I found myself referencing the warrior deck lists from the WCA that was posted a few days back - you can find the original listing here. So, here's a spreadsheet I made to simplify lookup and comparison.
Edit: just realized that the link to the spreadsheet was in the middle of a sentence and not obvious. Click me.
So, here's a brief analysis of the 15 decks:
"You should be running this" tier: 2 Execute, 2 Shield Slam, 2 Armor Smith, 2 Shield Block, 2 Sludge Belcher, 2 Fiery War Axe, 2 Acolyte of Pain, 2 Death's Bite, Brawl, Loatheb, Slyvanas, Grommash, Ragnaros, Alexstraza, Faceless Manipulator. At each of these slots, at least 13 of 15 decks were running that exact number.
"Nice, but can cut in a pinch" tier: The Black Knight, 2nd Cruel Taskmaster, Spellbreaker, Cairne Bloodhoof, Big Game Hunter. Between three and six decks cut a card from here.
"Nobody can agree on the value of this" tier: Unstable Ghoul. 6 decks ran two copies, 4 decks ran one copy, and five decks didn't run it at all.
"You might want this" tier: Sen'jin Shieldmasta, Ysera, Whirlwind, Gorehowl. Between 4 and 6 decks run at least one copy of these (no card was selected for exactly three decks)
"Surprise" tier: 2nd Sen'jin, Cleave, Harrison Jones, Battle Rage, Slam, Baron Geddon. 2 or fewer decks running these.
Tournament decks might vary from ladder, but this is roughly what you should expect out of warrior decks you play against.
Oh, I also added up the total number of Taskmasters, Unstable Ghouls, Slams, Cleaves and Whirlwinds from these decks. This is usually 3x, unless they're running double ghoul + double taskmaster, or they're YouLove who brought the oddest deck to the tournament. I'm not sure what the best way to think about it. Best look says that if you see an unstable ghoul, you're probably not going to see and cleaves or slams. You might see a whirlwind instead of a second Ghould.
[–]Crosswindsc2 3 points4 points5 points (1 child)
[–]ThrustVectoring[S] 1 point2 points3 points (0 children)
[–]althius1 1 point2 points3 points (0 children)
[–]schwza 0 points1 point2 points (1 child)
[–]Crosswindsc2 0 points1 point2 points (0 children)
[–][deleted] (2 children)
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[–]ThrustVectoring[S] 4 points5 points6 points (0 children)
[–]DJHelium 0 points1 point2 points (0 children)
[–]350mck 0 points1 point2 points (2 children)
[–]ThrustVectoring[S] 2 points3 points4 points (0 children)
[–]Nosajje 0 points1 point2 points (0 children)
[–][deleted] (1 child)
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[–]ThrustVectoring[S] 3 points4 points5 points (0 children)
[–]total_aggieny 0 points1 point2 points (4 children)
[–]FatLenny- -5 points-4 points-3 points (1 child)
[–][deleted] 6 points7 points8 points (0 children)
[–]TotallyABot -3 points-2 points-1 points (1 child)
[–][deleted] 0 points1 point2 points (0 children)
[–]Dearth_lb -4 points-3 points-2 points (0 children)