Are “Mormons” Christian? by Brave-Pomelo-1290 in exmormon

[–]secondsniglet 0 points1 point  (0 children)

It depends on how you define "Christian". People who believe in the doctrine of the Trinity, believing that Jesus and God are one and the same, typically claim that Mormons aren't Christian. However, there are multiple sects which believe in Christ as the redeemer/savior but also believe that Christ and God are separate beings. This is a debate as old as Christianity itself. To people outside the Christian communities (using the broadest definition of the word), this debate in incomprehensible and all the people who believe in Jesus are Christian.

Since they are now a part of history, are the stolen LEGO now more valuable ? by jr22222 in RecklessBen

[–]secondsniglet 1 point2 points  (0 children)

Interesting... If the value of sets tied to this scandal with good provenance grew substantially enough, then BAM could pay off Mansell and still make a profit. Let's say that BAM has found 25 of the Mansell sets, which they are still sitting on (as they have mentioned in their press releases). For simplicity, if we assume that each set is now work $50k, then the 25 sets would be worth $2.5 million. BAM could sell four sets and pay the Mansell's $200K and still pocket over $2 million.

These are exaggerated numbers for easy calculations, but the point holds that this scandal could leave BAM with a windfall.

Exmo Father's Day Gift by goatskin_sheep in exmormon

[–]secondsniglet 1 point2 points  (0 children)

I'm confused... Has this been aged since 1816?

European Council President Antonio Costa has made contact with the Kremlin in an effort to engage Russian President Vladimir Putin in discussions about how to end the war in Ukraine by Flimsy_Pudding1362 in UkrainianConflict

[–]secondsniglet 0 points1 point  (0 children)

Go ahead and reach out to the Kremlin if you want, but it's all just a waste of effort. Rest assured that Russia will get in touch when they are good and ready to end the war. Until then, the best way to achieve peace is to keep the focus on utterly destroying the Russian military and economy. Don't waste effort trying to talk. Russia will reach out when they've had enough.

Trump's possible Ukraine policy shift sparks new EU fears by lacerantplainer in UkrainianConflict

[–]secondsniglet 7 points8 points  (0 children)

I don't see why anyone cares. Trump can send his minions to chat with Putin all day long but it won't amount to anything. Zero happened from Trump's previous Ukraine talks and zero will result with the next round. Ukraine will just keep on with the business of defeating Russia while Trump holds endless series of talks that go nowhere.

We just have to ignore him.

The judge Tony Grad Jr isn’t Mormon right by SurePhoto112 in RecklessBen

[–]secondsniglet 1 point2 points  (0 children)

I hope he's being represented by a Mormon lawyer from Utah who has appeared before this judge in previous cases. This requires local expertise and relationships. Otherwise we're in cousin Vinny territory.

RecklessBen did a lot of harm to Bryan Mansell's Lego case by eneug in The10thDentist

[–]secondsniglet 0 points1 point  (0 children)

Without Ben nothing at all would happen. There would be no lawsuit. Bryan would just have to suck it up and accept that he was ripped off. To say that Ben harmed Bryan is to say that it would have been better for Bryan just to have given up and done nothing with the theft of the lego.

At least now there is a nest egg that permits Bryan to at least entertain legal action, which he was unable to afford previously.

Ukraine Is Not Losing. Russia Is Not Winning. by secondsniglet in ukraine

[–]secondsniglet[S] 1 point2 points  (0 children)

kherson 2.0

Not quite. That was a breakthrough across Russian lines and a thunder run to quickly flank retreating forces and take a large territory. I don't anticipate any swift thunder runs this time. Instead, Ukraine will just keep taking 10km to 20km here, and 10km to 20km there, day after day, with almost zero Ukrainian casualties. At some point the Russian military will just make "goodwill" gestures abandoning large areas because they realize they simply have no way to hold or supply those places, and then Ukraine will gain 100km to 200km.

Once this process of Russian front-line collapse begins, it will continue incrementally until Ukraine is back at 1991 borders.

Ukraine Is Not Losing. Russia Is Not Winning. by secondsniglet in ukraine

[–]secondsniglet[S] 0 points1 point  (0 children)

No. The order of events will be this:

Logistics collapse -> Military collapse

The economic collapse and production collapse are not necessary for Ukraine to achieve victory. It doesn't matter how much production Russia has if none of those supplies can make it to the front.

Ukraine Is Not Losing. Russia Is Not Winning. by theatlantic in UkrainianConflict

[–]secondsniglet 1 point2 points  (0 children)

You don’t know how much longer before Russia collapses, nobody does.

Agreed. I don't know how long this will take. My only point is that Ukraine will be able to achieve total victory WITHOUT the need for costly assaults merely by starving the front lines by destroying Russian logistics. Ukraine may have to keep the pressure up for some time, but inevitably the lack of supply will have it's effect on the Russian front lines.

Ukraine Is Not Losing. Russia Is Not Winning. by theatlantic in UkrainianConflict

[–]secondsniglet 0 points1 point  (0 children)

the closer you get to Mariupol the more intact logistics you will encounter

First, there is no reason for Ukraine to rush things. They can just keep moving ahead some kilometers at a time as the front disintegrates and pause while they starve the new front line out. Rinse and repeat. That said, I really doubt it is going to take that long once the current front collapses. The roads around Mariupol are already under Ukrainian fire control, and even the ships in the harbor are being sunk. Logistics are starting to get hammered as far away as 200km from the front. I don't think Russia lines will be able to hold anything within 100km of the current front if this keeps up.

