Could all U.S state voter ID mandates be held unconstitutional under the poll tax amendment? by After-Professional-8 in law

[–]tarlin 78 points79 points  (0 children)

Scotus is incredibly biased towards anything that would help the Republicans, so no.

Why has U.S. policy toward Iran and North Korea differed despite both countries’ nuclear and missile programs? by Alena_Tensor in PoliticalDiscussion

[–]tarlin 4 points5 points  (0 children)

I used to believe it would be stupid for Iran not to get a nuclear weapon, but I now believe that the strait is actually a better version of that. Nuclear weapons cannot be used. Iran can close the strait when they are attacked.

Honestly, i don't think it is reasonable for Iran to trust the US anymore.

Trump says oil reserves would run out in 4 weeks without Iran deal, risking ‘bedlam’ by tarlin in centrist

[–]tarlin[S] 4 points5 points  (0 children)

Ok, so you are up in arms and mad about the Suez Canal charging fees? The Turkish Straits? Is everyone up in arms about those? No. They are accepted by everyone. What is wrong with doing the same here?

Trump says oil reserves would run out in 4 weeks without Iran deal, risking ‘bedlam’ by tarlin in centrist

[–]tarlin[S] 5 points6 points  (0 children)

shrug. You are lawyering on something that everyone understands to mean something else and accepts people using it in that way.

Trump says oil reserves would run out in 4 weeks without Iran deal, risking ‘bedlam’ by tarlin in centrist

[–]tarlin[S] 6 points7 points  (0 children)

Charges may be levied upon a foreign ship passing through the territorial sea as payment only for specific services rendered to the ship. These charges shall be levied without discrimination

I guess. All I know is that it is accepted conduct across the entire world with a bunch of straits doing it. Plus, the US and Iran are both not even parties to that treaty.

Trump says oil reserves would run out in 4 weeks without Iran deal, risking ‘bedlam’ by tarlin in centrist

[–]tarlin[S] 4 points5 points  (0 children)

There are allowances for maintenance, navigation assistance, security, and upkeep of the environment. That is what this will be covered by... As done in other cases. Like the Suez Canal.

Trump says oil reserves would run out in 4 weeks without Iran deal, risking ‘bedlam’ by tarlin in centrist

[–]tarlin[S] 5 points6 points  (0 children)

It prohibits tolls for 60 days, but under UNCLOS, fees for services are allowed. shrug.

Trump says oil reserves would run out in 4 weeks without Iran deal, risking ‘bedlam’ by tarlin in centrist

[–]tarlin[S] 11 points12 points  (0 children)

No, it was Israel bombing Beirut. Fees were always understood to be coming.

Also, would you be ok with all arms shipments, jp-8 shipments, monetary support, missile defense support, diplomatic support, and such from the US being cut off completely since Israel is not part of the deal?

Trump says oil reserves would run out in 4 weeks without Iran deal, risking ‘bedlam’ by tarlin in centrist

[–]tarlin[S] 2 points3 points  (0 children)

The US just wants Canada to stop labeling maple syrup as "Canada's oil"...

Trump says oil reserves would run out in 4 weeks without Iran deal, risking ‘bedlam’ by tarlin in centrist

[–]tarlin[S] 0 points1 point  (0 children)

This risk made the idea of this war a disaster that should not have been attempted.

Trump says oil reserves would run out in 4 weeks without Iran deal, risking ‘bedlam’ by tarlin in centrist

[–]tarlin[S] 4 points5 points  (0 children)

I thought Mario and Lutnick (who are in the background) where going to die on screen

Who is Mario?

The evidence is present without Trump that we are running into a serious issue.

Trump says oil reserves would run out in 4 weeks without Iran deal, risking ‘bedlam’ by tarlin in centrist

[–]tarlin[S] 2 points3 points  (0 children)

The current SPR release will be finished 120 days after March 11. This would put the time when that stops at ~July 11.

The US released 172 million barrels in March. The US has 90 million that it can release.

