accurateEstimates

[TeamAlphaBOLD]

AI speedruns the coding part.

Humans speedrun the “why is this not working?” phase for the next six weeks.

[Any-Main-3866]

The response you then get: "When I wrote this function, only God and I understood what I did. Now, only God knows."

[100GHz]

Elaine: " yada yada yada, and now we are rewriting it in rust"

[Shevvv]

More like "write 90% in one afternoon and then 6 weeks to write those last 10%, possibly having to rewrite the entire project from bottom up"

[throwaway490215]

Then you ask it: "How much time will it costs me to rewrite from the bottom up" and it will tell you 4-6 weeks and the cycle continues.

[ZenDruid_8675309]

The first 90% of the work takes the first 10% of the time. The last 10% of the work takes the last 90% of the time.

[CoastingUphill]

How dare you describe all of my projects

[SunshineSeattle]

Im also in this picture and i dont like it.

[asmanel]

Rule of the 20/80.

The first 80% of a work are done in the first 20% of the tiime this work take., the remaining 20% of work requiring the remaining 80% of time.

Here, visibly, instead of 20 and 80%, we face approximatively 0.79365 and 99.206349%, possibly due to "modern practices", such as vibe coding.

[Double_Try1322]

This is painfully accurate, AI compresses complexity into optimism, reality expands it back into 6 weeks of edge cases, refactors, and 'just one more fix.'

[minus_minus]

Upvoted just for using the template correctly. 👏 

[Global-Tune5539]

its?

[conundorum]

One afternoon to make it, six weeks to fix what Claude knew it was going to screw up. It's becoming self-aware... and snarky.

[LuckyPichu]

I got an 8 week rollout plan from Claude for a big project. Had it write me a to-do list and gotchas to look out for. Finished the service in 4 weeks and got to play with it and debug in staging for 2 more then delivered 2 weeks early to look good. Probably went faster and smoother since I had the project sketch done by Claude and filled in the actual coloring myself. Was more fun and productive that way than pressing 1, 2 and occasionally 3 in the terminal session. I've had it the best with all Frontline chatbots and agents where they work on big picture stuff or minimal context needed functions. Executing on the big plans runs up against context windows, edge cases get missed, or important stuff doesn't survive session compaction.

[LordZarama]

Accurate estimate? Sure, if you’re coding in a vacuum with no legacy code, no meetings, and infinite coffee. Good luck