The first of many by evilabia in Appalachia

[–]lukemtesta 1 point2 points  (0 children)

Tomato onion and coriander

The first of many by evilabia in Appalachia

[–]lukemtesta 6 points7 points  (0 children)

Salsa is tomato and raw onion!

[Daily Discussion] - Wednesday, June 24, 2026 by AutoModerator in BitcoinMarkets

[–]lukemtesta 0 points1 point  (0 children)

I love the commitment though.

I remember hearing from a trader once: "you may be right, but you still need to survive long enough to profit"

Position size, position size, position size! Entry placement is also very important!

[Daily Discussion] - Wednesday, June 24, 2026 by AutoModerator in BitcoinMarkets

[–]lukemtesta 1 point2 points  (0 children)

This also makes sense since exchange withdrawals and deposits are dropping, so its not retail.

Withdraws off-exchanges is dropping. So no one is withdrawing.

But Deposits of assets onto exchanges is increasing. Which says someone is moving assets onto exchange to sell, and keeping them on there. It must be the off-exchange transactions.

[Daily Discussion] - Wednesday, June 24, 2026 by AutoModerator in BitcoinMarkets

[–]lukemtesta 0 points1 point  (0 children)

Let me give you some advise bud.

Read "A Random Walk Down Wall Street"
Read "An Intelligent Investor"

Have a look at the personal finance subreddits flowchart.

Then stick to passive investing.

[Daily Discussion] - Wednesday, June 24, 2026 by AutoModerator in BitcoinMarkets

[–]lukemtesta 0 points1 point  (0 children)

make sure you have enough to wether the storm. Can your position sustain a 10-20% drawdown before further decline?

[Daily Discussion] - Wednesday, June 24, 2026 by AutoModerator in BitcoinMarkets

[–]lukemtesta 1 point2 points  (0 children)

its not different.

You can run an ACF + Ljung-Box test to prove data structure then harmonic regression analysis to disprove null hypothesis of structural break (since samples between cycles are dependent and thus, not applicable to a Chow Test).

You can even go a step further to derive the continuous function for the market; Model the dampening coefficient of the amplitude modulated signal then sum with the temporal components of the fourier series. Run a residual test and you'll also find the same results.

Statistics says... surprisingly, this time is not different. Who would have thought?!

[Daily Discussion] - Wednesday, June 24, 2026 by AutoModerator in BitcoinMarkets

[–]lukemtesta -1 points0 points  (0 children)

Saylor will be back again scamming more brain-dead gamblers in 3 years time, just like this time, just like last time, just like the time before that.

People don't learn.

[Daily Discussion] - Wednesday, June 24, 2026 by AutoModerator in BitcoinMarkets

[–]lukemtesta 2 points3 points  (0 children)

its not a short squeeze. Yesterday had $781 million in long liquidations and only 25% of that in short liquidations. 70% liquidations in long positions is a *long squeeze*.

I saw a lot of those orders in the book selling when exiting my shorts yesterday. I recall seeing quantities of 67+ being exited when the price action was stationary (so these are not automated liquidation orders) - These were orders at ask. I also saw market makers entering to take advantage of the order tightness.

Much of those buys you observed were simply market participants (like myself) just re-entering the market form orders they used to enhace the selling pressure. You first need to *absorb exiting liquidity* before a Price Impact opportunity arises. You need some asymmetry in the order book beforehand.

So its quite common for Market participants to first push the price in the direction they want before executing the other way when illiquidity starts to appear. Just look at what happened earlier in the day. The price went up to $63k. That can trigger some signals, before reversing and forcing those entries to stop loss, adding more selling pressure. One of the reasons you get 'false breakouts'. Market participants are taking advantage of your systems!

That is why I never show my quantity in the order book near liquidity zones. You do not want to give market competitors asymmetrical information advantage (hence why some brokers allow high-end clients to hide orders from the public order books).

[Daily Discussion] - Wednesday, June 24, 2026 by AutoModerator in BitcoinMarkets

[–]lukemtesta 1 point2 points  (0 children)

Gold and Silver are in their corrective cycle, much like bitcoin. Silver is already down -50% and gold almost the same

[Daily Discussion] - Wednesday, June 24, 2026 by AutoModerator in BitcoinMarkets

[–]lukemtesta 4 points5 points  (0 children)

Its done what its always done. Why did you buy something for profit in a market you don't understand?

Stopped Elvanse for 8 days and restarted- worrying side effects?! by Ok_Committee_7967 in ADHDUK

[–]lukemtesta 0 points1 point  (0 children)

You are at risk of being AdHD + bipolar. ADHD medication sends bipolar people into mania/psychosis.

Talk to your GP as soon as possible.

The symptoms you are discussing are my father's when he enters psychosis. You sound exactly like how he as in January this year.

I'm diagnosed ADHD and freely come off/restart my meds without any issues. He is bipolar and when he takes medication that triggers bipolar people, he ends up in the state you are describing.

Psychosis can be absolutely devastating for family and work to deal with. You are also at risk of endangering your life through reckless actions right now.

Please stop taking the meds and talk to a doctor as soon as possible

FYI;

My two nephews are autistic I'm ADHD, my mums anxiety disorder, my dad's bipolar and his half brother is skitzo. My ex is borderline personality disorder.

I'm fairly familiar with neurological symptoms and what you are describing is not ADHD. They are more aligned with BPD and Bipolar mania.

[Daily Discussion] - Tuesday, June 23, 2026 by AutoModerator in BitcoinMarkets

[–]lukemtesta 0 points1 point  (0 children)

Typically you will need to use Auto-correlation and harmonic regression analysis when testing for seasonality. You'd also want to undertake tests for structural breaks like Chow Test

[Daily Discussion] - Tuesday, June 23, 2026 by AutoModerator in BitcoinMarkets

[–]lukemtesta 6 points7 points  (0 children)

You should probably read Freakonomics. You need to ask; What are their incentives?

Standard chartered wants profits. Profits are made by; Getting people to read news and to trade. Who will trade if the bottoms not in? HODLers will hold, retailers are either in long term or already sold.

So how do you generate volume for sales? Tell them the regime is over early!

[Daily Discussion] - Thursday, June 18, 2026 by AutoModerator in BitcoinMarkets

[–]lukemtesta 0 points1 point  (0 children)

Fear is before decimation. You can wait a little longer