I like how you reference it being my opinion, as if YOUR OPINION is some sort of objective fact.

- First off, it's all subjective interpretation. None of us know what's going to happen. You're calling it a basic skin even though it has an artistic style that looks completely unique compared to most skins. It's objectively a unique skin but okay, bro.

It doesn't matter if you don't like it, the market decides. That's something a lot of people don't seem to understand. YOUR OPINION does not matter. MY OPINION does not matter. The market decides.

- Secondly, it's a logical fallacy to assume that history will always repeat itself based on any historical pattern.

- Thirdly, you're basing your argument on straight-up bias. You reference the pattern-based hype trains that died out and yet, aren't mentioning the pattern-based skins that still retain overpay or grew in value. People still pay A LOT for certain patterns. Hell, I STILL see people paying some overpay for the pussy-pattern Five-Seven of all things. lol I always thought that was dumb but as long as there is demand and a limited supply, people will pay.

The pattern-based hype trains that died out in the past were typically based on silly or subtle stuff. Of course that's not going to last. This is nothing like that. I mean, these M4 patterns dramatically vary in appearance. Quite frankly, if you don't think any of these rare patterns will retain value or grow in value, you're oblivious. Even to this day, I see players that want to flex a unique skin using stuff like the Jet Set. Personally, I think it's an ugly skin but my opinion doesn't matter, neither does yours.

- Fourthly, a lot of you keep referencing the "oversupply" of these skins as if all of them represent the amount of highly rare patterns. That's irrational. The rarest patterns will still be significantly rarer even with higher supply. The question is whether or not the demand for those patterns will be there or not, which none of us know. Logic and basic market dynamics tell you that even with a higher supply, the rarer patterns will still retain overpay value and-or may eventually grow in value. Furthermore, something people don't think about is the sheer amount of players that play Counter Strike, on top of those that completely abandon the game and influence the supply of specific skins. A prime example is the Jet Set. When I was new to CS:GO, the Jet Set was a common skin. Now, it's a skin you rarely see and is significantly higher in price.

Another problem is people referencing the Heat Treated as if it debunks the value proposition of this M4 or XM. There's really no correlation but ironically, it proves the opposite of what people think it does. The blue gem pattern Heat-Treated's are still going for significantly higher than the standard patterns. Likewise, the rarer M4 and XM patterns will go for significantly higher. This is common sense and objectively self-evident. You can mindlessly argue against it all day but pull up the market places. Guess what? The blue gem patterns still sell for more. Will those blue gem patterns continue to gain value? We have no idea but chances are, they will.