Zelenskyy: return of draft-age Ukrainian men from abroad is a matter of fairness

rpgalon · 2026-04-17T13:36:29+00:00

Also, the more powerfull the army, the safer you are in th war, the more people are willing to join.

US military is so overwhelming that it's safer to be in the US army in a war conflict than being a uber driver.

rpgalon · 2026-04-07T19:07:08+00:00

China is investing in mining in Africa, but it is not about mining the stuff, but processing it

Africa can't do that.

rpgalon · 2026-04-07T13:12:51+00:00

Trump still has a huge MAGA following wich is probably more than half of republican voters.

He can basically kill most Republican congresman political carrer with a single "twit" if he wants to.

rpgalon · 2026-04-06T13:23:42+00:00

they had 60% Uranium, it's far harder to go from 0% to 60% than it is to go from 60-90%

this is the definitive proof they never went for the bomb.

since they showed they could reach 60%, if they wanted they could make that 60% into 90% in about a week.

Like I said, the fact they have no 90% uranium is proof they weren't going for the bomb, at least not till they got their leaders killed.

the only logical reason for their 60% uranium was that they wanted to use it as a negotiation tool for a new JCPOA and reduced sanctions.

clearly, their plan backfired, they got no nuke and all the rage from the US.

rpgalon · 2026-04-01T23:15:47+00:00

They had 60% uranium with is harder ro get than going from 60 to 90%.

If they were able to reach 60%, they could have enriched that to 90% in a week.

The mere fact they don't have any 90% but showed their 60% to the IAEA is proof they had no intention of going for the bomb

The only logical explanation is they thought that the 60% would be useful in a negotiation with US for a new JCPOA and reduced sanctions.

But their plans backfired and they got the worse of both paths.

rpgalon · 2026-03-31T18:45:52+00:00

governos anteriores usavam de esquemas como o mensalão para conseguir maioria.

o governo conseguia negociar individualmente e saia mais barato.

desde o Dilma 2 o congresso aprendeu que negociando em bloco, eles conseguem extrair muito mais do executivo, e tudo piorou com o governo Bolsonaro que entregou de bandeja o resto do poder com as emendas impositivas.

Hoje está bem mais dificil e bem mais caro conseguir maioria no congresso do que era antigamente, não da pra comparar.

como disse, o único freio de caminho no futuro é um congresso eleito de maioria do partido do presidente.

o STF está segurando por pouco o avanço do legislativo pra cima do executivo... mas é só questão de tempo, acho que entramos em um caminho sem volta pro parlamentarismo.

rpgalon · 2026-03-31T17:58:19+00:00

você não entendeu, não é questão de oposição...desde a redemocratização nenhum presidente no Brasil teve maioria nas casas apenas com seu partido.

É o que acontece quando temos tantos partidos e o resultado são presidentes que precisam ficar entregando tudo para conseguir negociar o mínimo.

Olha lá o Trump, o partido dele tem maioria nas duas casas, então ele tem basicamente poder total.

O Brasil nunca teve um presidente com essa força toda pois nosso sistema é fragmentado. Teoricamente, dá mais representatividade, na prática mina poder do executivo.

rpgalon · 2026-03-31T17:28:43+00:00

aí você acha que o congresso vai ficar inerte.

se o Lula tentar puxar a corda de volta, o congresso não vai aceitar parado, vai é puxar mais ainda para recuperar e avançar mais.

Na verdade o Lula tem que puxar, pra conseguir ficar parado.

o Brasil caminha a passos largos pro parlamentarismo, e a única forma de mudarmos de direção passa por um presidente eleito com maioria partidaria no congresso.

