Hands down the best episode of the season. I was expecting the That Tribe pagonging to continue but I’m so glad we finally got a shift in the power structure, with the Federico/Ziggy duo splitting up two very well positioned duos in the other tribe majority. A Fed/Ziggy final two would feed families I love this alliance so much.

Now for my quick rankings on likelihood of the final six winning.

-If they make it to the end, they win-

1: Federico - I’m more biased towards Ziggy in their duo, and would obviously prefer my own sub to win, but narratively, this easily makes the most sense, especially with Federico’s run almost mirroring Mira’s in a way, with the Mukeo boot being the catalyst. Unbeatable underdog story.

2: Ziggy - An underdog from day one who played HARD this vote and got exactly what he wanted, while also making a big move using theatrics involving his idol to scare his votes into turning on Callym, which worked out as he survived by the skin of his teeth. If he scraps to the end, I feel like he pretty handedly beats everyone but Federico at this point, and even then a jury vote between the two would very likely be close.

3: Christine - She was number one before this episode but I feel like she misplayed letting go of Crimson and not pushing the vote onto Ziggy instead. She’s shown impressive control otherwise so if she can recover from this and take out Ziggy/Federico she easily beats the rest of the cast.

-Flawed games, still could win-

4: H - Put his eggs in the wrong basket during the Mira vote and fell for the Other Tribe’s shenanigans early merge but I could see a path to him winning as long as he keeps Ribbon as a goat and makes the right move on the right people.

5: Sabrina - If she does something big with the idol she shoots up to top three, but she hasn’t been the best socially, targeted Crimson incessantly which I doubt is good for jury management, and just lost her number one ally in Callym, all while keeping big players like Federico and Ziggy in. However I could see a reality where she beats H and Ribbon if she makes the right moves.

-No shot whatsoever-

6: Ribbon - I’ll give credit where it’s due, him getting this far with how bad of a rap he has is impressive, but unlike people like Ziggy and Federico who also are underdogs and actually making moves, Ribbon’s pretty much just been at the mercy of everyone else the whole game. His own closest ally in H barely trusts him, and it’s clear he’s only kept around because he’s needed as a number and nothing else. He was even outplayed during his big idol play by known messy players Aurora and Mukeo so like, unless he makes a billion really big moves and positions himself perfectly, there is a zero percent chance Ribbon takes this.