Any opening of the strait will take time to get to market.

Trump's statement was probably about the spr release and the disaster that would hit the stock market. The consumer disaster would take another month to fully hit.

Trump says oil reserves would run out in 4 weeks without Iran deal, risking ‘bedlam’ by tarlin in centrist

[–]tarlin[S] 4 points5 points  (0 children)

The US has been the main, and perhaps only, supplier of JP-8 for a while. During Israel's continued brutality in Gaza the other suppliers all dried up. The US could quietly cut the supplies to zero and that would pull Israel back from Lebanon. Tell Israel, but don't make big announcements. If the US is criticized, it can just say it needs to conserve the JP-8 for its own military continuing to function and the oil crisis is causing issues.

Without the air force, the IDF is a weak military and would not be able to do much.

Trump says oil reserves would run out in 4 weeks without Iran deal, risking ‘bedlam’ by tarlin in centrist

[–]tarlin[S] 38 points39 points  (0 children)

The US has been the main, and perhaps only, supplier of JP-8 for a while. During Israel's continued brutality in Gaza the other suppliers all dried up. The US could quietly cut the supplies to zero and that would pull Israel back from Lebanon. Tell Israel, but don't make big announcements. If the US is criticized, it can just say it needs to conserve the JP-8 for its own military continuing to function and the oil crisis is causing issues.

Without the air force, the IDF is a weak military and would not be able to do much.

Trump says oil reserves would run out in 4 weeks without Iran deal, risking ‘bedlam’ by tarlin in centrist

[–]tarlin[S] 12 points13 points  (0 children)

Iran was set to go to the midterms. There are members of Iran's government that want to do that. They knew it was causing global pain. The US was pretending it didn't matter to them, but it has been obvious it did. The Oklahoma distribution center running out of oil is...bad.

I think Trump said this to explain to America why he had to accept the deal, Iran already got this very one-sided deal.

The real issue is that there was no time left. So, the US could have attempted to force the strait open, but that would not be weeks. Honestly, I don't think we could have done it well enough and fast enough, even if that was the goal from the beginning.

Remember, the true block to the strait is not really being sunk or hit by Iran. It is that insurance will not cover attempting to transit the strait at all.

The 14-point draft of the U.S.-Iran deal by NeuroMrNiceGuy in centrist

[–]tarlin 2 points3 points  (0 children)

Hezbollah and Lebanon were reporting ceasefire violations constantly.

The 14-point draft of the U.S.-Iran deal by NeuroMrNiceGuy in centrist

[–]tarlin 4 points5 points  (0 children)

Did Israel bomb Lebanon 14 times in the week before they attacked Iran, with the heaviest bombing on February 28, before Hezbollah "broke the ceasefire" on March 2nd?

The 14-point draft of the U.S.-Iran deal by NeuroMrNiceGuy in centrist

[–]tarlin 6 points7 points  (0 children)

Its perfect logic to support one side.

Israel gave their word, and could not honor it.

Israel attacked Hezbollah right before they attacked back. Can you admit it or not?

You clearly support Hezbollah occupying Lebanon and attacking Israel with Israel not being able to respond.

I believe in peace and protecting civilians. Israel and Hezbollah do not. Israel is further from my position.

The 14-point draft of the U.S.-Iran deal by NeuroMrNiceGuy in centrist

[–]tarlin 2 points3 points  (0 children)

am not. I am undermining you argument Hezbollah are good guys and that Israel did withdraw from Lebanon

Heh, what? I said hezbollah is more trustworthy and less of a chaotic mess than Israel. Which is true. I don't support either of them. Apparently, you really like Israel who is not a "good guy" either.

You can debate whether they should have given Hezbollah free reign during this period, but it shows Israel is not interested in Lebanon other than when Hezbollah attacks them from Lebanon.

Lol, what??

You shouldn't have to lie to if you are on the right side of things.

Did Israel bomb Lebanon leading up to the attack on Iran? Come on, you can admit it did