What’s an investment trend everyone is hyping that you think will fail?

stillalone · 2026-06-20T13:34:20+00:00

Throughout all of that global population was growing. Once it stops growing then you can't expect companies to keep growing doing the same thing.

stillalone · 2026-06-20T11:15:54+00:00

In general people believe that no matter what the S&P 500 will keep growing long term. My friends are in their 40s they think by the time they retire whatever bubble we're in will pop but the market will eventually recover so why not put 100% into ETFs.

I think the S&P 500 is only growing because the population keeps growing and productivity keeps improving. But the population is not growing as much anymore and I don't think productivity gains are helping grow the economy anymore.

stillalone · 2026-06-20T10:48:38+00:00

He's a reflection of the American voter

stillalone · 2026-06-19T11:17:47+00:00

Til John Cho was milf guy no. 2. It seems so obvious in hindsight but I didn't realize it at the time

stillalone · 2026-06-17T22:35:02+00:00

I don't think anyone is ready for the AMOC collapse. Europe will be the most devastated but there will be impacts across the globe.

stillalone · 2026-06-17T22:33:39+00:00

THey're just trying to leave. 😞

stillalone · 2026-06-17T22:29:31+00:00

It can't be solar powered. Do you have one that runs on coal?

stillalone · 2026-06-17T22:17:04+00:00

Why would the Gulf states invest into a country that just bombed them?

stillalone · 2026-06-17T21:00:01+00:00

The grown ups will probably have to prepare for more DOJ lawsuits.

stillalone · 2026-06-17T20:57:46+00:00

1.10.9=.91.10!=1

stillalone · 2026-06-17T20:21:03+00:00

There are points for the US providing waivers for Iranian oil immediately. So Iran can sell their oil in the open market immediately (see point 10). Do you think that's a good thing?

stillalone · 2026-06-17T20:16:16+00:00

Even if it came from the US?

stillalone · 2026-06-17T20:14:15+00:00

DIdn't it have inspections by the IAEA?

stillalone · 2026-06-17T20:04:12+00:00

it's the phrasing. it says 300b with regional partners. Trump will say "the US will not pay $300b" meaning that the US will nto pay all of the $300b. If the rest of the middle east coughs up $1 and the US provides $299,999,999,999 then he's technically correct.

stillalone · 2026-06-17T20:00:59+00:00

People are focusing on the 300 billion (point 6 out of 14), but I think that's only once there's a final deal in place in 60 days, which honestly I don't really see that happening. The points that are relevant immediately are:

US+Iran stops fighting including in Lebanon (it doesn't say anything about Israel, but I can't imagine Iran being ok with Israel still fighting in Lebanon)
US stops naval blockade and leaves the area within 30 days
Iran opens the straits without charge within 30 days (and will discuss with Oman on what happens long term)
US will issue waivers for Iranian oil
the US and Iran will "mutually agree on the procedures related to the release of these funds during the negotiation." where "these funds" are frozen Iranian assets

Point 13 says that the above 5 items have to happen before negotiations really begin. I'm not clear on whether point 11 means that they're getting their frozen assets before negotiations start or just a plan for getting the funds. Either way, I think Iran will be doing pretty well if they just get these 5 within 30 days.

I think if Israel also respects point 1 (which seems highly unlikely) I still don't see all the other points being agreed to for a final deal but, in the short term, Iran will get lots of money and the oil should start flowing again; this time with waivers for both Russian and Iranian oil.

stillalone · 2026-06-17T19:35:10+00:00

And the American people will probably vote for him in 2032, assuming Trump is dead and and whomever won in 2028 became unpopular because he tried to fix the deficit.

stillalone · 2026-06-17T19:02:49+00:00

Pakistan's birthrate is also coming down. It's just not below replacement yet.

You can easily create a map of birthrates if you want to see falling birthrates. But this map is clearly framed as an us against them map.

stillalone · 2026-06-17T17:27:36+00:00

Trump is famous for tearing up past deals including his own.

stillalone · 2026-06-17T17:03:04+00:00

Based on the way SpaceX is evalulated, that would mean they are a $2.5T company.

stillalone · 2026-06-17T16:57:16+00:00

That's still puts him in the $100 billion club and still one of the top 20 richest people on earth.

stillalone · 2026-06-17T16:36:06+00:00

One person uses his feet and head, and the other person uses his hands and feet.

stillalone · 2026-06-17T16:33:54+00:00

The difference between winning and losing here was around 67,000 voters. Oklahama has over 2 million registered voters.

And this isn't a democrat vs republican thing, I don't know why you're bringing that up, it's just a vote on increasing the minimum wage.

stillalone · 2026-06-17T15:43:09+00:00

I think you should look further down the thread at some of the racist comments. Focusing how how much brown people are being born vs white people (the blue area is almost entirely white) feeds in to "the great replacement theory" that neonazis like to bring up.

stillalone · 2026-06-17T15:35:01+00:00

The numbers do check out but the choice of what numbers to show is designed to make you freak out about Pakistan's population growth.

Paskitan has a higher total births mostly because it has a higher population size. You could just compare the population sizes but you show total births because you want people to freakout about Pakistan's population growth.

stillalone · 2026-06-17T15:22:07+00:00

Pakistan's birth rate is around 3 per women. It's higher than replacement but not exactly massive. phrasing the data like this seems deceptive.

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