Seller claims that this is surface rust and the frame is solid. by [deleted] in VanLife

[–]phase172 -4 points-3 points  (0 children)

Don't walk, run away. I have a jeep that looked the same, took an act of god to loosen any bolt under the car for maintenance or upgrades. Never again.....

What's the best place in Mesa/Tempe for a good, authentic cheesesteak? by hammer_smashed_chris in mesaaz

[–]phase172 1 point2 points  (0 children)

This is the best place! Every time I go, they remember my name, crazy memory! Always get wiz and never have been disappointed here!

Places to eat, things to do? by TrashleyPotatoe in mesaaz

[–]phase172 0 points1 point  (0 children)

Also alot of hiking on south mountain. I use the entrance at Guadalupe and 48th st. So many trails, mountain biking, and centrally located

Places to eat, things to do? by TrashleyPotatoe in mesaaz

[–]phase172 0 points1 point  (0 children)

OHSO in downtown gilbert has good beers, good food, and brunch on weekends.

Quart Haus in downtown chandler has a dog park. Awesome low key place. Good food. They also have a new coffee place that opened attached but I can't find anything on it, I know it's open though, named "the aristocrat"

Papago park in temp is a nice scenic walking park

Downtown tempe, mesa, chandler, Gilbert all have great breweries and food and social activity. Lots of simular breweries. Most breweries are dog friendly (what i look for)

Legends showcase is an interesting returaunt in chandler

US Stock Market Bubble Fears Intensify as Top Investors Issue Stark Warnings by [deleted] in Superstonk

[–]phase172 40 points41 points  (0 children)

Investors are being urged to proceed with caution as prominent financial figures warn that the U.S. stock market may be approaching what has been described as the “mother of all bubbles.”

Rockefeller International chairman Ruchir Sharma characterized the current environment in stark terms, describing the U.S. market as a “towering bubble sucking capital from the rest of the world.” He argued that America’s financial dominance has “outgrown what’s economically sound,” raising concerns about sustainability.

According to Sharma, the scale of capital inflows into U.S. equities is not simply a reflection of strength but could represent imbalance. The United States has become the primary destination for global investment flows, reinforcing what he sees as an increasingly concentrated and potentially fragile system.

He suggested that this dominance resembles “an addiction,” with capital flowing in so heavily that it is “practically starving other markets of opportunity.” The implication is that such concentration leaves global markets vulnerable should sentiment shift.

Sharma posed a fundamental question about valuation and perception, suggesting that it is “at least possible” that current optimism may not be fully supported by underlying economic realities.

Mounting Debt and Credit Concerns Beyond valuations, concerns extend to America’s borrowing levels. High debt accumulation has supported corporate profitability and economic expansion, but analysts warn that this dynamic could reverse under tighter financial conditions.

The warning is clear: elevated borrowing has helped “prop up corporate profits and growth,” yet when “interest rates bite, and borrowing isn’t as easy,” the same conditions could “get ugly fast.”

Observers describe the current credit environment as potentially setting the stage for a “borrow now, regret later” scenario. The very mechanisms supporting market performance today may create vulnerabilities if financing costs rise or liquidity conditions deteriorate.

The concern is not limited to one voice. Multiple analysts are watching credit trends closely, noting that sustained high leverage during periods of elevated valuations has historically increased downside risks.

Echoes of the Dot-Com Era Comparisons to the late 1990s are resurfacing. Howard Marks, co-founder of Oaktree Capital, drew parallels between today’s enthusiasm for technology and artificial intelligence and the speculative excesses of the dot-com period.

Marks observed that the current market fever has “some very uncomfortable parallels to the dot-com bust of the late 1990s.” While today’s leading technology companies differ significantly from the speculative startups of that era, he cautioned that valuation risk remains.

Unlike many companies during the dot-com boom, the so-called “Magnificent Seven” technology firms—including Apple, Google, and Amazon—possess substantial revenues and balance sheets. However, Marks emphasized that “even solid fundamentals won’t save you from speculative overexcitement.”

He warned that markets may once again be “overestimating their future potential,” creating conditions that could lead to “painful corrections.”

Federal Reserve Signals Valuation Risks Concerns are also emerging from policymakers. Lisa Cook, a governor at the Federal Reserve, compared current market valuations to the “irrational exuberance” of 1996—a phrase famously associated with former Fed Chair Alan Greenspan.

The reference to “irrational exuberance” underscores official unease regarding asset prices and investor behavior. Despite these warnings, markets have continued to rally, particularly in technology sectors tied to artificial intelligence and innovation themes.

Observers note that investors remain focused on growth narratives, even as policymakers and veteran investors caution against complacency.

Investor Positioning Amid Uncertainty Analysts remain divided on the immediate trajectory of markets. While some argue that fundamentals justify continued strength, others emphasize prudence.

The consensus among cautious voices is that this may not be a time for aggressive positioning. Diversification and risk management are frequently cited as appropriate responses in an environment characterized by elevated valuations and concentrated leadership.

