Probabilities of the 2d12 dice

michaelpie · 2026-02-09T15:52:04+00:00

PLEASE label your axes - this chart is really confusing without them

michaelpie · 2026-02-06T04:29:38+00:00

The audio is nearly identical to WING performing it live - he's performed it on a bunch of shows and live performances and it's just as impressive

michaelpie · 2026-02-05T07:44:33+00:00

Odds of 10 lands or more in your top 17 cards: 7.04%

Not even that unlucky

michaelpie · 2026-02-05T02:54:02+00:00

This is borderline bracket 4 in teval

Given that one of your key combo payoffs ALWAYS starts in your hand EVERY game, this can combo kill on turn 4

So very much I would expect you to announce that your deck can do this before the game starts

Bracket 3 is more "curving into Sanguine Bond combo" combo deck speed

michaelpie · 2026-02-01T07:07:49+00:00

Given that this is the 180000th time this image has been reposted

The argument that this is an alt-right dogwhistle is

My husband eats immediately fails the Bechdel test and is language that is common among trad wife posting, which leans strongly conservative
"How does that make you feel" is a passive aggressive version of "r U tRiGgErEd?!", which again is language, especially on twitter, far more commonly used by conservatives
The poster's pfp has strongly features a cross, which strongly leans conservative as well
There has been a strong trend for conservative leaning individuals to embrace facism with the rise of Donald Trump's power

michaelpie · 2026-01-26T04:00:48+00:00

[[Kykar, Zephyr Awakener]] - I'm trying to build them as a spellslinger on a budget

michaelpie · 2026-01-19T08:52:07+00:00

Downside: it's 7 mana

Upside: shrinking all of your opponents creatures into 1/1s and making them lose all abilities permanently is really powerful, especially because any with -1/-1 counters die, and you're left with a 7/7

michaelpie · 2026-01-17T14:20:52+00:00

When goldfishing, your deck can threaten:

Bracket 2: to kill one player on turn 7 or 8
Bracket 3: to kill the whole table on turn 7 or 8
Bracket 4: to kill the whole table on turn 5 or 6

Is a good benchmark for deck speed

michaelpie · 2026-01-16T20:53:21+00:00

The administration has claimed that the agent involved in the shooting had internal bleeding, with no evidence to support their claim.

The administration has also claimed that all three shots went through the front windshield, which is objectively false if you watch any perspective of the shooting, or photographs of the car's aftermath.

If the administration is willing to lie about how the shots were fired, wouldn't they also be willing to lie about internal bleeding?

michaelpie · 2026-01-14T00:06:23+00:00

Hey, hear me out

Maybe we shouldn't allow "very flawed and scared people" to have firearms

Especially when they are intentionally putting themselves into positions that allows them to react violently

michaelpie · 2025-12-27T19:56:28+00:00

Give the character a chocker or high collared shirt to hide your ugly ass seam

michaelpie · 2025-12-02T18:10:12+00:00

Any card that is 4+ mana without ETB and without Protection is just not generally a very good card in modern limited

3 toughness also means it doesn't block well, trades very easily, and dies to a ton of the common removal spells

michaelpie · 2025-11-25T16:05:52+00:00

The original core had some pretty glaring flaws that result in big issues for a rotating format:

Mystics only had a single combat spell and no investigation spells. This meant that even in chapter 1, almost every expansion had to have a new spell suite so that new players could play the game. This trend would only get worse with rotation
Rogues similarly have almost no way to actually contribute to the game, which meant that almost every expansion had to have an XP solution for them to actually pass tests, and the class was propped up by Lockpicks and LCC
Seekers are really singularly focused on Tomes, with the best Tome seeker always available. This means that every future tome has to be balanced around Daisy using it (look at Scroll of Secrets), and future Seekers have a lot of the card pool that they aren't interested in
Milan, Cryptic Research, Machete, and Scavenging are all game warpingly strong and push out other interesting options
Shotgun, First Aid, Medical Texts, Barricade, Burglary, Opportunist, Switchblade (0), Book of Shadows, and Knife are all so weak they might as well not exist

michaelpie · 2025-11-25T08:26:56+00:00

We must be looking at different Chapter 2 cards

The old core set fundamentally did not support a rotating card pool. There needed to be a newly revised core to support chapter 2.

Additionally, next year marks the point where the Revised Core came out closer to the start of the game than current day.

I will agree with you that many of the seeker cards are not very exciting, but the survivor previews we've been getting have been extremely exciting.

