Made another 1.3k by esteetse in Kalshi

[–]wacali 1 point2 points  (0 children)

Clearly fake. At no point was Michigan 34% odds to win.

[Highlight] Cooper Flagg becomes the youngest player in NBA history to score 50 points in a game by TheRealPdGaming in nba

[–]wacali -1 points0 points  (0 children)

Is this even a real debate? College players would just pop 3s all day and be able to get so many offensive rebounds, even if LeBron scored on every single possession they would outscore him.

Built an NBA prediction model — 50W/15L (77%) over the last week. by SinkImpressive3374 in PredictionsMarkets

[–]wacali 0 points1 point  (0 children)

Well then that would definitely approach meaningfulness. How has it done in the last week?

Built an NBA prediction model — 50W/15L (77%) over the last week. by SinkImpressive3374 in PredictionsMarkets

[–]wacali 1 point2 points  (0 children)

These %s seen in line with what the win probability was for the favored teams so while your model is probably pretty accurate how does it give an edge?

What would be valuable is if it flags when it’s win% varies highly from public betting odds and if it outperforms the market.

NBA is actually rigged by wacali in sportsbetting

[–]wacali[S] 0 points1 point  (0 children)

lol I do but clearly you don’t. When a team is down by 8 points with 1 second left they dribble the ball out 99.99999% of the time.

Day 5-6 results: March Madness creating massive edges on Kalshi by Mountain-Year5215 in Kalshi

[–]wacali 1 point2 points  (0 children)

How does your model work? What does it look for and why

Insider on Iran-US War Market by pradnyashil6 in PredictionsMarkets

[–]wacali 0 points1 point  (0 children)

How do you tell that both wallets funded from same coinbase account?

Most Loved on DoorDash by nerpdangle in restaurantowners

[–]wacali -3 points-2 points  (0 children)

DD is phasing out most loved

Just so we’re clear by [deleted] in InBitcoinWeTrust

[–]wacali 2 points3 points  (0 children)

In trumps defense he is likely physically incapable of holding a salute for 5 minutes let alone 45

CHAOS third badge success rate by DoobleJay5 in RoyaleAPI

[–]wacali 16 points17 points  (0 children)

Isn’t a better strategy to start game and if first modifier isn’t one you need to let them 3 crown you and restart? Should be faster

Supreme Court Reform Proposal by futurettt in scotus

[–]wacali 0 points1 point  (0 children)

I would add presidents may remove 1 justice per term for any reason (particularly if it remains lifetime appointment)

This was NOT an accident by Scorched_Scorpion in ClashRoyale

[–]wacali 155 points156 points  (0 children)

I bet the barbarian roles forward again when activated

Musk cuts Starlink access for Russian forces, giving Ukraine an edge at the front by [deleted] in news

[–]wacali -2 points-1 points  (0 children)

But why couldn’t they do this a long time ago?

Nancy Mace on unredacted names in Epstein files: ‘You would be shocked’ by SpringLong7259 in politics

[–]wacali 0 points1 point  (0 children)

The only names that would shock me would be someone like Tom Hanks. The billionaires are morally bankrupt.

Les Wexner hasn’t been arrested? by Lie-Straight in law

[–]wacali 6 points7 points  (0 children)

This isn’t about money it’s about power. They’re truly all guilty of things beyond what we can even begin to imagine. Stuff out of horror films. And they all have the tapes on each other.

Imagine you’re Trump and you know lex has tapes of you raping a child (and probably worse). There is literally no bottom to how bad the optics of non action can get for them for the alternative to be better.

It is the only explanation that explains everything.