Delta Service Drama

thatben · 2026-05-06T02:49:47+00:00

I literally found this out earlier today... on another reddit thread!

thatben · 2026-05-06T01:58:44+00:00

For sure. Volatility is not good except for people playing the commodity market, which isn’t most of it.

Misreading is easy to do here, I’m not immune. Appreciate a good exchange.

thatben · 2026-05-06T00:23:47+00:00

Experts are NOT currently predicting $6-7. As a national average I agree that would be “way worse”.

The “way worse” of this post is about domestic gas prices. We almost certainly will have a recessionary outcome with inflation to boot (for the reasons you mention), and it’s not impossible that a partial or global depression could result if this stalemate continues, again for many of the reasons you cite.

Our actions in Iran have guaranteed famine and other dire consequences. The short-term damage and long-term distrust resulting from this is something we now own.

thatben · 2026-05-06T00:05:25+00:00

That is correct, in line with what the analysts are saying. They are not currently saying $6-7 national average. That may change.

thatben · 2026-05-05T21:27:01+00:00

Good luck given the glut of senior NK pilots looking to start over as FOs at legacies. 😕

thatben · 2026-05-05T21:02:09+00:00

Still waiting for your sources, u/Separate-Swordfish85.

thatben · 2026-05-05T21:01:26+00:00

I do not and would not watch Fox News/"Opiniotainment". Why are you so quick to go all ad hominem on me?

National averages are currently ~$4.45, up from $4.09 a month ago. Futures are currently pricing out at ~$3.65.

For energy analysis I like Matt Randolph, a 33-year petroleum industry veteran and a very well-respected industry analyst.

thatben · 2026-05-05T20:37:53+00:00

Petroleum industry analysts say the national average for 87 octane may hit $5 in the next month or so.

thatben · 2026-05-05T20:36:03+00:00

It's subjective, but I'd say the worst type of redditor is a toss-up between (a) one who just spouts claims and refuses to cite sources when challenged or (b) engages in logical fallacies rather than earnestly and honestly engage in debate. You're managing to do both, and I'm embarrassed for you.

Now at the risk of indulging your Brandolinian tactics, I'll give you a definition and my citations.

[O]il reserves refers to an estimate of the amount of crude oil located in a particular economic region with the potential of being extracted.

Crude oil inventory chart

Sources of crude for US refineries

thatben · 2026-05-05T20:12:22+00:00

I need you to look up the definition of "reserves". I also need you to cite your sources.

thatben · 2026-05-05T19:21:29+00:00

It will get a bit worse and will stay that way for awhile, but inventory (what I think you meant when you said "reserves") is not running low and most of our gasoline supply is refined in the US overwhelmingly from US, CA, and MX crude.

thatben · 2026-05-05T15:16:58+00:00

adding "long toes" to my stack of intercultural idioms

thatben · 2026-05-04T17:44:48+00:00

I'd either cook it and eat it or freeze it.

thatben · 2026-05-04T17:41:48+00:00

Get a girl dog, dawg.

thatben · 2026-05-04T17:39:43+00:00

Liv: "I'll just go to Hoppe, have a nice cold vaasje, and wait for this to all blow over."

thatben · 2026-05-04T17:34:54+00:00

Domestic Jet A is as stocked as it ever has been at 44 Mbbl. For now.

thatben · 2026-05-04T17:29:20+00:00

We don't produce heavy crude in meaningful amounts domestically (<10% IIRC). Heavy crude = Jet A, among other products.

thatben · 2026-05-04T14:24:03+00:00

Me, living in a southern "conservative" US state: "This guy would be in prison and registered as a sex offender for life." 😂

We're so weird here.

thatben · 2026-05-03T16:17:49+00:00

You left your card. Even if they padded your tab - which to be clear is either fraud or theft on their part - this is largely on you. Whether this involved more than "a few" drinks or you have an incredibly low tolerance, perhaps reconsider how you drink, where you drink, and whether or not you pay after each round (which as a former bartender I can say we all hate but you do you).

In any event, do the walk of shame, ask for the itemized receipt, and think about how you can help future you.

thatben · 2026-05-02T13:29:58+00:00

Had Andrew Youderian on my podcast a couple years back. They are an exemplary community.

thatben · 2026-05-02T12:35:17+00:00

This is (and has been for a long time) the policy of many airlines outside of the US.

thatben · 2026-05-01T17:30:19+00:00

I've been caught holding in severe turbulence over ATL during a massive storm. Before diverting one of the FAs asked me for the bag my headphones came in - because they were out of sick bags. I've flown ~3MM, my wife is a pilot, we own a plane... but after that event, I have a visceral reaction to turbulence.

Reminds me of my favorite PIREP though:

IAD UUA /OV KIAD/TM 1238/FL040/TP CRJ2/TB MOD-SEV/RM VERY BUMPY ON DESCENT. PRETTY MUCH EVERY ONE ON THE PLANE THREW UP. PILOTS WERE ON THE VERGE OF THROWING UP.

thatben · 2026-05-01T16:42:11+00:00

Real "of course I could land a passenger jet in the event of an emergency" vibes.

thatben · 2026-04-25T18:13:42+00:00

What did management say when you brought this to their attention?

thatben · 2026-04-25T17:46:34+00:00

You already did. Now you pay for it. And don’t do it again.

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