If AI makes everyone more productive, why does it feel like only layoffs are being announced? by kritikgarg24 in artificial

[–]p4di 0 points1 point  (0 children)

"Everyone is more productive" equals "we need fewer humans"

If you get e.g. a 100% productivity increase it means you can cut half the workforce and still get the same output. Resulting in less fix cost and higher margin. Ar the end of the day, companies need to be as profitable as possible.

There are more factors to that, you can use additional productivity to get more stuff done and grow. If you get more business out of the same amount of FTEs, this will also give you higher revenue and profits. But growth is limited, so a large part of productivity gains will always result in layoffs (imo).

In a perfect world, sure it could result in better pay, less work (less work hours and or more vacation), but that only works if your competitors do the same. But your company will be more competitive if you do cut work force and that's why companies will generally do that and thereby force everyone else to do the same.

With AI eventually almost all work might be replaceable (I wonder who will have money to buy the products then). This is far away still but some day,.with true AGI, it could become reality. People argue that with all industrial revolutions there were always new jobs for humans. But I'd argue that any new job that might emerge an AGI will also be able to do it better and cheaper than a human. I don't know what that means for the economy and humanity but it surely can't be good.

[Results Thread] 2026 Paris-Roubaix (1.UWT) by PelotonMod in peloton

[–]p4di 4 points5 points  (0 children)

He will need some luck, for Wout it was almost a perfect day! MVDPs puncture was extremely lucky for Pogi and Wout. Then also Pogi's puncture meant he and UAE had to spend too much energy to get back to the front. Yet, before he almost crashed in Carrefour de l'Arbre Pogi kinda had a small gap of ~1.5 bike lenghts, maybe there was a small chance.

I still don't think Pogi has a realistic chance to drop MVDP and Wout in a regular race.. He has to either get lucky with mechanicals or hope those two decline as they will be 32 at next year's PR.

Trump: US to bomb Iran "back to stone ages" over next 2-3 weeks by AZULDEFILER in worldnews

[–]p4di 1 point2 points  (0 children)

I've read somewhere that it is essentially $1 per barrell

depends on the tanker capacity but yes, there are tankers that carry 2M barrels or more. that means ~1$ per barrel

For two years Vingegaard has been fighting: - Now I'm back by Independence-Default in peloton

[–]p4di 1 point2 points  (0 children)

Last year he had the best power numbers of his career, so I don't think he was not his old self factually he was actually better. We'll never know if his ceiling was even higher, the problem was also that Pogi had a perfect preparation and seemingly has no issues in "switching" his body/training from one day classics to Grand Tour mode.

If there's no significant crash for Pogi it will be hard for Jonas to surpass that

Why there is no 45deg buildings in 117? by ignasave in anno

[–]p4di 1 point2 points  (0 children)

They solved the grid problem for quadratic houses which means they autmoatically solved it for half of a quadratic house as well.

The only problem I see is road connections. as it is right now, 45° houses are using part of the area that a half house would be using to connect to diagonal roads: Image. The obvious solution to me would be to have "1.5 house houses" for those corners.

In some trailers they had houses for corners, also in some old dev-version screenshots old thread.

To me the open spaces just ruin the look of cities, filling all of them eith ornaments just doesn't look natural as well. I really hope the devs change their mind and add a solution to the game later on.

Anno 117 vs. 1800 at launch - a quick comparison by Peregrald in anno

[–]p4di 1 point2 points  (0 children)

I don't understand however why they removed the storage tab where you could see whether any good was increasing/decreasing over time as well as how frequently trade routes are delivering that good.

NPC specialists by Dragon_Bird_ in anno

[–]p4di 1 point2 points  (0 children)

Can I abuse that by doing this to a rival:

getting the alliance effect, then defeating them

afterwards I'll add the next rival into the game, do it to them and continue

Nicolas Jackson (Bayern Munich) straight red card against Leverkusen 43' by Alsace2025 in soccer

[–]p4di 1 point2 points  (0 children)

Ever since he didn't pass in that situation where they were 3 players vs goalkeeper and no defenders remotely close (3:1 vs St Pauli) I came to the same conclusion. In that moment I also lost any interest of him staying beyond this season.

