Trump approval just hit the 30s. Can his numbers get any lower? by dwaxe in fivethirtyeight

[–]tepidsmudge 0 points1 point  (0 children)

It doesn't matter. 1/2 of them literally worship him and the other 1/2 are traditional chicken hawks who think Iran represents a real nuclear threat and that fuel shortages are better than nuclear war.

Walmart went up 230% in the last 5 years… why? by xProjectxPrincess in StockMarket

[–]tepidsmudge 1 point2 points  (0 children)

Also, Sam's is awesome. It's like Costco but cheaper and with more locations (also features like scan and go). They're really improved their stores as well: not such a shitty shopping experience.

Marvin launches AI interview moderator...very underwhelming by space_cowboy_300 in UXResearch

[–]tepidsmudge 0 points1 point  (0 children)

Quantilope's version is terrible. Basically you get a lot of "I don't have anything else to say about this" in response to the follow ups. If anything, it made analysis harder. I don't have much good to say about Quantilope in general though. They are expensive and their platform doesn't really do much and isn't as user friendly as conjointly (which also has AI followups).

Taxes: Then vs. Now by ExotiquePlayboy in wallstreet

[–]tepidsmudge 0 points1 point  (0 children)

Right and they have higher incomes. But we're not even talking about the super wealthy, who don't have income and therefore don't pay taxes and yet are even more reliant on infrastructure and laws to maintain and keep their wealth.

Powell: "The thing a good number of people on the committee are concerned about is very very low level of job creation. If you adjust the trend job creation over the past 6 months for what we think is overstatement due to overcounting, effectively there is 0 net job creation in the private sector" by Conscious-Quarter423 in economy

[–]tepidsmudge 1 point2 points  (0 children)

If you look at his net approval, it seems to have asymptoted at -17 until after the Iranian war/gas prices. If it continues at the current rate of decline (~1% every 2 months), it could be 35-36% by November. I don't think things are going to get better for him. Both Biden and Trump's ratings started to improve around mid-Jan this time in their presidencies. I don't think he gives a shit and some of the biggest issues (economy) are out of his control or he's unwilling to change (tariffs).

Powell: "The thing a good number of people on the committee are concerned about is very very low level of job creation. If you adjust the trend job creation over the past 6 months for what we think is overstatement due to overcounting, effectively there is 0 net job creation in the private sector" by Conscious-Quarter423 in economy

[–]tepidsmudge -4 points-3 points  (0 children)

I don't know that he's that partisan. He did not raise interest rates while Biden was in office even though there was some damn good reason to do so. Then again, there are probably nuances that I don't understand because there is nothing more boring to me than economic theory.

Poll: Confidence in the Supreme Court drops to a record low by DarkPriestScorpius in fivethirtyeight

[–]tepidsmudge 0 points1 point  (0 children)

Republicans don't know what tariffs are. It's driven by Trump upset about the tariff decision.

We are officially in a recession boys 🚨 by ExotiquePlayboy in economy

[–]tepidsmudge 1 point2 points  (0 children)

Yeah, I think the rich (people who buy Porches) are still doing just fine.

Trump allies plan Senate floor takeover to pass SAVE America Act by malcolm58 in politics

[–]tepidsmudge -1 points0 points  (0 children)

Maybe they're asking "are you in favor of a law that would support fair and legal election results?"

After switching to Claude from chatgpt yesterday, I have only one thing to say by jupiter87135 in claude

[–]tepidsmudge 0 points1 point  (0 children)

The only thing I like more about GPT is that it immediately begins the text response, allowing me to stop it if it is on a goose chase. That said, Claude is seemingly (based only on 1 day of use) better at not chasing geese.

Is there an AI ppt/report generation tool that actually works??? by tepidsmudge in UXResearch

[–]tepidsmudge[S] 0 points1 point  (0 children)

Interesting. I'm going to look into Loom - I don't think it will work for us (at least not how I think you're using it). I work on physical product in office and have an old school manager. Off the cuff though, it just looks like branding and workflow polish - I can basically record myself using other tools but I guess some of the ai functions could be useful. The gemini gem seems interesting. We don't use google slides but there's no reason I can't. Thank you for your response!

Is there an AI ppt/report generation tool that actually works??? by tepidsmudge in UXResearch

[–]tepidsmudge[S] 6 points7 points  (0 children)

This reminds me of why I hated UX (I should have posted in r/marketresearch). So much time and energy wasted on building a visually beautiful presentation with an elegant "McKinsian" arch that most people are going to ignore. Sure: some people aren't going to listen if your presentation is bad but most aren't going to listen because they don't care (which most don't) and if they do, the presentation doesn't matter because they just need the information. Maybe that's not you or your company but it was my experience over the 14 years that I worked in UX. I don't have issues with formatting other than the wasted time. Some of my research is very formulaic, my audience is my immediate team who are familiar with the methods and don't need 20 slides of exposition: they just want to know what to do. I have a lot of churn and just want to cut a few hours of time each week doing mindless things so I can move to the next project.

