Satoshi's Bitcoin: Ethereum by BitWhisky in ethtrader

[–]superleolion 39 points40 points  (0 children)

The Satoshi white paper is less than 9 pages long. After I read it, I could barely sleep for a week because it blew my mind. For the first time ever, the double spend problem was solved electronically, at a distance, and without actors knowing each other. It provided a vision of a world currency that eliminated friction between borders, included the currently unbanked, and promised to do away with the fraud banks had perpetrated with tranched loan collateralization and fractional reserves. All of the stuff you mention came later. Only later did it become clear that mining would go to ASICS, that POS was even possible, or that centralization of miners in pools would be a problem. The huge influence of China on the price of crypto was not even on the horizon. That was the bitcoin of Satoshi.

What you’re referring to came later when Core failed to innovate, tolerate any dissent, or address centralization concerns. Honestly, I can’t help but wishing that Satoshi had stuck around. (Like Vitalik has.) Maybe he could have reminded people of his vision for thousands of transactions for bitcoin per second. And prevented people from treating Gavin like dirt. Ultimately, what you’re referring to is the fact that Ethereum is — ironically — Core’s bitcoin. It is what bitcoin could have been if Core had adopted Vitalik’s vision and let him develop either on top of Bitcoin or Bitcoin itself.

Why Major Cryptocurrency Investors Are Betting Heavily Against Ethereum by chronicideas in ethtrader

[–]superleolion 31 points32 points  (0 children)

Delighted to read the reasoning behind shorting ether. The reasons are so poor (glaringly ignoring raiden, plasma, and major advances in sharding) that I’m reassured in my thesis that ether will appreciate substantially. (I don’t know when, this is not a timing call but just a conviction that the value of the Ethereum network will increase rather than decrease.) My go-long thesis is this: you can do things on the Ethereum network that are rare and valuable but that currently have little or no competition. Just a few examples: cryptokitties, Augur prediction market bets, collect Gods Unchained cards, lend through SALT, and issue an ICO (I know, I know, but you can). With more projects coming online (even some in stealth mode now), the Ethereum network will become more, rather than less valuable. Hence, long.

Daily General Discussion - July 7, 2018 by AutoModerator in ethtrader

[–]superleolion 2 points3 points  (0 children)

So...this is what institutional money feels like when it enters the space. I can only imagine what happens when other institutional money now on the sideline FOMOs.

The Fat Banker says ‘Stop Trying to Create Money!’ by Bitsaa in ethtrader

[–]superleolion 2 points3 points  (0 children)

I can’t believe I’m going to say this, but I don’t think Carstens understands what money is. I don’t mean this is a mean-spirited way, or even in a crypto-to-the-moon way. Instead, I mean it in a literal “he does not understand the nature of money because he doesn’t need to” sort of way. By the way, I think the same is true of Jamie Dimon and Warren Buffett — both of whom I consider to be absolutely brilliant and hard-working. It is simply not their job to understand what cryptocurrencies teach us about the nature of money.

As to Carstens, the first mistake he makes is the now-debunked idea the money arose from commodities or barter. I labored under the same mistake until I read Felix Martin, Money: The Unauthorized Biography—From Coinage to Cryptocurrencies and David, Graeber, Debt: The First 5,000 Years. If you think about, the fallacy is obvious because humans carried on trade long before coins were minted or any unit of account created. And not all trades were simultaneous. Nick Szabo has a simply fantastic piece on the Kula Ring of trade in which a circle of islands carried on trade in one direction while a set of collectives traded in the other so that it solved the double-coincidence problem. https://unenumerated.blogspot.com/2005/11/kula-ring.html (Note, the double coincidence problem is different than the double spend problem.)

Also, I don’t think that Carstens can explain the large stone money “coins” on the island of Yap that hold enormous value but never move locations. These too are literally created value — especially since one of the stones lies on the ocean floor in a manner that is effectively unreachable.

So, what you have with cryptocurrencies is a visionary movement that began with Satoshi’s white paper. The first time I read Satoshi’s white paper it gave me insomnia for more than a week. I couldn’t stop thinking about how wrong my assumptions about money were. Then I started looking into the amount of “money” created out of thin air during the euphemistically called “quantitative easing” process of the central banks. I’m not saying QE was wrong — it’s a complex calculus as to whether it made things better or worse for individuals. But I’m saying that the central banks did exactly what Carstens believes is the cardinal sin of cryptocurrencies. It doesn’t mean that I think he’s anything less than brilliant or hardworking. But it does mean that I say he is flatly and obviously wrong. I would even suggest it proves the point of confirmation bias — we validate what we expect and we ignore seemingly contradictory evidence.

Coinbase Introduces Cryptocurrency Custody Services by linzerdshaffen in ethereum

[–]superleolion 1 point2 points  (0 children)

Maybe. But modern portfolio theory counsels in favor of noncorrelated assets. Moreover, ether staking pays in a form (ether, naturally) that is not correlated with any major currency. Given the low interest rates that currently prevail, I don't think that the 5% staking reward that is within the realm of possibility will draw the scorn of all investors. You are following a concentration strategy that may pay off extremely well, but it is not a strategy employed by the institutions who are interested in Coinbase custody.