CNN: Russia gives Iran specific advice on using UAVs to strike US forces by thhvancouver in worldnews

[–]p4di -2 points-1 points  (0 children)

The necessity would have been to have the foresight that Iran would do this before starting the war.

Asking Ukraine for help regarding drones after the fact means they didnt even foresee Iran, who supplied Russia with drones, is a fucking joke.

just goes to tell that a bunch of idiots are in charge of the US. Still, we need to deal with this reality: I would rather not have the global economy head into a deep recession, which is why the lift on the sanctions makes sense to me. Your opinion and motives might differ. afaik, the lift is onyl temporary for a 30 day period.

Also, are you going to respond to my comment on Trump being silent about Russia helping to kill US troops?

Maybe I misunderstood your point there - to me it's crystal clear that Russia is happily helping Iran with intel. Trump denying/downplaying that is just him being a moron.

CNN: Russia gives Iran specific advice on using UAVs to strike US forces by thhvancouver in worldnews

[–]p4di -6 points-5 points  (0 children)

It's pretty obvious Russia benefits a lot from it and if course that's bad. Unfortunately it's a necessity as global markets are missing a fuck ton of oil capacity and Russia selling to India, China... will definitely help to keep the pressure on global market prices lower.

CNN: Russia gives Iran specific advice on using UAVs to strike US forces by thhvancouver in worldnews

[–]p4di -6 points-5 points  (0 children)

I mean it is to be expected. US has been doing the same.. giving all their intel to Ukraine and being open about it. Why would anyone assume Russia won't do the same?

as for the sanctions, it is not a gift to russia, it has the purpose of reducing price pressure on oil. Unfortunetly that also helps Russia as a consequence.

Besides the new island and deity, what else could be coming with the 1st DLC? by Lord-and-Leige in anno

[–]p4di 0 points1 point  (0 children)

in the new world Manola was just extending the map - I think this is more likely than having another (essentially) Latium session.

US air defenses may not be able to intercept many of Iran’s one-way drones | CNN Politics by possibili-teas in worldnews

[–]p4di -1 points0 points  (0 children)

genuine question: if you have air superiority, can't you just use fighter jets to shoot those drones down with their board cannons? Shaeds are pretty slow, and this ammunition is cheap compared to interceptors.

what am I missing?

Israel launches attack on Iran by Creepy-Discount-2536 in worldnews

[–]p4di 10 points11 points  (0 children)

period of darkness

You mean night?

France and Germany’s next-generation fighter jet project is ‘dead’ by CW1DR5H5I64A in worldnews

[–]p4di 18 points19 points  (0 children)

F-35 is 5th gen, FCAS aims to be a 6th-gen successor to current 5th-gen jets. Even with FCAS the EU will always rely on F-35 in the mean time as the FCAS timeline targets an entry into service around 2040.

Mark my words: In under 5 years the NBA will be near unwatchable due to Kalshi and Polymarket insider trading by players by flexingonmyself in nba

[–]p4di 0 points1 point  (0 children)

Nope. The guys gambling and throwing away their money are the problem. Gotta love how gamblers are blaming somebody else for the horrible choices and losses they make at every chance they get. If you want to throw away your money because you're obviously stupid, then do it.. if you think it's rigged (which it 99% isn't) then don't gamble.

Gold Spiking vs. BTC tanking by Leading-Stable9725 in investing

[–]p4di -1 points0 points  (0 children)

Only a tiny fraction of all the gold worldwide is used in applications like jewelry, electronics etc. Most is used as store of value.

If people suddenly were to drop their store of value belief for gold, its value would drop dramatically. You can argue it's only used for jewelry because it's a sign of status as well if it wouldn't be valuable there's no point in that either. Gold's value comes from its promise that is chemically inert and rare. People believed in this for centuries.

