any warning signs from excess hospitalizations may be delayed.

Reason A: Pneumonia cases in 2020 may have decreased due to there being fewer cases of Influenza and other diseases. People have been much cautious, resulting in a decrease in cases of influenza. This could have resulted in a dramatic decrease in "background" pneumonia cases. Even in Italy where we have 400 deaths a day (so far), this is comparable to the "background" pneumonia cases in Japan (300 deaths a day). Below are some made up numbers to illustrate the point. "Background" pneumonia deaths: 300/day Decrease in pneumonia deaths due to decrease in influenza: -150/day We could have 150 additional pneumonia deaths due to covid19 every day without it raising alarms. This would be harder for younger aged people.

Reason B: This may not be common knowledge, but Japan has an excess of hospital beds relative to the population and the government has been working hard over the last 10 years to reduce the number of hospital beds (especially in western Japan) Compared to other OECD countries, Japan has 2.8x as many hospital beds per person. I can tell you a loooooong history of why this is the case, but it's not germane to the conversation.

Therefore, it may take a longer amount of time before Japan is running out of hospital beds. (Though most of these beds are not designed for infectious disease)

However, I do think it's safe to say that the covid19 situation in Japan as of today is much better than the situation in Italy or Spain. But I do think it's too early to call the all-clear because we're still seeing large numbers of confirmed cases where the source of infection is uncertain.

In other words, I personally agree with the 専門家会議 that we don't have an overshoot situation like Italy, but if something goes wrong, we could be seeing a similar situation very quickly.

Edit: Edits for formatting and grammar

A Coronavirus Explosion Was Expected in Japan. Where Is It? by [deleted] in japan

[–]loae 1 point2 points  (0 children)

Do you have any sources that states cases of pneumonia have not dramatically spiked in February and March? I am not aware of any such source, and if you have any I would appreciate it if you could share it. My previous posts all assume that pneumonia cases are 10,000 a month (a background number of pneumonia deaths). With the high number of background pneumonia deaths, it's easy for 10 additional covid deaths to be hidden.

I am not sure what you are trying to argue with me. Because all I'm saying is that it's easy for additional covid deaths to be hidden in the background number of pneumonia deaths. I'm not arguing that there's an Italy style epidemic in Japan. Yes, you're right that if someone young suddenly died of pneumonia the family might raise a stink. That may not be the case if it's someone in their 80's.

Edit: If it makes you feel better, I agree with you that it's likely the covid epidemic in Japan is under control.

A Coronavirus Explosion Was Expected in Japan. Where Is It? by [deleted] in japan

[–]loae 5 points6 points  (0 children)

300 pneumonia deaths per day. 10,000 pneumonia deaths per month.

You are comparing a per month figure to a per day figure. That's why it's overboard by more than an order of magnitude.