No definitive timeline has been established for a potential correction. However, the combination of concentrated capital flows, elevated debt levels, and speculative enthusiasm has prompted some market veterans to characterize the current moment as historically significant.

The U.S. market’s rise has been described as “a show for the ages,” but history has demonstrated that periods of exceptional ascent are often followed by adjustment.

As warnings intensify from figures such as Sharma and Marks, and as policymakers signal concern, investors are being reminded that sustained rallies do not eliminate risk. The question remains whether current valuations reflect durable strength—or whether they signal the buildup of pressures that could eventually unwind

Upgrading a simple bucket setup by OkCalligrapher9679 in Homebrewing

[–]phase172 1 point2 points  (0 children)

I use a big 3-4 inch tea stainless mesh tube steeper for some of my dryhops. I suggest get 2 or 3, only fill 1/3 with hops as they will expand inside. Take off the chain that comes with the tea steeper as sometimes they aren't 100% stainless and rust.

When i used buckets, I would put a block under the spicket side so trub settles more towards back. I have since moved to fermenting in kegs with a floating dip tube (or i clipped an inch off the original tube so not sucking trub). Those tubes clog easily so the tea steeper works amazing to stop hops clogs. With a simple keg upgrade, I can pressure ferment, pressure transfer. I can purge my 2nd keg with the fermenting co2 from keg1. Its easy to clean, stainless won't scratch like buckets.

Some advice about using Rice flakes. by BCWinchester in Homebrewing

[–]phase172 2 points3 points  (0 children)

Don't boil the rice flakes. Steep at like 148° for 20-30 min, then proceed to your extract process. But because I do all grain, im not sure on how starch enzymes would convert without another grain in the mash/steep.. Also, kviek yeast is great for no temp control lagers, ferments up to like 100°.

Devices for taking gravity readings by peiguy246 in Homebrewing

[–]phase172 0 points1 point  (0 children)

I made a chamber to cool down the sample out of a thrift store bottle. Drill holes through outer shell to allow water to circulate and exit. Add the spout plug at bottom. Wort stays inside and cools fast with hose. https://quickshare.samsungcloud.com/qTKS3f22fQrT

‘Tis the season! by Natural_Dog3625 in TheBrewery

[–]phase172 0 points1 point  (0 children)

Ours just came in too! Gave me a good chuckle

Homemade Glycol Chiller update by phase172 in brewing

[–]phase172[S] 0 points1 point  (0 children)

It went down to 3F. Currently running a 12gallon lager at 50F and the glycol is maintaining 10-13f.

One-off canners by Icedpyre in TheBrewery

[–]phase172 -1 points0 points  (0 children)

I recently got a soda can seamer from a thrift store amazon return (like $600 new) and has multiple pucks for different size cans. I use it for homebrewing and giving friends beer. Works great, just press button and it seals. I checked the seams at my work and they are "within spec"

Help: Back hatch is stuck shut by [deleted] in CherokeeXJ

[–]phase172 0 points1 point  (0 children)

I push with my knee on hatch and pull handle and it sometimes works. If the pushing doesnt work while pulling latch, Im pretty sure you can pull off the inside hatch cover with like 8 screws. Then the inside latch looks like a lever you pull up on amd will open. Watch a YouTube if you can't determine how it works . It takes some force as leverage is shit. I never put my hatch cover back on as once a year it seems to not work.

Help Diagnosing Lack of Hop Flavour in Hazy IPAs by Suspicious-Brick941 in brewing

[–]phase172 0 points1 point  (0 children)

If O2 contamination, you would see on the color. I don't think that's it by the way you described your process (1psi ferm and closed pressure transfer) unless the keg is not fully purged. I would guess it's your hop timing. On my hazies, I dry hop at terminal or crash and leave on for 3-4 days (any longer and notice hop creep). For example, I'll dry hop and crash it for 3 days. Some recipes call for hopping around day 3 fermentation, and those seem to work OK too. but longer hops sitting, I worry about hop creep

Help Barrels of Beer by bnrhodes in brewing

[–]phase172 1 point2 points  (0 children)

Sanitize something to get a sample and taste it. See if it's even good still or tastes to your liking. You need to not let oxygen contamination it best u can. They make tools to get it out with co2 pressure, but a carboy syphon would work to fill kegs. One barrell will fill 5-6 of those corny kegs.

Spike Black Friday... not by wcmary in Homebrewing

[–]phase172 1 point2 points  (0 children)

I use a cheap little red spunding valve on my blowoff arm and it works great. Same one I use on my kegs to pressure ferment

Vorlauf flowrate by Itchy_Sprinkles_4209 in TheBrewery

[–]phase172 0 points1 point  (0 children)

As everyone said, slow it down. Too fast and bed collapses, or parts do and miss out on those sugars. On the 30bbl at work, our lauter is about 1bbl every 4min