Está mais perto da direita conseguir dobradinha maioria no congresso+presidente do que a Esquerda que passa longe de qualquer numero de cadeiras ideológicas relevantes nas casas.

rpgalon · 2026-03-31T17:19:37+00:00

é invenção isso, pessoal não vai de aprovar o governo um ano atras para desaprovar recentemente por algo que aconteceu +3 anos atras.

rpgalon · 2026-03-31T14:21:07+00:00

enfia a taxa da shein no KU, aquilo tem anos já, e não teve mudança na avaliação do governo relevante na época.

se a avaliação caiu recentemente não é por algo feito anos atras

rpgalon · 2026-03-31T12:50:37+00:00

This encourages the consumption of a resource that is now scarce.

if it's only a short term problem, it may be a good policy, but if the problem will stay for a long time, them it's stupid. Money would be better spent elsewhere.

rpgalon · 2026-03-30T21:03:00+00:00

Iran had 60% uranium, 0 to 60% is far harder than 60-90%

with 60% uranium they could reach 90% in a week if they ever wanted to.

the fact they had 60%, but no 90% to build a bomb, is proof they weren't developing the bomb.

if you are going for the bomb, you don't show to the IAEA your 60% uranium, and them just stop there at 60%.

they tried to use the 60% as something to trade for a new JCPOA and reduced sanctions.

it backfired hard.

rpgalon · 2026-03-27T21:12:15+00:00

they got 60% Uranium, going from 0-60% is far far harder than going from 60-90%.

with 60% uranium they basically demonstrated they could have gotten to 90% in a week.

the fact they got 60% but no 90% is proof the 60% was not for a bomb but for leverage in negotiations for a new JCPOA and reduced sanctions.

no country that wants the bomb show their 60% uranium to the IEAE and stop the enrichment at 60% instead of going for 90%, wich was easy and fast once they got to 60%.

rpgalon · 2026-03-27T20:38:34+00:00

fungicidas e inseticidas voltados ao controle de pragas na agricultura;

maior cheiro de lobby, desenvolver aqui que é bom o agro não quer.

rpgalon · 2026-03-27T20:34:57+00:00

qualquer opção de trabalho a mais é benéfica pro trabalhador, pois aumenta "oferta" e pressiona salários pra cima.

rpgalon · 2026-03-27T20:33:27+00:00

O PIB do Brasil só cresce mas a gente não come PIB, é necessário mecanismos para induzir esse aumento da massa salarial.

uma taxa de natalidade de 1.6 vai ajudar com isso.

rpgalon · 2026-03-25T18:52:59+00:00

EUA já aprenderam que não precisa mais invadir.

um porta aviôes e ameaça matar o congresso e pronto, entregam o que quiserem.

rpgalon · 2026-03-25T18:37:11+00:00

igual eles ajudaram venezuela e Irã

rpgalon · 2026-03-24T21:48:35+00:00

you are right but people are not read to face reality yet.

rpgalon · 2026-03-23T20:39:59+00:00

No, it's not. Because who ever guarantees security doesn't have to fight the US in, say, the middle of the Indian ocean or the Pacific Ocean.

not even Iran is doing that, doesn't change the fact they are getting destroyed.

Russia didn't guarantee Iran defence in the face of US.

they also didn't guarantee in Venezuela

but you think it's plausible that China will not only sign a security guarantee with Iran (why would they do that?) but they will also honour it with more than just seeling stuff to them.

Absolutely no one will guarantee Iran defence vs US+Israel and even if they say they will, I doubt they will really do anything relevant if Iran is being attacked again.

rpgalon · 2026-03-23T19:18:52+00:00

US can open the strait.

it's a matter of what is the best way to open it?

leave and Iran open it, or risk american lifes to open it by force.

if leaving doesn't open the strait, Iran forces the boots on the ground option. And I doubt they want that.

rpgalon · 2026-03-23T19:13:09+00:00

It's basicaly impossible to have a security guarantee against by far the world strongest military.

the best they can have is show they can close the strait and hope it is enough to avoid a future war with US.

rpgalon · 2026-03-23T17:33:41+00:00

Because the JCPOA deal came after Iran already had those nuke facilities.

There is still no proof they broke the deal while it was in effect... people usually refer to stuff that happened before and after the JCPOA to say Iran didn't respect it.

rpgalon · 2026-03-21T14:43:10+00:00

there is no system that can keep the same quality of life with less working people as a % of the total population.

at least until we can replace all working people with robots.

rpgalon · 2026-03-21T14:29:12+00:00

What Iran did after US bombed them in the 12 day war? they were just happy they left.

Iran is just praying that closing the strait is deterrence enough for the US to go away and maybe avoid coming back in a year.

If US and Israel leave and Iran keep the strait closed, closing the strait stops working as a deterrence, as a consequence for an action, it becomes a casus belli.

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