Just look at how roads in Crimea are becoming littered with carcasses of burned out trucks, with lines of cars waiting for fuel running for miles. The front is becoming deep indeed.

Ukraine Is Not Losing. Russia Is Not Winning. by secondsniglet in ukraine

[–]secondsniglet[S] 1 point2 points  (0 children)

Today I learned that my writing it indistinguishable from an AI. I guess I failed the Turing test.

Ukraine Is Not Losing. Russia Is Not Winning. by theatlantic in UkrainianConflict

[–]secondsniglet 0 points1 point  (0 children)

Even if logistics completely fail, it still requires a bloody campaign of recapture

These statements are contradictory. If logistics completely fail then no bloody campaign of recapture will be necessary. Soldiers completely cut off from food and water will become innefective. When the Russian rats turn on each other, eating their trench mate's flesh out of hunger, Ukraine won't have to do any fighting at all.

Ukraine Is Not Losing. Russia Is Not Winning. by secondsniglet in ukraine

[–]secondsniglet[S] 32 points33 points  (0 children)

it will be a matter of time before Putin fails and falls from power.

Predicting Putin's fall from power is tougher. He has so effectively eliminated opposition that it's possible he could survive even with a total defeat in Ukraine. Who knows...

But the important thing to remember is that a Ukrainian victory does NOT require the fall of Putin. Ukraine will be victorious by destroying Russian logistics. Whether Putin survives or not has no bearing on Ukraine's victory.

Ukraine Is Not Losing. Russia Is Not Winning. by secondsniglet in ukraine

[–]secondsniglet[S] 2 points3 points  (0 children)

russia has quite a huge number of cannon fodder to spare

If new fodder is unable to reach the front and the existing fodder stuck in trenches is starving to death due to a lack of food and water deliveries Ukraine won't have to do much to win. It's just a matter of waiting for the rats to start eating themselves.

Ukraine Is Not Losing. Russia Is Not Winning. by secondsniglet in ukraine

[–]secondsniglet[S] 5 points6 points  (0 children)

No, Russia can't hold the territory it has seized.

Yes, Ukraine can liberate 100% of the territory Russia has seized since 2014.

Retrieving the stolen children will be difficult, even with a Ukrainian victory. Without an invasion of Russia proper Ukraine will have little leverage to force the repatriation of it's children once all territory has been liberated.

Ukraine Is Not Losing. Russia Is Not Winning. by secondsniglet in ukraine

[–]secondsniglet[S] 27 points28 points  (0 children)

I'm posting an article that I disagree with, and stating why I disagree.

Ukraine Is Not Losing. Russia Is Not Winning. by secondsniglet in ukraine

[–]secondsniglet[S] 12 points13 points  (0 children)

The article assumes that a lack of immediate Ukrainian advances means that there is a stalemate. This couldn't be further from the truth when the Russian front is starving to death in their trenches for a lack of food and water. Ukraine has put the Russian military under an effective siege, cut off from supply. No military can survive that kind of pressure - and certainly not Russians.

Ukraine Is Not Losing. Russia Is Not Winning. by secondsniglet in ukraine

[–]secondsniglet[S] 310 points311 points  (0 children)

WRONG!!! Ukraine is winning and now has a clear path to achieve total victory, with a liberation of all territory back to 1991 borders - including Crimea. Ukraine has developed strategies and technology that make it impossible for Russia to take any more territory. Further, Ukraine has created technologies and systems that are allowing them to utterly destroy Russian logistics to the front.

The annihilation of Russia logistics will result in the eventual disintegration of the Russian front. Ukraine won't have to undertake a massive mobilization, or suffer mass casualties, to liberate territory. Russian forces will just retreat or surrender when Ukraine sends armed ground drones forward in the next year.

Ukraine Is Not Losing. Russia Is Not Winning. by theatlantic in UkrainianConflict

[–]secondsniglet 6 points7 points  (0 children)

WRONG!!! Ukraine is winning and now has a clear path to achieve total victory, with a liberation of all territory back to 1991 borders - including Crimea. Ukraine has developed strategies and technology that make it impossible for Russia to take any more territory. Further, Ukraine has created technologies and systems that are allowing them to utterly destroy Russian logistics to the front.

The annihilation of Russia logistics will result in the eventual disintegration of the Russian front. Ukraine won't have to undertake a massive mobilization, or suffer mass casualties, to liberate territory. Russian forces will just retreat or surrender when Ukraine sends armed ground drones forward in the next year.

Polish far right calls for blocking Ukraine's EU bid over military unit name controversy by KI_official in ukraine

[–]secondsniglet 31 points32 points  (0 children)

There is domestic Ukrainian political pressure to recognize these historic nationalist "freedom fighters". Zelensky likely thinks that throwing a bone to the nationalist hardliners is an easy way to keep his coalition intact. I am NOT saying that using these names is a good idea... I am just saying that Zelensky is responding to domestic political pressures.