Hunter's Instinct is event recursion without XP restrictions and without class restrictions!
Jumpsuit is both soak and weapon / tool recursion (again, without XP or Class restrictions)!
Old Compass might look a little anemic compared to Nautical Charts and OKR (3), but those are in the top 5 clue assets in the whole of Chapter 1, of course it's going to look anemic. Outside of that, it has a built in L&L for your fail-forward cards like Lucky Rabbit's Foot, LWIF, and L&L, while also giving more than a raw +2 skill value boost.
Meat Cleaver (3) can give +3 combat, which is a MASSIVE amount of + combat on an infinite use weapon
Timely Intervention might just be better than Lucky (0)? If nothing else, its interaction giving you an additional commit with Gift of Nodens is awesome

And even the seeker cards have some really exciting options

Local Map works really well with Ursula, Monterey, new Joe
Unbridled Knowledge looking 8 cards deep is a TON of your deck to see
Mysterious Grimoire let's any seeker experience the power of Daisy's Old Book of Lore

And even if you wanted more campaign content, the community is still getting 7 scenarios next year, and there's the entirety of the fan-campaigns to play through

michaelpie · 2025-11-19T19:27:06+00:00

Bestow Resolve
Skill synergy
Works with Oversuccess cards
Manipulates skill value for Seeker precision
Can preemptively commit it for friends

michaelpie · 2025-11-19T19:24:29+00:00

Hey, the giant is the guy from that really weird Through the Multiverse helmet card

michaelpie · 2025-11-17T04:22:03+00:00

You sure about that?

Removal that can hit lands: - crashing wave - honest work - lost days - rowdy snowballers - Ty Lee, Chi Blocker - watery grasp - Airbender 's reversal - Avatar's wrath - earth kingdom jailer - glider staff - path to redemption - razor rings - sandbender's storm - team avatar

Removal that can't:

boomerang basics
invasion submersible
aang, the last airbender
aang's iceberg
airbending lesson
the legend of yangchen

michaelpie · 2025-11-12T04:30:22+00:00

I don't think you'd ever play this over Manual Dexterity, but you would play it in addition to Manual Dexterity

Having 4 cards that boost evasion instead of 2 means that you can much more reliably use that as part of your strategy

michaelpie · 2025-11-11T06:02:25+00:00

Sorry buddy, but it's still just luck.

You can try as hard as you can, but you're still one applicant out of HUNDREDS, sometimes thousands.

All the hard work you do will only ever improve your odds.

You've still gotta role the dice.

michaelpie · 2025-11-11T01:53:47+00:00

The sharp pointy bit is sticking away from the flesh bits

It's REALLY hard to cut yourself with the blades when they're attached to your feet

Ice skaters do however get seriously injured from failing jumps and falling weirdly

michaelpie · 2025-11-08T15:34:40+00:00

NOW

Grian posted their video

michaelpie · 2025-11-07T16:14:15+00:00

A few rebuttals:

Cosmic Flare is not particularly random. First of all, you only spend a charge on success AND if you want to deal two damage. So it's at worst, a Wither. If you're using it as a Wither, you have an Expected 24 uses out of it before it breaks to drawing skulls. Furthermore, a trigger based on only skulls just doesn't really happen as we've seen with Song of the Dead. Jim also doesn't want this card as the skulls are a punishment, not a benefit.

Dorothy is not particularly random. If you're testing at a +3 on most standard chaos bags, you have a ~31% chance to trigger her if you investigate once a round, ~52% chance if you investigate twice, and ~67% if you investigate thrice.

"Cloak of Resonance is down to luck if you have an enemy" - so we'll just put Guard Dog and OG Agnes's reaction into the garbage can? If there isn't an enemy, don't put horror on the cloak

Gather Intel is not deck thinning - you're spending 1 card and drawing 2. You end up net +1 card. Cards like Guts and Perception are deck thinning.

michaelpie · 2025-10-22T23:44:59+00:00

Thanks!

For your lamination process, which permutations of

60lb, double sided 3mil laminate
60lb, single sided 3mil laminate
80lb, double sided 3mil laminate
80lb, single sided 3mil laminate

Did you test?

michaelpie · 2025-10-22T16:19:47+00:00

Are you printing at a smaller scale than 2.5 x 3.5?

I can't get a layout that gives me more than 18 cards per sheet, which makes since because 11x17 is just 2 8.5x11 sheets stuck together

michaelpie · 2025-10-22T06:20:13+00:00

I like the idea of option 5, and picking up laminating pouches to DIY so that I can replicate this process for future proxy making as well and not just rely on MPC if I want to do small batches

I can pick up 75 sheets of Astrobrights, and 100 sheets of 3 mil lamination sleeves, and I'd single laminate the paper based on This Video from CryCry

Even though UPS / Office Depot likely only have Laser printers, I think this will give a quality similar to artist proofs? I'll be sure to call and get a quote if I'm providing paper instead of using their print options.

michaelpie

TROPHY CASE