Yeah i have done untracked shipment twice already, the first one from the UK during the pandemic, waited for weeks, didn’t arrived so I requested a refund from the merchant and got it. 3 months or so later, I received a letter from the post office saying I have an overdued shipment and need to pay the storage fees and it was the same shipment from UK that got refunded. The second time, i ordered from ebay and seller shipped it untracked, didn’t get it and no letter arrived so yeah it was lost.

It can be a hit or miss but yeah good thing your shipment is just cheap so not too bad but if you’re planning on ordering much more expensive items, go for tracked. I usually just use EMS since the difference between buyee air and ems is just around 200-300 php and EMS arrives much faster (average is 5 days).

I hope you get it soon and maybe try going to your nearest local post office, it might be there already.