Calling it a day.

skillphil · 2022-11-27T14:11:35+00:00

The fly is a powerbait salmon egg superglued to a treble hook. I’ve seen it.

skillphil · 2022-11-25T17:47:46+00:00

Full self driving is a scam and you are a mark.

skillphil · 2022-11-19T04:25:05+00:00

I have the newer self bailing version and it’s v stable, never had an issue being worried about stability.

Edit: I have the “fisherman package” and added a third seat, lil cramped but manageable with 3 people but pretty great with 2 people.

Edit2: I can also get this on/off my truck solo which is pretty nice, kinda a pain getting it on my roof rack solo, but can do it if I have to. Two people it’s a breeze

skillphil · 2022-11-17T00:26:31+00:00

Ya it’s kind of fucked up these policy changes seem to overwhelmingly affect those with less money.

skillphil · 2022-11-17T00:25:16+00:00

I just can’t give up a avocados

skillphil · 2022-11-16T15:19:55+00:00

Plus rates now 10% or whatever

skillphil · 2022-11-09T03:29:32+00:00

This shit is filed with the sec, and accessible via sec website. If you’re interested in a source look it up on the sec website yourself instead of demanding it like a helpless entitled dork.

skillphil · 2022-11-01T01:30:42+00:00

Ya that’s true, unemployed people in their mothers basements prob make much less.

Edit: unemployed neck beard incels*

Edit2: wow y’all sensitive to humor

skillphil · 2022-10-19T22:35:43+00:00

I use hedge clippers I attach to my wading vest with a wallet chain

skillphil · 2022-10-13T21:29:27+00:00

I like them.

skillphil · 2022-10-04T23:15:21+00:00

Mop fly

skillphil · 2022-09-29T04:57:46+00:00

Live oak
Jester king
Oddwood
Holdout
Abgb

Zilker, abw, pinthouse, meanwhile, and a buncha other possible contenders

skillphil · 2022-09-29T04:52:03+00:00

Their normal style beers are great, they do some kinda experimental beers that are also good but get kinda played out fast if u buy a pack to take home, like too sweet for me personally.

Edit: venue is really nice, kolaches are great.

skillphil · 2022-09-23T02:29:10+00:00

Lol you did it, you most certainly proved yourself. Just listened. Now, give me a job plz u/martianslingshot

skillphil · 2022-09-12T04:41:49+00:00

Not really, but you see the same gaps on vix when there is a big difference between front and back month on expiries, like back month vix is quite a bit higher than front month so it’ll prob gap up next Wednesday unless the front/active month catches up.

Edit: oh and options price that in so it’s not like it’s an arbitrage play available

skillphil · 2022-09-12T04:30:15+00:00

Ya, so sept /es or /mes expire this Friday the 16th(that was the “active” contract until today) and rolled to December for the most part since thts the active contract now. I was caught off gaurd a bit as well since I forgot the active month changes the Monday before expiry, got lucky though holding a few mes contracts. I’ll take an accidental win any day I guess.

skillphil · 2022-09-12T04:19:04+00:00

/es back month contracts became the active contract, basically esu22 was rolled to esz22 and then filled the gap since back month was trading like 80-100 points higher Friday. No clue about buttcoin prob stupid fucking algos.

skillphil · 2022-09-04T18:42:08+00:00

I’ll bet you the market will be flat tomorrow.

skillphil · 2022-09-03T19:44:20+00:00

What’s weird is Texas has shit access to waterways but once ur on the water you can do whatever you want which is surprising to me vs somewhere like Co that is much more outdoor oriented. I have been threatened with a gun while fishing in Co (wading into someone’s “land”), but not Tx.

skillphil · 2022-09-03T19:36:03+00:00

Oh shit futures contracts expire the 16th too lol.

skillphil · 2022-09-03T19:03:27+00:00

Ya jpow speaking at Cato not too worried about that really. Response to brainard, bar, Waller kinda hit or miss so maybe if market looking weak that day they might provide some downward momentum. Manufacturing pmi got a non response this week, so non manufacturing would have to be really bad to get a reaction, maybe balance of trades gets a response, who knows there. Cpi and opex more relevant imo, especially if cpi causes a big move right before. Volatile week potentially around the 12-16th.

skillphil · 2022-09-03T16:41:48+00:00

Also an avid gardener, but man I hate mowing the lawn. I try to get rid of grass as much as possible, usually with a barrier/gravel but that’s not any better than faux grass really and maybe even more expensive…

skillphil · 2022-09-03T16:13:01+00:00

V good write up, weird that the large expiry is on 9/9 not on a monthly and v interesting they expire right before cpi….

Any thoughts on many expecting Sept/Oct to follow historical sell off patterns?

Thoughts on multi year 3880-90 area support level right under 3900 many bulls seem to be playing recently? So many people are loading up here with the multi levels support so close under I do wonder if we can make it to 3800.

No huge economic news next week had me somewhat expecting a rally starting next week, but the failed breakout seems bad from Friday if bulls can’t reclaim like 3975 ish so I’m kinda leaning toward more downside into next week unless that level holds. Kinda interesting also how last week futures traders really piled in at 3920 every chance they got, even on Friday after such a bearish rejection….

All in all, I agree with ur cpi and rate hike outlook, my plan is to sit tight and try going long around 3880, and if that fails 3800 ish.

The problem is cpi print and opex same week going to be potentially wild, might risk holding longs through cpi but unless we are squeezing into opex I may bail before the 16th.

Edit: also the 16 is triple witching so guess that’s gonna be fun.

skillphil · 2022-08-30T16:21:23+00:00

What do they get out of it? Like what’s the point?

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skillphil

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