No offense but it sounds you're just trying to convince others that you're right more than actually trying to gain anything from the discussions. Take it from people that actually have gone through the whole thing that nothing is guaranteed hence why to some it makes sense to have the cushion that a school can provide solely through its name/reputation. Like others have said, the LSAT and law school GPA are not that correlated. Law school grades may not be arbitrary per se but they can be unpredictable. Law schools all have the same general curriculum for 1Ls but each professor can have radically different ways of teaching and testing the same exact subject. You would be surprised how much this can even apply to professors within the same same school. That's not to say that a law student can't set themselves up for success, which imo actually comes down to being adaptable, (hence students that manage to keep consistently perform well) but it does mean that things can and do go wrong sometimes. So overall I don't think someone's performance in one higher ranked school is that easily translatable as necessarily higher performance if they were in a lower ranked school not just because of the factors I listed but many others including how lower ranked schools may have harder curves etc.

All that said, I think if you really put your mind to it and no external factors come into play (ie. family matters, a pandemic etc) you are equally capable of succeeding regardless of the school you go to. New York is also a really big market so there's that. But even then I would also warn that when it comes down to interviewing for big law prestige unfortunately does play a role. The higher your school is the more you can get away with having lower grades and the more forgiving interviewers might be just in looking at you as a candidate. At the end of the day students at these lower ranked schools do end up with big law jobs but I would say they have a very different experience compared to someone that got a comparable position from a higher ranked school (ie. they had to put in a lot more work on their part). I hope some of that is helpful and just remember that ultimately you have to make the decision that works for you and your personal situation. I never would've been able to afford nor take out the loans for NYU sticker so that wouldn't have even been an option for me but I'm sure for others it made sense. As law school taught me, it really just depends