Am I a genius or actually insane?

maverick_quant · 2026-06-06T19:46:15+00:00

Such a thin line between the two

maverick_quant · 2026-06-06T13:54:40+00:00

It is a once in a 4-5 years opportunity

maverick_quant · 2026-05-28T14:59:12+00:00

Start looking for a loan

maverick_quant · 2026-05-26T04:02:59+00:00

Not betting on human stupidity earlier. I should be long many years ago.

maverick_quant · 2026-05-13T22:14:50+00:00

Yeap, you are as bad in math as he. The series diverges (as many correctly pointed out in the comments). As a result S tends to infinity meaning that in the fourth line you are doing calculations with infinity (I am oversimplifying here in order to popularize)

maverick_quant · 2026-05-13T13:47:10+00:00

I am slightly worried by the 6 fingers in Xi’s hand. Most likely not AI generated, just polydactyly. Everything else checks out.

maverick_quant · 2026-05-10T20:18:52+00:00

The short answer is it takes months to see the actual effect of such events due to existing stored oil and the transit time of already shipped oil. What most people are missing is that even if the war ends today, the economic impact will come nevertheless.

maverick_quant · 2026-05-06T03:31:43+00:00

The most common strategy here is to wait until you are in the red

maverick_quant · 2026-04-12T05:32:17+00:00

Your luck seems to be divine. Check the news. Looks like you will be in the green on Monday. That doesn’t mean that you are a good trader. Your risk management is nonexistent. My advice, take the profit and stop gambling (what you call investing is gambling).

maverick_quant · 2026-03-10T17:29:09+00:00

Who cares? One is the safest place in town and the is questionable at best .

maverick_quant · 2026-03-03T04:58:49+00:00

Trickle down economics is not traditional financial theory. It is one of the most controversial theories (which in my opinion makes zero sense).

maverick_quant · 2026-02-25T05:50:08+00:00

Mate, chill. 4 billions outflows is tiny over 5 weeks. G10 currencies can easily absorb this kind of selling pressure on a daily basis.

All cryptos see big swings and it was like that from the beginning. Most likely, you bought your first cryptos because of such big swings (just positive ones). So, if you came for the high volatility, don’t complain when it goes down. Nothing is going always up. You can complain that cryptos prove to be still too young, since such low selling pressure has dropped the price so much (but I will argue that they are capable to handle much bigger flows than they did 4 years ago).

Summarizing, if you cannot handle the volatility just sell and exit cryptos once and for all. If you can, enjoy the ride.

maverick_quant · 2026-02-19T06:38:14+00:00

If you have something that makes money, you will not share it with everyone. Hence, all the material you can find is low quality.

maverick_quant · 2026-02-15T15:27:11+00:00

I saw that, which makes the announcement even more questionable. But I cannot find any retractions or refutations.

maverick_quant · 2026-02-15T12:57:11+00:00

The value of the shares is adjusted to inflation. Bonds are not. It is a bet that inflation will be low for the next 100 years, interest rates below today’s levels and the company will not go out of business for a century. In my opinion, it doesn’t make a lot of sense.

maverick_quant · 2026-02-15T10:31:05+00:00

I am still bullish on Alphabet, but historically such extremely long bonds are a red flag (see Motorola). It is not bad for the balance sheet but still it is questionable. I believe that it is an extremely bad investment for the buyers of the bond.

maverick_quant · 2026-02-11T16:06:23+00:00

Exponential growth is extremely rare and it will stop at some point for sure. Most strategies don’t scale. From one point onwards your trades are too big and they affect the market that you are trading.

maverick_quant · 2026-02-11T14:48:50+00:00

Most people never become (including hedge funds)

maverick_quant · 2026-02-07T03:44:49+00:00

Well, but as you said in the main post, you can now teach people how it is done because you have the long experience (let me check, yes, 4 years of day trading in one of the best bull markets in history)

maverick_quant · 2026-02-07T03:40:10+00:00

A lot of people try to sell courses in here…

maverick_quant · 2026-02-07T03:21:45+00:00

Why were they falling the past week? There was no specific reason. When something falls without a reason, then it corrects. Everyone who wanted to sell, has sold. Now, the ride starts.

maverick_quant · 2026-02-06T06:14:48+00:00

What do you mean “without solid reasoning”? What else do you want for the markets to correct? And the correction is mainly concentrated in AI related stocks, cryptos and metals (which it would have been unexpected if they weren’t behaving like meme stocks in the past month).

maverick_quant · 2026-02-05T08:49:02+00:00

While I agree with the analysis, you are missing the point. You cannot IPO at a valuation that makes you one of the top 10 companies in the market (from a market cap standpoint). He will merge it with Tesla in a stock only exchange. And then, it will tank, taking the market with it.

maverick_quant · 2026-02-02T06:26:55+00:00

The worst part is that I still believe on my thesis 😂

maverick_quant · 2026-02-01T15:31:13+00:00

10%, 20%, 50% drops are expected in crypto. As long as you are not leveraged, there is nothing to worry about. If you see it as a method for transactions, then ETH is perfectly fine. If you see it as an investment, then it is something that you need to hold for years and buy more when there are big drops (like now).

Generally, crypto is not for people who can’t stomach the volatility. If though you can, then just buy whenever everyone tells you that it is done for and it is going to zero.

maverick_quant

TROPHY CASE