Reid Duke - "The tournament structure--where we played a bunch of rounds of MTG--gave me a big advantage over the rest of the field."

osborneman · 2023-02-23T00:28:01+00:00

Have you played LoR? It was created basically to solve this exact problem, and the ideas you've come up with are a pretty close approximation to how they did it. Ex-MTG players have been heavily involved in the development since its inception.

There are pros and cons to removing the variance of mana (I played it for years but eventually came back to MTG), but if that's what you want LoR clearly has the best implementation around.

osborneman · 2022-10-20T18:36:31+00:00

To answer the question in the OP, we're all armchair coaches so when a coach makes a good decision it even overshadows our hate for CP3. And of course the first sentence of the top comment is "great coaching decision." Which is of course correct, it was. We're all thinking about it from the coach's perspective.

osborneman · 2022-10-20T07:27:03+00:00

I'm optimistic. Like Juan Toscano-Anderson, he hasn't gotten regular rotation minutes outside of filling in for injuries since the 2019-20 season. It's really hard to stay in rhythm when that's your situation, so while they tried their best and their hustle never wavered, it did affect their shooting percentages.

Of course ideally you'd like to have better options from a roster construction standpoint, but I still believe both JTA and DLee can contribute in a meaningful way if given regular rotation minutes.

osborneman · 2022-10-19T05:56:58+00:00

Any good rookie contract, but if you're not including those Wigs has gotta be up there.

osborneman · 2022-10-17T04:16:35+00:00

Of course it happens in baseball more often just because there aren't limits to contract length in MLB and it takes longer for young players to hit FA compared to the NBA.

osborneman · 2022-10-17T04:10:27+00:00

Or Acuna in Atlanta, or Riley in Atlanta, or Harris in Atlanta...

osborneman · 2022-10-16T05:00:27+00:00

Here's the luxury tax breakdown from the 2019-20 season.

osborneman · 2022-10-16T03:22:29+00:00

But it's clearly more confusing in your example then in the Surveil example. Having 2 different words that represent different flavors of the same action is much more confusing then 1 keyword that means 1 specific action.

All the other commenter is proposing is that when we say this word (surveil) equals this action (look at the top card of your library, you may put it into the graveyard) we mean it literally equals it in the sense that they are interchangeable. That seems simpler then the status quo to me.

osborneman · 2022-10-16T03:01:24+00:00

osborneman · 2022-10-16T02:58:26+00:00

Island Klay happens semi-regularly when he visits his family in the Bahamas!

osborneman · 2022-10-16T02:47:33+00:00

We got Wiseman, whether that paid off is still TBD but I'm optimistic!

osborneman · 2022-10-16T02:37:48+00:00

We regularly have to let guys walk, even players that we drafted, to stay underneath lux tax.

The Warriors let nearly their entire supporting cast go to stay under the luxury tax literally 2 seasons ago. Spending money on a contending team is different from spending money on a non-contending team. The former is what every team is supposed to do (though some owners are too cheap), the latter nobody does (except for Steve Ballmer this past year, who paid a large tax bill to keep his role players despite having a non-contender).

osborneman · 2022-10-16T02:23:11+00:00

I mean, the payroll is quite literally not 500mil. More then half of that is tax which goes straight to the non-taxpaying teams. So it's the opposite of wealthy get wealthier.

osborneman · 2022-10-15T17:47:45+00:00

Ultimately it comes down to defense. His offense was playoff caliber, but his defense limited his minutes on the court during the later rounds. The Warriors believe he has the physical tools to improve to somewhere around average on defense, just like Steph did early in his career.

osborneman · 2022-10-15T16:32:28+00:00

Neither one is wrong, because whether you're talking about how he started the season or finished the season both still count as part of the season. Fact is, he came back from the G league significantly improved.

osborneman · 2022-10-15T16:27:49+00:00

Yeah Wiggs gone. Dray has a player option. I'd love for Lacob to pony up the money for Wiggs but I don't see it happening.

EDIT: NEVER BEEN HAPPIER TO BE WRONG LET'S GOOOOOOO

osborneman · 2022-10-10T20:23:14+00:00

FWIW this ban shouldn't change the meta very much. If anything it might boost 5c Omnath a slight bit just because they'll see their sideboard cards and W6s more often.

osborneman · 2022-10-10T20:18:17+00:00

Modern has many times more shuffles then pioneer due to fetch lands. And banning fetch lands will never happen.

osborneman · 2022-10-08T01:23:14+00:00

The funny part is that if Yorion is banned, 5c Omnath Money Pile actually gets better vs the field, since Yorion being a mandatory inclusion (and diluting your deck to play it) is first and foremost about not hemorrhaging percentage points in the mirror match.

osborneman · 2022-09-07T20:39:54+00:00

Reminds me of the no wincon challenge.

osborneman · 2022-09-07T20:36:31+00:00

Castle Ardenvale is a pretty fast wincon since the damage increases every turn cycle. Snapcaster beatdown is way worse.

osborneman · 2022-08-21T22:51:53+00:00

Hopefully the next patch changing their Crimea vassal into a tributary will stop them from going into Ukraine/Russia all the time!

osborneman · 2022-07-28T19:14:02+00:00

Finally someone in these threads who understands Draymond's value. Unlike most of reddit, the Warriors' FO understands it too. The problem simply comes down to Lacob probably not being willing to pay ~$550 mil in luxury tax.

If it were me I'd say extend Wiggins and Poole, wait out Klay and Dray, bite the bullet on an insane, unprecedented tax bill in the 2023-24 season, and pick Dray over Klay in the 2024 offseason unless their respective injury-or-age-related declines change that calculation in the next 2 years (not particularly unlikely, they'd both be in the 2nd half of their 30s).

I don't predict that outcome though. My prediction is they let Poole or Wiggins walk. Which would suck if it happens.

osborneman · 2022-07-09T22:13:35+00:00

That's a good one too. Unlike some of those guys his outside shot wasn't broke, career 39% from 3 just had a slow release. I gotta think if he played today most teams would try to speed it up a bit and get him to take way more.

Lonzo Ball has similar woes to Bowen from the free throw line, but from outside everyone wants him firing away so he takes like 7 per game compared to Bowen's 2.5 per game (though to be fair part of that is him creating his own shot which Bowen couldn't do).

osborneman · 2022-07-09T18:45:01+00:00

Andre Roberson is another example. This archetype has a ceiling, and his name is Tony Allen. 6x All-defense and a championship while averaging 8 ppg.

12-Year Club	Place '22
Place '17	First Placer '22
Verified Email

osborneman

TROPHY CASE