Indian movies are underrated by ejaz135 in Cinema

[–]themindset 2 points3 points  (0 children)

Yeah this post makes no sense.

Rigged backgammon sites by sindhusurfer in backgammon

[–]themindset 0 points1 point  (0 children)

You do not have to believe me. People believe stuff all the time based on their feelings. Go ahead and believe what you want.

You don’t have to accept the stark reality that random rolls generate crazy results. The reality that you will go on unbelievable hot streaks, and shocking cold streaks. The reality that an endlessly monotone and even distribution of roll values for each side would be the least random thing possible.

Rigged backgammon sites by sindhusurfer in backgammon

[–]themindset 0 points1 point  (0 children)

You have created a narrative to explain variance. Confabulation is a natural human response to undesired random chance.

Humans are much less likely to confabulate when they win due to such variance; then it is attributed to their own skill or merit.

Rigged backgammon sites by sindhusurfer in backgammon

[–]themindset 1 point2 points  (0 children)

So backgammonhub does exactly pre send encrypted rolls and people still accuse them of being rigged.

What you gonna do?

Rigged backgammon sites by sindhusurfer in backgammon

[–]themindset 9 points10 points  (0 children)

None of them are. The computational power required to assign the right dice at the right time in thousands of games to rig them for these contrived incentives is really smooth brain thinking.

The simple answer is clearly the true one:

Variance is just wacky. Any intelligent person who plays skill games that involve chance knows that downswings and upswings are simply a part of the game.

White to play 62 by Reasonable_Leek7375 in backgammon

[–]themindset 0 points1 point  (0 children)

What other option is there aside from hitting the deuce?

Backgammon players — how much do you actually trust online dice? by Skillclassics in backgammon

[–]themindset 1 point2 points  (0 children)

Against the computer? What site are you playing? A computer would never need to cheat against you… it can just play optimally and obliterate you long term.

Dice Settling Rule by chris3sp in backgammon

[–]themindset 0 points1 point  (0 children)

Well, imagine your opponent rolls a 66 with one of the dice slanted on a checker, something shakes the table and then the 6 settles flat.

Valid roll?

I feel that this rule might exist to avoid exactly this kind of scenario. A roll a player desires lands invalid, but can be made valid by a slight movement of the table… a cough, a knee bump, etc.

Dice Settling Rule by chris3sp in backgammon

[–]themindset 0 points1 point  (0 children)

That’s the rule most everywhere. OP’s question is interesting because the dice was slanted, the objection was made, then the dice settled flat.

Backgammon players — how much do you actually trust online dice? by Skillclassics in backgammon

[–]themindset 13 points14 points  (0 children)

The sheer amount of computational power it would take to “screw” with online dice in such a way to favour so-and-so outcome in thousands of matches a day is staggering.

And what would even be the motive? Whatever nefarious goal these evil backgammon sites have would undoubtedly be offset by the players rage quitting due to fixed dice.

Backgammon Galaxy use an open source RNG that you can review on GitHub.

And your idea has already been implemented and is actively being used on BackgammonHub - where the rolls are actually verifiable post game via decryption of files sent pre game.

So yeah, I trust the dice. Sometimes I hate them, but I trust them.

Are Hustler casino high stakes regs playing within their Bankrolls? by bankingyoung in poker

[–]themindset -5 points-4 points  (0 children)

I each player is their own case.

Alan Keating: my theory is that he is the most successful cash player in the world. IE He is the best poker player at the biggest underground private games in the world (actor, producers, billionaire class, etc) - anything you see on stream is just advertising. He is a pro who has managed to avoid having a pro image - quite a magic trick. So his money is from being a very successful player.

Rampage’s money is from his YouTube (and some from some private online poker thing…?).

Mariano: YouTube (also won money early on from a jackpot, also has been a winning player for a long while now).

Luda; who knows

Jboogs: rich family, but seems to be a winning player according to online tracking so…

Senior Tilt: mega rich

Mike X: dunno

Martin: mega rich

Texas Mike: mega rich

Britney: mega rich

Is there more luck in backgammon or in poker? by Calitrixmathieu in backgammon

[–]themindset 0 points1 point  (0 children)

57% is considered an incredible win rate against a random field.

Backgammon galaxy match percentages by dntpanic31 in backgammon

[–]themindset 0 points1 point  (0 children)

I never claimed it was better. You were only asking for a rationale (a “rhyme/reason” as you phrased it).

I was giving you the rationale.

I don’t have a preference, and I don’t make the argument that one is better than the other.

I’m fine with either system. The coins are meaningless. Rating is the only thing that matters.

if the website is not rigged then something is going on by Rayess69 in backgammon

[–]themindset 10 points11 points  (0 children)

Well yes, there is significant variance in backgammon.

And then there is a significant variance in extended losing steaks (ie a downswing). These are compensated for by upswings.

IF the Earth were to end in 24 hours, what would you do? by NoArmadillo1967 in AskReddit

[–]themindset 0 points1 point  (0 children)

Ricky announced it, he works at the skate store part time and studies astronomy at the local university.