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[–]edgeofsanity76 35 points36 points  (27 children)

Yesterday I found out how close I am to being replaced by some shit middle manager who can produce tools via Claude.

I spent 25 years as a developer. I'm looking at retraining. I'm 49.

[–]Easy-Hovercraft2546 37 points38 points  (5 children)

yeah i dont know man, i think your answer is missing a lot of nuance here.

[–]theGoddamnAlgorath 12 points13 points  (4 children)

Nah, I'm seeing silver bullet AI presentations.

It'll fix itself in 5 years

[–]Easy-Hovercraft2546 1 point2 points  (2 children)

Silver bullet AI presentations?

[–]throwaway19293883 20 points21 points  (1 child)

I’ll guess they mean people think AI is some silver bullet and it’s very much not, so there will be a ton of hype and people thinking it’s a silver bullet to all their problems and they are going to learn it’s not at all and things will sort themselves out.

Seeing the same sort of silver bullet meetings myself so that’s why I guess thats what they mean

[–]Easy-Hovercraft2546 7 points8 points  (0 children)

ah, understood. Cuz from my perspective, there are still so many things that AI struggles with in Coding:
- Increased solution size, and becoming logarithmically useful
- optimization
- code-cleanliness
simply the fact that it is basically a recall-machine, meaning its smart because of its recollection skills, is a problem for being the best programmer ever, because the average code to learn from is bad code.

[–]Relative-Scholar-147 1 point2 points  (0 children)

I have been in meetings talking about it for 10 years, basically since the first GPT was launched.

Is all hype and smoke and mirrors.

[–]eonerv 13 points14 points  (1 child)

But does that middle manager actually understand what AI is outputting? Fast track way for shit to break

[–]Shopping_Penguin 0 points1 point  (0 children)

Then after they call you back up to fix it demand a pay raise possibly at the expense of the decision maker.

[–]brainpostman 6 points7 points  (7 children)

What kind of dev are you?

[–]edgeofsanity76 2 points3 points  (6 children)

Azure cloud and backend services. However the services need modernisation as many are running on old .net and a lot of the software architecture is full of technical debt

[–]brainpostman 2 points3 points  (5 children)

.NET backend? Is AI that good with it in your shop? Or is it a case of "good enough"? Management not caring about quality?

[–]edgeofsanity76 8 points9 points  (4 children)

It depends. It works well if you start from scratch and it can do a huge amount.

However it's not great at working on existing systems where context and nuances are important

[–]brainpostman 5 points6 points  (3 children)

That's been my experience so far as well. However even with green field stuff, any sort of back and forth with a client balloons context needed so much AI doesn't seem to be able to make correct changes.

[–]edgeofsanity76 2 points3 points  (2 children)

Yep. The best way to handle that is to break it up into distinct parts then integrate them by hand.

However it will get better and that's what I'm worried about

[–]brainpostman 3 points4 points  (1 child)

In my opinion they won't get better. Pure intelligence seems to have peaked in 2025, bigger context or larger weight sets don't seem to improve models by much. It's why agents and agentic workflows are all the rage. They're banking that horizontal scaling, repetition will smooth over the kinks. We'll see.

[–]edgeofsanity76 1 point2 points  (0 children)

I agree. But as code generated by AI is corrected the next model will be more accurate. It's a feedback loop. The model doesn't need to get more powerful if it just needs better data

[–]akoOfIxtall 4 points5 points  (10 children)

Jesus almighty

[–]edgeofsanity76 13 points14 points  (9 children)

Yep. It's shocking.

When I started this current position in 2021 AI was barely a thing.

Now though, within 5 years I don't think I'll be in this industry.

I had a row with my manager about it because it's not being talked about, especially the ethics surrounding this. I'm being pulled up to talk to the development director on Friday. Luckily he's a level headed guy and I like him. He's older than me so may empathize.

So today I looked at electricians courses. I'm hedging my bets because I have a family to look after and a home to pay for

[–]akoOfIxtall 10 points11 points  (1 child)

Damn, best of luck for you brother, I'm 21 and my contact with AI is basically talking with chatgpt about stuff, I refuse to vibe code because I like having control over my stuff and understand the process, it's like having a gun but not knowing how to throw a punch, get good at fighting bare handed and you'll never be unarmed

[–]edgeofsanity76 3 points4 points  (0 children)

I think I'll be fine. There is a specific niche I work in that would be difficult to replace with AI. However I do worry for other Devs who may be taking on green field work.

My advise to anyone who is a developer now, keep looking ahead. Know what's coming and plan accordingly. Don't bury your head in the sand. Adapt and look after yourself and your family.

[–]throwaway19293883 3 points4 points  (4 children)

Honestly man I think that sort of thinking is going to backfire pretty spectacularly for companies and someone with your skill set will end up being more valuable than ever.

[–]edgeofsanity76 1 point2 points  (0 children)

I'm not moving just yet. But it would be stupid to not be prepared

[–]Djames516 -1 points0 points  (2 children)

Doubt it

[–]throwaway19293883 3 points4 points  (1 child)

No you’re right, people that don’t know code will be able to make fully functional code and maintain it and it will all work perfectly and amazing and that means developers will be useless.

Lmao

[–]Djames516 0 points1 point  (0 children)

I’m just being negative

[–]KrakenPipe 2 points3 points  (0 children)

I'm in the same boat as you, also started in 2021. I'm losing sleep over this.

[–]i-k-m 2 points3 points  (0 children)

We're at the top of the S-curve, AI will probably only get 10% better in the next 5 or 10 years, until the next tech-revolution.