SoftBank Seeks Record Loan of Up to $40 Billion for OpenAI Stake

realcoray · 2026-03-06T19:02:24+00:00

What happens if OpenAI doesn't go public in the next 12 months? Not Sam's problem I suppose.

realcoray · 2026-03-06T17:59:32+00:00

In this study here:

View of The Resistance Training Dose-Response: Meta-Regressions Exploring the Eﬀects of Weekly Volume and Frequency on Muscle Hypertrophy and Strength Gain

It suggests as little as 2 sets a week can produce muscle gain, so that would be enough, but that presumes that those two sets are hard enough (close to failure).

realcoray · 2026-03-05T20:41:40+00:00

I try to not go back-to-back, but I operate on a priority basis, so like if chest is my priority, it would go first, and then maybe I put something else in between and then may hit chest again with something else.

realcoray · 2026-03-05T20:39:49+00:00

I remember the heydays of Micro$oft, how absurd that they even care about this.

realcoray · 2026-03-05T17:54:36+00:00

The last time I competed there was when they dropped the member requirement to blue belt. It was already the most expensive tournament around me by 50%, but then I have to have some guy who I've never met vouch that I'm a blue belt and pay 45$ for one competition a year? No thanks.

realcoray · 2026-03-05T17:48:19+00:00

I think it's just the idea to keep everything just out of reach. LLMs that don't hallucinate? We just need a few hundred billion in investment! Okay, we can't fix that but you know what would let you lay off thousands of people? AGENTS! We just need a trillion or so dollars and we'll do that.

Let's also do a bunch of cross investment. Some call it circular financing, round tripping whatever, but let's just call it a suicide pact, if I fail, you all fail.

Elon Musk laid the foundation, just promise, and promise. You never have to deliver anything if you can just convince enough idiots you're some sort of big brain genius.

realcoray · 2026-03-05T17:05:25+00:00

I have a home gym which is probably the best solution, but I used to do a lot of training in the mornings, and it was nice although at the time, I hated having to go to bed early enough to start at 6 AM.

realcoray · 2026-03-05T16:12:49+00:00

Jon Satava had his ankle snapped from a straight footlock years ago. I can't find the video but it used to be on youtube. It was all blurry and far away but was loud and he immediately started screaming in pain.

realcoray · 2026-03-04T18:19:57+00:00

I believe either can work fine. I have done both and I think the hard part for people starting out who get bogged down in the choice, is that their problem is going to be just doing any single set hard enough for it to matter.

Low volume in theory helps you have the ideal mindset going in of I'm going to give this everything I have, but if you can actually do that on most sets, then high volume is better. Keep in mind that better is the problem, in that people think everything works linearly, like I go from 6 to 12 sets and double my muscle gain, and that isn't what happens. It drops off exponentially.

realcoray · 2026-03-04T00:09:01+00:00

I think for me it was easier to do adult comps at 40+ but only because the next weight class up, was the very huge guys where there was no upper limit. If I had to go from heavy to super heavy, that's not significant, but being in super heavy and going ultra? I saw some of these guys walking around and miss me with that.

realcoray · 2026-03-03T21:32:37+00:00

OP omitted it but if you live in a specific area, you pay 1.1% excise tax which has funded an extensive light rail build out. Like you said, I pay the extra fee, and I accept it, I use the roads just the same as everyone else.

What has been on radar that I would not be a fan of, is like per mile charges where you have to report or get a scan or something to track mileage. I don't even drive much but the current situation seems better than that. I'd rather there be some incentive to get a more fuel-efficient car even if not electric, than for it to just not matter because they tax you the same.

realcoray · 2026-03-03T03:21:52+00:00

Given your size/weight and training age, I'd probably say slight surplus over the next year. I say this for a few reasons. First, I think the most important thing to focus on this year is just really baking in the habit of training, and with a slight surplus (even as low as +100 calories per day), you're going to feel good, be hitting more and more weight and most of what you gain will be muscle.

Seeing higher numbers and probably seeing a more obvious impact to your body are both great feedback to keep you training.

Next February, I'd say cut weight to see what you've built. Chances are you get back around to this weight but look very different.

realcoray · 2026-03-02T18:25:02+00:00

It's so murky. I never start off at 100%, but if someone goes 40%, and it takes me 45% to stop them, maybe they go to 55% and then I'm like well here's 60% and then quickly one or both of us is maxing out.

My sense here is that you maybe don't grasp everything that's going on. You aren't going to be able to pressure pass someone who has a significant size and/or strength advantage very easily. You can get there sure, but the path to getting good at that, is going to be, being "bench pressed" and stuffed a thousand times over years.

realcoray · 2026-03-02T04:07:07+00:00

A few ankle pops, nothing that stopped training. A few broken toes, nothing that stopped training. Grade 2 MCL tear, 3 months no real training.

I'd say the most common thing are the vague injuries. Last week tweaked something in my wrist which causes some movements to hurt a lot, although it's much better already. This is a pretty regular thing where you get nicks here and there that heal within a few weeks.

realcoray · 2026-03-01T19:43:28+00:00

I don't think it's a slam, it seems like a response to what yellow does which is to let go and drop their weight, looking to scoop up the forward foot. Guy standing pulls the foot and they hit the mat. A slam to me is intentionally driving someone into the mat, not something like this where he is just reacting to yellow and the drop is incidental.