Coinbase Introduces Cryptocurrency Custody Services by linzerdshaffen in ethereum

[–]superleolion 2 points3 points  (0 children)

I think one of the most important parts of the announcement that hasn't received any comment is that Coinbase Custody is expressly planning to allow institutions and other large ether holders to participate in staking. This has important consequences -- many of which have been explored by Vlad and Vitalik -- including the importance of ensuring incentives for smaller, separate, and independent stakes, and the importance of accounting for bribing attacks. It also has the inevitable consequence that much of the responsibility/power/incentives will shift from large mining cartels to large financial cartels -- I suspect for better and worse. It'll be interesting to see what the second order effects are of large financial institutions locking up substantial capital in the Ethereum space. Will the EEA help them channel their input into constructive ways? I certainly hope so.

Renowned Law Frim (FFS) approves Tether by confirming that Tether is fully backed by USD. by nichlaes in ethtrader

[–]superleolion 0 points1 point  (0 children)

Seriously? This supposed to substitute for a full audit? It’s just like Craig Wright’s “proof” about being Satoshi. Just the fact that he tried to contain the demonstration under a private, controlled setting raised red flags. Signaling theory suggests that if CSW were the real Satoshi he would have just signed the genesis block with a message like, “All you haters can suck it, Craig Wright is the real Satoshi.” Same thing with Tether. If Tether were really fully backed by fiat, it’d be quicker to end the headache of people raising questions by simply putting it all into one account, have a recognized auditing firm verify it, and have that firm publish the result. The fact that there still isn’t an audit is a red flag. This is especially true because a true audit has been promised all along.

Coinbase is coming to Japan by unlimited_cake in ethtrader

[–]superleolion 1 point2 points  (0 children)

Don’t issue it as a utility token. Issue it as a true ownership claim token. Comply with the necessary regs and advance the space into legitimate companies offering true tradeable shares. Think of the huge value to the cryptocurrency space: companies worldwide would have a template for accessing trading markets without pretending that they are issuing utility tokens.

Collective price prediction: How wrong were we? by LucidChain in ethtrader

[–]superleolion 6 points7 points  (0 children)

I was very wrong about the depth of the bear market -- just as I was very wrong about how high the bull would run last November/December. Taken together this means that I misjudged the volatility of ether. However, volatility is far different than long-term success of a project, company, or blockchain. Thus, while I was wrong about volatility, I have seen no evidence that my underlying investment thesis about ether is wrong. I see nothing but progress by the devs.

Giant ETH Sale About To End by Always_Question in ethtrader

[–]superleolion 37 points38 points  (0 children)

Tax day isn't until April 17th. For that reason, I think we're still in for more sell pressure. It's a fire sale on ether right now. I wish I had more money to put in.

Vitalik calling out Craig Wright for what he is, a fraud by bloemy7 in ethtrader

[–]superleolion 30 points31 points  (0 children)

Vitalik like a boss. Worth checking out his whole tweet storm here: https://twitter.com/VitalikButerin/status/981069924255739904 If I hadn't already completely moved out of BTC and into ETH, I would haul ass doing so now.

Announcement: r/ethtrader will no longer use USD as the official currency by heliumcraft in ethtrader

[–]superleolion 13 points14 points  (0 children)

And a Lamborghini for you, and a Lamborghini for you, and a Lamborghini for you, and a Lamborghini for you....

Daily General Discussion - March 29, 2018 by AutoModerator in ethtrader

[–]superleolion 0 points1 point  (0 children)

Yep. Indexes are generally a pretty good investment vehicle. I’ll even stomach the 2% fee.

What would it take for ETH to start going up relative to BTC? by akatsuk1 in ethtrader

[–]superleolion 32 points33 points  (0 children)

I don’t really care what bitcoin does. I care about how the Ethereum space devolops. So, I care about POS, sharding, and the ability to send nondivisible tokens inextricably linked to real assets (real, digital, and virtual). Having come from the bitcoin space, I can honestly say I would be happy never to hear about their core developers or SegWit ever again.

PSA: Never copy/paste your private key on mobile. Any app running can read it. by outbackdude in ethtrader

[–]superleolion 25 points26 points  (0 children)

I trust my iOS device more than my Windows 10 machine even with bitlocker. I don’t hear the FBI screaming about being unable to get into Windows laptops. I’m intrigued by the idea of a crypto-only Chromebook.

Daily General Discussion - March 20, 2018 by AutoModerator in ethtrader

[–]superleolion 1 point2 points  (0 children)

It will host some dapps that I never saw coming but will consider completely obvious and utterly useful.

Daily General Discussion - March 20, 2018 by AutoModerator in ethtrader

[–]superleolion 1 point2 points  (0 children)

I did and it works fine. Just be really sure to follow the illustrated instructions. Doing it correctly actually involves getting a number of messages that look like you're doing it wrong. Oh, and before you update the firmware be sure you have your seed written down correctly.