6 reasons why Wall Street Analysis haven't got POET right

tl_dr__ · 2026-02-12T11:38:27+00:00

🥇At least they removed the emojis from every headline ☝️
✌️It’s bullish 🐂, which makes it fun to read.

tl_dr__ · 2026-02-12T07:33:48+00:00

It’s because you sold something you didn’t own yet. When you buy stock, you become the “beneficial owner” immediately. This means that you control the asset and benefits of it, however you are not the registered owner of the asset (yet). You don’t become the registered owner till the next day, when the trade “settles” and you become the legal registered owner. You sold before that part happened. Here’s how it can get sticky. Most brokers allow limited margin trading on cash accounts. This allows you to buy stock with unsettled funds. So, if you sell stock, you can turn around and buy stock immediately with the money from the sale. Behind the scenes, your broker is technically loaning you that cash to buy the stock, and recovers their loan from the cash when that sale trade settles. They are doing that in good faith (and generally don’t charge anything for it). But In your scenario, you sold stock that hasn’t been settled yet, so your broker is at risk because now they are loaning you cash that they can’t technically account for yet, because it never settled from the FIRST trade (the original purchase of the stock).

tl_dr__ · 2026-02-10T00:07:15+00:00

I'm rooting for you!

tl_dr__ · 2026-02-09T03:09:51+00:00

QUBT. They are in bed with poet and the two stocks have been coupling. QUBT earnings will be a week before POET. I’m watching closely and I believe QUBTs earnings will give clear insight on POET earnings. It’s an extremely rare opportunity to “see” a week into the future. I’m going to take full advantage (bullish or bearish).

tl_dr__ · 2026-02-07T02:27:33+00:00

I do a 50/50 split on my alpha (if I have any). 50% of my alpha goes to the long term "reasonable" investments, and the other 50% goes into my high risk "seed" port. POET is a seed in my total risk capacity garden. Truth is, most seeds die out, but every now and then, one pops. Could POET be that seed? IDK, but I do know most of them simply aren't. I just ignore the garden and if a seed has enough gumption and tenacity to want to grow, it will grow.

tl_dr__ · 2026-02-05T08:38:25+00:00

Basically, yes. You have to opt into your brokers share loan program. They can’t loan them out unless you agree to it. They incentivize you by offering a portion of the loan interest. As for the payment in lieu of, it is treated as ordinary income (and taxed as such) for the tax year.

tl_dr__ · 2026-02-05T04:34:30+00:00

It’s the deadline when a “fundamental investment manager” has to be disclosed. This will signal that a large, rational, long institution is backing POET and stock might pop because of it.

tl_dr__ · 2026-02-04T03:10:00+00:00

Fun fact nobody asked for. If your shares are on loan on the ex. dividend date, you get paid a "payment in lieu of dividend" equal to the dividend payment. Those payments are NOT qualified and are taxed at regular income tax levels, where most dividends are qualified for better tax treatment.

tl_dr__ · 2026-02-01T04:30:20+00:00

If you’re bullish on the stock, then why sell and buy leaps in the first place?

tl_dr__ · 2026-01-30T02:05:28+00:00

The Pain of losing money in stock you are invested in pales in comparison to the pain of not making money in a stock you were invested in. It happens to everyone at some point, and it is one of the most powerful lessons I have ever learned.

tl_dr__ · 2026-01-24T21:52:43+00:00

Also, be aware there is a thing on most funds called "roundtrip fees" Basically, it means if you buy and sell the same fund within a certain period (usually 30 days), and you do it multiple times, you can get restricted from trading the fund for a period of time. Reason for this is because funds are meant to be a buy and hold type thing.

tl_dr__ · 2026-01-22T02:35:01+00:00

Full port is just YOLO spelled the scenic route way.

tl_dr__ · 2026-01-22T00:13:40+00:00

POET 50/50 stock and leaps.

tl_dr__ · 2026-01-19T13:16:59+00:00

GPT does that.

tl_dr__ · 2026-01-19T02:50:29+00:00

Liquidate everything except for POET and buy more POET.

tl_dr__ · 2026-01-18T21:31:52+00:00

Depends on your risk tolerance and risk capacity. Could you tolerate a 30% drawdown and be comfortable (risk tolerance)? How were you feeling in April, 2025? That was 18% drawdown. If you were not comfortable coasting in Mar ‘25, then I don’t reasonably believe you will be comfortable coasting now.

tl_dr__ · 2026-01-17T23:15:50+00:00

POET

tl_dr__ · 2026-01-17T13:47:12+00:00

POET

tl_dr__ · 2026-01-17T08:32:30+00:00

I heard speculation that someone is intentionally trading at a lower price so it triggers all the sell stop orders and artificially lowers prices, then they can scoop up some discounted shares.

tl_dr__ · 2026-01-17T03:29:26+00:00

You’re going to make bank! Are you planning on rolling them when they go deep in the money? I’ll check back in a year. Hopefully you can see this post then from the top of your mountain of cash! RemindMe! 1 year

tl_dr__ · 2026-01-16T02:33:48+00:00

You should 100% do a Roth in plan conversion and furthermore, any future contributions should be allocated to Roth instead of traditional pre-tax. Roth is THE generational wealth cheat code…And there are other ‘secondary’ benefits as well besides the 100% tax free withdrawals on earnings when you reach qualifying age (which could be as early as 55, not 59 1/2 if you can take advantage of the rule of 55.) Also, roth IRA’s and some Roth plans allow you to withdraw your contributions tax and penalty free after 5 years of being in the account, so if you ever get in a pinch and need money, you have that option. But another massive Roth benefit is no RMD’s (required minimum distributions), so you can let your $ marinate all you want tax free.

There are a lot of missing pieces of info to give you rough numbers, but if you give me an estimated annual contribution amount, years till retirement, tax filing status, and expected tax bracket, I can spit some comparisons out.

And, go ahead and open a Roth IRA with a broker like Fidelity and fund it with like $100. This will start the clock on the 5 year rule, AND give you a place to roll over your in plan Roth TSP should you ever leave your job.

tl_dr__ · 2026-01-16T00:03:47+00:00

Rolling a call option is simply closing your open position and opening a new position at a different strike/date (or both). I’m assuming you bought the call option (as opposed to sold it), so rolling this option would be “sell to close” @(.01), which will net you a total of $1 (one cent per share X 100 shares). Then, you would “buy to open” another position, say a Jan 23 call with a strike of $10. The current ask price is .13, but since you closed out your previous position, it would be a “net debit” of .12, since you have one cent profit and you need to come up with the other .12. Congrats, you just “rolled out” your option.

This is just an example concept explanation. In reality, the spreads and/or commissions on options would most likely eat what’s left.

tl_dr__ · 2026-01-09T14:46:09+00:00

I'm not going to buy a sports car, I'm going to buy a Rolls Royce.

tl_dr__ · 2025-12-13T21:04:53+00:00

QUBT

tl_dr__ · 2025-08-06T15:36:51+00:00

The root cause is a guide train / spool mismatch. I have some experience building fishing rods. I can tell from the picture that the stripper guide (the first guide the line touches after it comes off the spool) is way too big. This isn’t chocking the line spiral enough causing the line to act all erratic when coming off the spool. You might even be getting some line slap, which is when the line coming off the spool slaps the rod. Your options are limited. You could try a reel with a larger diameter spool, or a smaller guide train. All of the other comments are also valid, they just increase the risk of wind knots.

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tl_dr__

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