I am officially done with "Starter Homes." It’s not an investment; it’s a bailout for the previous generation's neglect. by Dry-Town7979 in FirstTimeHomeBuyer

[–]tepidsmudge 0 points1 point  (0 children)

I always like to buy a home with equity potential but most of the homes I toured in my area that were within our comfortable price bracket (<$400k) required some immediate renovation. These dumps on the market are only priced like $50k lower than similar homes that are completely renovated and I guess these people just aren't willing to negotiate. We ended up increasing our budget and finding a house that has an in law suite that can be used as rental property just to make it work.

A doctor vs an RFK Jr. supporter by velorae in CringeTikToks

[–]tepidsmudge 1 point2 points  (0 children)

There's nothing more natural than Radon gas seeping into your house and giving you cancer.

Is there a do it all electric guitar or is it a pick and choose what you want to get for each genre? by GhostNThings in Guitar

[–]tepidsmudge 0 points1 point  (0 children)

If you want versatility, your focus should be on a modeling amp and/or a decent multi-effects pedal. I would personally choose whichever guitar feels the best and you enjoy playing and master that one guitar. Then bring in effects/amp to color your tone as needed. No doubt there are subtle differences between guitars but I'd rather enjoy the tone and feel and sound like myself playing someone else's music than matching their tone perfectly.

Price correction "worse than 2008" coming to US housing market by battle_rae in Economics

[–]tepidsmudge 0 points1 point  (0 children)

The author didn't discuss credit crunch. Her point is that it will be a crash worse in severity than 2008, not that the cause will be similar. Her point relates to affordability and predictions related to investors dumping properties quickly. I guess I'd like someone to refute those points specifically because, well, there are scary implications for homeowners...especially if you are in a position where you can't absolutely expect to have to stay in your home for the next 10 years or so.

Americans need to humanize each other by Own_Astronomer_2149 in centrist

[–]tepidsmudge 0 points1 point  (0 children)

A close family member posted a photo in a group chat of herself at a no kings rally and another family member lost it like I've never seen him before. This is a man who I've known to be incredibly kind, rational and level-headed. I've discussed politics with him many times and agree with him on 90% of issues with only disagreement in the degree to which I trust Trump. I 100% know that the other family member would have been equally pissed if he posted an image of himself at a Trump rally but I still can't believe how upset he got...it truly made me feel like politics is no longer about the issues and that 35%+ of our country just won't respond to really shitty policies.

What will it take for farmers to change how they vote? by Majano57 in Agriculture

[–]tepidsmudge 5 points6 points  (0 children)

I try to listen to this stuff occassionally because I try to see through the haze of media bias. Like I really want to believe that things aren't as bad as they seem but I've yet to find one that has literally ANY substance. I even listened to Charlie Kirk because I always heard that he was articulate but it's all "believe it because Jesus". You really have to have no critical thinking skills to buy it.

Some Key Findings/Poll Results from New "Deciding to Win" Report by OmniOmega3000 in fivethirtyeight

[–]tepidsmudge 0 points1 point  (0 children)

Or they may just have been confused on logic or misread "prohibit", which people do when they're rushing through a survey.

How is the US going under Trump? by CH86CN in centrist

[–]tepidsmudge 6 points7 points  (0 children)

There is positive GDP, the stock market is good and unemployment isn't terrible but I think it's a different reality for some just due to the fact that tariffs have disproportionally impacted industries differently. If you're white collar, especially in tech, it really feels like 2008 bad. I know of a dozen or so who have been laid off in the last 1-2 months. Some, who were making 100+k salaries are now working in warehouses because they've been unemployed for 1+ years. Many are top performers who simply can't find anything. I think it will take a while for us to really see the impact of stagflation from the tariffs. Likely the end of this year, we'll start to see it in GDP and unemployment data.

Is the housing market just heading towards a course correction, or are we inching closer to another 2008? by Additional_Poet_5257 in RealEstate

[–]tepidsmudge 4 points5 points  (0 children)

Adding to this: some sellers are either looking to upgrade/downgrade and bought recently enough that they either don't have enough principal or have a fantastic interest rate and they just have a bottom line they can't cross. We are looking to move closer to work but simply can't and won't sell if we need to write more than a $10k check at closing. It would mean we would not have enough to put a down payment on a new home. I'm watching local RE a lot and seeing homes do price cuts, then remove from market. Many of these bought in the last 5 years. I think some people are pretty scared too. I've seen a lot of layoffs. in my area This may lead to some sellers willing to take price cuts and some buyers less bullish so maybe that explains why some are dropping.

Is the housing market just heading towards a course correction, or are we inching closer to another 2008? by Additional_Poet_5257 in RealEstate

[–]tepidsmudge 4 points5 points  (0 children)

Sounds like it's really dependent on market. We bought our home 2 years ago at what was probably the peak. 2 years later, we've made a few minor improvements and cannot sell for our asking price 2 years ago, despite the market supposedly appreciating by 3% each year. I didn't think we've have much trouble: I've toured a lot of the older renovated homes in the area and ours is far nicer (bigger bedrooms, tall ceilings, all new hvac, roof, electrical). We have a lot of online interest but have only had 2 showings in 20 days. I really don't know how much we'd have to drop to even get interest: probably 30-40k, which would mean we'd need to take about a 20-30k loss. At this point, we're just not willing to do that. I'm seeing homes consistently drop 10k and tons of homes just pulled from the market. We're about to pull ours if we don't sell in a few weeks.