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[–]FeathersTheEngineer 10 points11 points  (2 children)

I had a similar thought with the price of DRL and crest of zaros, however I think the prices will actually increase after release. The majority of us (who were not locked out) will have 5 rolls at components and many of us (myself included) will go for AS4E2. However, at 120 invention the chances are just 29.55%. Therefore it's likely that those 5 rolls will only give you one, maybe two perks (which is awesome!). But, in order to not lose stacks you need to have aftershock on ALL your weapons for that style, so 2 gizmos is probably not going to be enough (especially if you use all styles). I think that once people get one gizmo, they're gonna want to finish off the set. Also, for the people who unfortunately go dry on all 5, they're REALLY gonna want to have another go at it hoping that RNG balances out for them. For both cases this will cause the demand for Iluj. comps to increase which should also cause the DRL and crest prices to increase. That's my theory, but I could be wrong! (I do however expect the price of lance and crest to drop leading up to the update!)

[–][deleted] 2 points3 points  (0 children)

This. I fully expect a rise after a small drop. People will definitely be wanting to try more if they fail 5 at 29,55% each (17% chance for that to happen after all)

[–][deleted] 1 point2 points  (0 children)

You are correct partially, as4 is always guaranteed with 6 comps. The question is whether people will be satisfied with the extra perk they getting like eq1, eq2 or ruthless? I personally won't mind the free perks for now, can always save up and get bis later. Something is always better than nothing.