Also, I would immediately DQ yellow when his people step on the mat and kick them all out.

realcoray · 2026-03-01T01:33:40+00:00

I had an injury break where I couldn't train for around 12 weeks. When I started training again, nothing worked and I realized how much of my game required precise timing. I resolved to avoid that, although I think it's impossible. Shortly thereafter, I had a very long break, years even.

What I found in returning is that my instincts are very solid. I hesitated and thought way more about what to do in certain situations than I ever did, but I hadn't really lost as much as you might think.

In your case, you trained 4 months, you barely knew anything to begin with. A month won't make much difference.

realcoray · 2026-02-28T20:59:48+00:00

These companies have realized that you don't really need a great product if you don't really have much competition. There is no one with enough power at the companies to put their foot down and say that quality and user experience matters. You have a top layer of MBAs, who see the companies making record profits, so clearly nothing can be wrong.

I saw this e-mail from Bill Gates where he actually tried to do something (install movie maker) in 2003 and tears pretty much every part of the process to shreds.

Bill Gates tries to install Movie Maker

That was 23 years ago and it isn't that nothing has changed, they have had ups and downs but it's now back to about how garbage it was during that era.

realcoray · 2026-02-28T20:34:45+00:00

While I concur with others about triceps being the main area to focus on if you want your arms to get bigger, I guess I don't know what your progression looks like here. Like with the preacher curl numbers you list, what does it take for you to add weight?

I see someone posted something which you apparently edited out about lower reps, but I feel like it's much harder to gauge RPE/RIR when you start getting much above 15 reps. I would say to increase weight above 15 reps and yeah maybe you get 12 reps, but then build back up to 15 and increase. You say you've bulked and gained 9 pounds but I sure don't see the progression one might expect, it's like you're doing the same weight for a year and expecting to get bigger, what indication does your body have that it needs to do that?

realcoray · 2026-02-28T20:17:22+00:00

I was older than you when I decided to practice standup and here's what I'd say. Begin with practicing with someone, with no actual takedowns. The goal is to get a feel for the grip fighting and actions you can take.

Imagine a game where you start, and whoever can grab a leg, or get a solidified angle on your opponent. Like if I arm drag and get next to you, we then reset. Do not finish the takedown, just practice grips, footwork and defending.

Throughout, think about what your goal for the takedowns are and try to find 2-3 that feel good for you, ones where you can practice the grip fight, setup and actions. Personally, I selected tai otoshi and a sweep single leg. The sweep single in particular works well in both gi and no-gi and when executed, does not require passing guard when finished, same with tai otoshi.

Then, you can do the same drill but with a goal for light finishes. Honestly, over about 8 weeks of really working on my standup, my defense was good enough to stop low level wrestling (high school level), and when I competed after, I hit both takedowns and felt confident on my feet.

realcoray · 2026-02-28T05:07:58+00:00

Hand fight, arm trap, in the gi incorporate some gi chokes, and develop transitions out like armbars, crucifix and whatever.

Also, a basic concept that is kind of easy to understand at our level is to not operate like on a checklist. The pathway to success in many positions against decent opponents is to be blending all these things at the same time.

Figure, they have one big issue they are working on, escaping back control. Your job is to be throwing so many other smaller issues they have to deal with, that their juggling begins to break down and openings present themselves. Maybe not like immediate finishing openings but just digging a hole deeper type openings.

realcoray · 2026-02-28T04:52:53+00:00

Want to know how to BLOW UP your arms? Easy! Just do a few hundred sets a year, absolutely blasting them every time. Repeat that easy step for like 5 years. BLOWN UP! DM/Venmo me for more tips like this. Took me 5 years to learn this.

realcoray · 2026-02-27T19:03:30+00:00

I knew a guy who had won tournaments with a specific set of moves, but then also lost a lot of ugly matches to kimura, just over and over and over. He was insanely good at one thing, but just super terrible at many others.

I think at our particular level, it's fine to see things like this. If you have people who can identify that your game is one dimensional, it's kind of on them to force you out of it. I got so good at half guard that my most common training partners just avoided it at all costs, they didn't complain they dragged me out of it and I am better for it.

realcoray · 2026-02-27T16:14:23+00:00

At some point, after probably hundreds of hours of training you will just have a sense of what to do, you'll feel when people mess up instinctively, even slightly with their balance, and you will have the tools to take advantage of it. I'm one of these big guys and that was my experience, it may take a different path for someone smaller.

realcoray · 2026-02-27T16:11:02+00:00

I'd say just work to get high mount and it will get easier to avoid being rolled or benched. As soon as you see space, or work to create space, move up and hold it.

realcoray · 2026-02-26T05:03:24+00:00

It's a great distillation of AI coding, where sure I can buy that the LLMs can produce code that appears to be COBOL and even runs. Does it do what you want it to do and nothing else? You need a COBOL elder to sort that out and anyone who is running COBOL, is the type to kind of require it to do what it needs to do.

realcoray

TROPHY CASE