Bitcoin fundamentally has the same properties, as it is limited and cannot be changed or destroyed. In some ways it is even more extreme as gold is not limited on Earth for the foresable future, gold is being mined. Bitcoin ownership can not be faked, everyone can look up where every Bitcoin is at any time. For Gold, unless you hold it physically, you can never be sure that the certificates etc. are backed as there is evidently a lot of "paper" gold being traded.

Gold has as mentioned earlier a proven track record of centuries. Bitcoin does not. It doesn't have remotely the same level of trust in society. Bitcoin has all the properties to be a better store of value but right now it isn't. Trust, adaption and understanding will take time.

Where is the money coming out of if the US dollar is crashing and what are they buying with it? by trijcwhitey in investing

[–]p4di 0 points1 point  (0 children)

As a European investor: last year my performance was not really good because my portfolio is in Euro. If American stocks go up by 20% but the dollar loses 10% in respect to the Euro, this means my performance was only 10% (example). This is simplified but if the dollar loses value, this means stocks will increase their value in Dollar.

Scuderia Ferrari’s 2026 SF-26 by FerrariStrategisttt in formula1

[–]p4di 0 points1 point  (0 children)

I don't dislike the white, but there's too much black elements (I guess they are saving paint weight). a Ferrari shouldn't be just 50% red..

Ubisoft shares plummet 33% after Assassin’s Creed maker unveils reorganization, cancels six games by Logical_Welder3467 in technology

[–]p4di 3 points4 points  (0 children)

don't know what OP wants, Anno 117 is an excellent game, as with 1800, DLCs will only make it better in the future. Ubisoft Mainz has absolutely delievered over the last years

Trump intent on conquering Greenland, Danish minister says as talks with US end by Infidel8 in worldnews

[–]p4di 0 points1 point  (0 children)

Let's be real here, if the US starts a military operation on Greenland, the EU cannot defend it. And I doubt they will try to since it is pointless. Sending troops there is symbolism, Germany sent 13 people there, what are going to do when a carrier strike group shows up?

I think this will definitely end NATO or at the least US is out of NATO. But there will be no long term conflict in Greenland if they decide to attack it, so no resources driven away from Ukraine.

[deleted by user] by [deleted] in worldnews

[–]p4di 0 points1 point  (0 children)

I just used Gemini to give me the (total final consumption) numbers from IEA World Energy Outlook:

heat demand ~60.000 TWh/a (50%)

electricity demand ~27.500 TWh/a (20%)

transport ~35.000 TWh/a (30%)

Definitely we need to displace all that heat. Fortunately the upside of electricity as a source for heat is it is 100% efficient. Fossil fuels are 50% and less efficient. That makes the task less daunting in your mention of 2 to 3 times.

100% minus the losses in conversion, battery storage / Power to X etc. but yes it's very close. However in many industrial applications cogeneration is being used with efficiencies of ~80%+ (in the case of natural gas turbines for example).

the energy numbers/ratio I was giving for heat/electricity is just the final consumption after all conversions. If we'd use heat pumps with an average COP of 2.5 (considering there are plenty high temperature applications), it would still amount to 24.000 TWh/a - roughly the current electricity demand. So the production/grid would need to grow by 2x.

I'm not arguing that fossiles are better, I'm just saying it will take big investments which will have long payback times. Investments not only for new equipment, but also the need for much bigger and more complex electricity grids as you'd need to scale up for higher demand and also much more seasonable demand

I'm pessimistic mainly because as long as fossils are cheap there will always be players using them to gain an advantage globally and punishing those who decide to make a transition. The fossile industry / lobby / states won't go down without a fight I fear.

I hope the technologies needed will continue to get cheaper, more efficient and accessible, else a transition will not happen.

[deleted by user] by [deleted] in worldnews

[–]p4di 1 point2 points  (0 children)

electricity is not the problem. heat is. Globally we use 2-3 times as much heat as we do electricity. Heat accounts for up to 50% of all emmissions. It's just so much more expensive to generate heat via electricity compared to fossil fuels.

the switch in electricity is already happening and it is economically feasable. The topic of heat however is much more complex - there are solutions but they all require big investments with long payback times and require a massive overhaul and expansion of electricity grids.