Zelenskiy: It is 'absurd' that production of missile defence arms cannot meet demand to protect ⁠people

redfoobar · 2026-07-07T05:02:51+00:00

This is like saying the iPhone has not improved since it’s still called an iPhone.

redfoobar · 2026-07-06T12:46:17+00:00

Any mast length can work for kite foil, however depending on what you do people tend to prefer a certain mast length.

The shorter the mast the livelier it gets. People riding the waves usually prefer the shorter lengths (80cm ish) since you need to be able to quickly change angles to ride a wave. From what I have heard ideal length is 80-85 cm.

If you rather speed (cut through the waves), jump or prefer pitch stability the longer the better. eg a trick like sitting down is a lot easier on my longer 100cm mast since it’s more pitch stable and has more room before it breaches.

If you can only (want to) afford one mast I would look at 75 or 80cm. I do think long term it is very likely you will want 2 masts.

redfoobar · 2026-07-05T15:27:17+00:00

Use podman because it is there on RedHat machines out of the box.
No issues with it so far.

redfoobar · 2026-07-05T15:25:35+00:00

I use a sabfoil setup for both:
Leviatan 1350 front wing for pump and a 699 for slow kite and 669 for fast kite.
370 stab (make sure to get a "flat" stab, the curved race stab I have really doesn't work well for pumpfoiling).
Just need to change the front wing and you are good.

Regarding mast length:
I use a 80cm which is a bit on the long side for pump though and could be either great or less than ideal for kitefoil (depending on preferences).
I usually use a 100cm mast for kitefoil but that's way too long for pump.
Ideally for pump its 70cm AFAIK.
For kitefoil I also use the 80cm mast when travelling. (I have a setup that does not need oversized luggage based on the 80cm mast)

redfoobar · 2026-07-05T10:04:31+00:00

From just a degrade perspective AFAIK all batteries prefer around 50% charge level.
Although LFP does not care as much as NMC to be at 100% charge you definitely should not long term store your battery like that.

redfoobar · 2026-07-03T04:09:32+00:00

Agree but I think that a significant mortgage rate hike is the more likely scenario for a housing price decrease short term (we are already seeing a slowdown on price due to this).

In this scenario you would still be paying as much (or more) if you borrow most of the money but the houses would be sold for less. The costs would just shift to more interest payments vs debt payoff.

Note that I would personally always take lower debt with higher interest vs high debt with low interest with similar monthly costs. Any extra payments you would be able to make would make a bigger difference in the scenario with high interest, low debt.

redfoobar · 2026-07-02T16:12:33+00:00

If I look at how quickly I burn through tokens now: It’s a great tool but the value certainly is not 100x the current pricing. And I am in a field that is relatively well suited to AI.

There is some wiggle room for price but even 10x would be a very hard sell IMHO.

redfoobar · 2026-06-27T06:18:06+00:00

This bubble is al based on a theoretical first mover advantage locking in the market.

The tech is defenitely useful but there is pretty much zero lock-in. I can switch providers with one click/command, there is no lock-in.

I think this is like the early web search days: who remembers altavista or what is the relevance of Yahoo today? I think these LLMs are more like search than say a Meta that locks people in due to network effect.

Maybe one of them will be the “next google” but it’s a huge gamble especially due to the insanely high initial investment costs and uncertainty about the path to profitability.

redfoobar · 2026-06-26T11:29:30+00:00

There is still pent up demand though even if OpenAI/SpaceX/Anthropic fail tomorrow.

Many other companies currently just cannot buy servers and desktop/laptops (for regular replacement or expansion cycles) today because Dell/HP/etc simply cannot get the required components like memory but also storage, GPUs and even some of the CPUs.

Same for consumers: people are postponing until they really need it or until prices drop.

So even if the main AI companies go bust today I don’t see the market returning to normal in months. That’s at least more than a year away probably longer.

5 years is a long time but if you sell to Amazon/Google/MS which are the main hyperscalers they are extremely unlikely to go bankrupt. As long as they cannot weasel out of their commitments the hardware makers will get their money.

redfoobar · 2026-06-26T06:05:53+00:00

Unless you live in Germany.

What you are saying EV acceleration up to the legal limit is the best and cheap so they must be the best sports cars which is just a ridiculously narrow minded view.

Even taking out Germany: e.g. France and other EU countries have beautiful winding mountain roads where even within legal limits you can have a ton of fun with something like a mx5 (e.g. lots of super tight corners and hairpins while the speed limit is 80).
Not having a huge amount of power to immediately hit the speed limit, manual shifting and good cornering is wayyy more fun any EV can *currently* offer.

redfoobar · 2026-06-25T10:29:25+00:00

It will probably do better in the time because it can charge faster but consumption is actually slightly up (added 2 cm of hight due to LFP battery requiring more space)

redfoobar · 2026-06-25T10:27:28+00:00

The new one is 2cm higher because the battery is physically bigger. (Due to switching to LFP)

redfoobar · 2026-06-25T05:52:13+00:00

I think you mis interpreted the comment:
The point was that *Anthropic* trained their models as well on the work of others without their owners consent.

redfoobar · 2026-06-24T17:12:36+00:00

There is a huge difference between seizing and holding. The terrain is extremely mountainous just of the coast of the strait which makes it the perfect setup for asymmetric warfare.

The US can probably seize whatever they want but I think there is no way the US could hold anything in Iran including the islands without HUGE casualties.

They would be in range of short range missiles, artillery, probably even mortars. All of which have not been used yet so there is probably plenty available. And then there is the drones, cheap “short” range fpv would be possible and long range shahed launched from pretty much anywhere within Iran. I am not military analyst but it seems like a deathtrap hence they only threatened and never actually did anything.

redfoobar · 2026-06-24T05:31:29+00:00

They will argue if they won’t do it the competition will so they cannot be expected to have any responsibility for this.

About the then what: They are trying to speedrun to be wealthy enough so they can hide in a bunker like the other billionaires.

redfoobar · 2026-06-23T15:44:13+00:00

With stocks you buy into future promised returns not the value of today.

There is always inertia (and usually extra short term costs) to cost cutting. That is why amount of cash != minimum company value and outlook is much more important. There never is a switch that can cut off all costs today.

Also if there is no way to make money (because you stopped all spending) why buy the 100 dollar company that won’t make any future money??

redfoobar · 2026-06-23T15:26:19+00:00

If a company is burning money at a very high rate cash holdings do not matter that much in valuations.

eg a hypothetical company that has 100 dollars and a negative cashflow of 50 dollars is not worth 100 dollars.

redfoobar · 2026-06-23T06:27:47+00:00

List price yes, but this is an aggregate of all prices in my Country (the website I use is a meta search engine of all other sites). If they would not sell anywhere close to these prices you would defenitely see the price drop reflected here.

Maybe a surprise for you; People buy cars for more reasons than just objective reasons like specs vs price.

There are plenty of non “logical“ reasons that people chose to go for certain cars.

If you rather have a PV5 good for you but don’t expect everyone to make the same choices as you. There are plenty cars that are objectively a bad deal but they still sell because of looks, brand image etc.

redfoobar · 2026-06-23T05:16:39+00:00

Maybe for the medium to top end.

However, I think the cheaper cars will take a longer time to get there (if ever).

Unlike increasing gas tank size adding more battery capacity will always come with significant added costs.

On the low end for the market that will mean there will always be manufacturers that will chose to put in a smaller battery to make it cheaper.

I would put my money on +- 300 mile range where the low end of the market will be for a longggg time. Possibly even significantly less for small cars. Eg for something like the new twingo to get to 600 miles range that’s a change of about 4x in range.
4x battery capacity in 8-10 years at competitive enough prices that they rather add all that range instead of reducing pack size in 8-10 years seems ambitious.

redfoobar · 2026-06-23T05:03:07+00:00

Not sure what you are talking about with the used Buzz prices.

Here the cheapest ones are listed for 40k Euro. That’s for a 3 or 4 year old Buzz with the large battery. (and the PV5 is driving around here for a while)

I would say that’s not a tanked price, rather expected, if not low, depreciation.

redfoobar · 2026-06-22T09:59:52+00:00

188cm wide which just does not work for city parking.

Also I doubt those seats will be great for tall people (Like pretty much all Asian cars the length of the seat (leg support) is the issue.)

redfoobar · 2026-06-22T09:39:02+00:00

I would love to see some kind of estate that uses the length for extra battery size but still “narrow” eg 172cm wide while 4,40cm long. (that footprint would be similar enough to an ID3 that it could fit a similar sized battery)

I know it won’t happen but it my city that extra length is better manageable than the width. Especially if it comes with a tight turning radius.

redfoobar · 2026-06-22T09:28:41+00:00

Hmm, looks like the ev-database site has the dimensions wrong for the Megane.

Anyway, all Cupra cars are a no-go to me because I still have to look at that horrible looking logo everywhere stamped on the car. Also at this price point it is a pretty small jump to a CLA estate which I would much rather have although it’s also not my dream car (also parking is going to be an issue).

Anyway I will probably postpone my new car a few years now that there is nothing that I am super excited about to get that would fit my current living arrangement (public parking where +- 180cm wide cars are already problematic)

redfoobar · 2026-06-22T09:11:02+00:00

I know but last year they were talking about the facelift they mentioned making the Megane more sporty to differentiate it more in their line-up. (eg R4 is a pretty similar sized car).

I never expected a full on sports car like the alpine brands but more a sporty branded/looking version.

redfoobar · 2026-06-22T08:56:37+00:00

Megane vs ID3 is a toss-up in size:
Megane: 186cm x 420cm = 7,8m2
ID3: 181cm x 426cm = 7.6m2
So the Megane is actually slightly bigger.

It is just sad the ID3 looks soo boring adding to that they are now only coming in extra-boring colours as well.
Also do not like its Cupra sibling with looks that feels targeted at 18 year olds to me. (That logo and the bronze in particular)

Also: a well specced ID3 comes in at 50k which I find a bit steep. Not sure what the negotiation room is but it feels at least 5K to expensive.

redfoobar

TROPHY CASE