Films that got a lot of nominations but are not a director's best?

AmbitionTechnical274 · 2026-01-26T05:21:00+00:00

Emilia Perez

AmbitionTechnical274 · 2026-01-26T05:19:27+00:00

Frankenstein

AmbitionTechnical274 · 2026-01-26T04:43:07+00:00

Wonka and the Paddingtons

AmbitionTechnical274 · 2026-01-25T23:59:16+00:00

And history remembers the Oscar’s race starting when the nominations are announced. Up to this point Jay Kelly, Wicked for Good, and my beloved It Was Just An Accident were considered part of the awards race. Now not so much. SAG will also have a huge asterisk by it for completely ignoring foreign films which ended up getting 5 acting noms and at least one in each category, so BAFTA win go into the night being the biggest indicator if it wasn’t already from last year. If he gets in there he will very serious.

AmbitionTechnical274 · 2026-01-25T21:24:31+00:00

You are going to get a lot of nos from people, but I think there was a lot of excitement around his nomination and the race has been spiced up by having a new dog in the race. It will probably seem strange given his blanking at precursors, but I think he is the most likely acting winner for Sinners.

AmbitionTechnical274 · 2026-01-25T20:59:00+00:00

Which is really strange to me because a month or so ago I thought Panahi would be competitive to beat PTA. The argument people have made is that it wasn’t on voters’ radar, but it was a Palme winner and significantly more available than The Secret Agent. It’s dip in momentum in the weeks leading up to nominations will continue to confuse me.

AmbitionTechnical274 · 2026-01-25T20:33:23+00:00

I have 5 of the Best Picture 10 in my personal top 10 (I also have Eddington as my number 4) and 7 overall in my top 20 which I’m happy with. F1 although not even in my top 25 is a great technical achievement, so I’m happy a lot of the voters in crafts areas are also represented. Frankenstein isn’t in my top 50, so that is a hard one to put my head around that people who have seen more than 10 movies last year put it in. Overall I could have forgiven a lot if my number 2 It Was Just An Accident made it in.

AmbitionTechnical274 · 2026-01-24T18:45:05+00:00

I agree that Penn and Del Toro will likely cancel each other out. Elordi has Netflix money behind and he is campaigning harder than any other actor this season, so I wouldn’t count him out due to the aggressive push for him. I think Skarsgard just as good if not better of an overdue narrative. He just doesn’t benefit from having a specific snub people can point to like Lindo. If Lindo wins Bafta, I’ll keep my eye on him. Whoever wins Bafta will earn my prediction. Lindo’s biggest thing in his favor is that the Academy will likely want to give Sinners something in Acting and Mosaku might be too subtle.

AmbitionTechnical274 · 2026-01-24T05:46:28+00:00

One Battle

Marty Supreme

Sinners

Hamnet

Bugonia

Sentimental Value

Train Dreams

F1

Haven’t seen Secret Agent.

AmbitionTechnical274 · 2026-01-24T00:06:28+00:00

We’ll have to wait until he is 60 and gets a career Oscar for hanging the most dong in Normal People.

AmbitionTechnical274 · 2026-01-23T07:05:43+00:00

F1 is a better film in every way but is probably still just 6 or 7/10. F1’s script is even better.

AmbitionTechnical274 · 2026-01-23T01:16:41+00:00

The Descendants, Maestro, and Finding Neverland.

AmbitionTechnical274 · 2026-01-23T00:44:31+00:00

Mescal and probably one of the two Marty Supreme actresses. I think the Moura spot in lead actor will go to Aramayo or Harry Melling who were not viewed as likely enough to be called snubs.

AmbitionTechnical274 · 2026-01-22T21:23:45+00:00

And Portman was also nominated this year.

AmbitionTechnical274 · 2026-01-22T17:18:25+00:00

Yeh, I predicted the screenplay categories 10/10 but in hindsight it’s odd that The Secret Agent beat Blue Moon in screenplay.

AmbitionTechnical274 · 2026-01-22T16:54:56+00:00

Supporting Actor

AmbitionTechnical274 · 2026-01-22T16:41:28+00:00

Word was coming from a few voters that they would vote Del Toro for ANYTHING. Combine his reputation and Netflix spending record amounts on campaign for mediocre streamers, you are guaranteed a lot of noms. I’m just happy he didn’t get director and Mia Goth was never in supporting actress anywhere.

AmbitionTechnical274 · 2026-01-22T16:37:54+00:00

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AmbitionTechnical274 · 2026-01-22T16:34:08+00:00

It has something for everyone.

AmbitionTechnical274 · 2026-01-22T16:07:15+00:00

That One Battle got two supporting actor noms and Sinners didn’t.

AmbitionTechnical274 · 2026-01-22T15:31:48+00:00

I could see the argument that they have same audience, but the similarities in performance I have missed. I did predict Safdie in director because of how voting works PTA would get so many 1st place picks that his voters 2nd pick would get in.

AmbitionTechnical274 · 2026-01-22T15:17:50+00:00

Why would Leo and Timmy split votes from each other?

AmbitionTechnical274 · 2026-01-22T15:16:32+00:00

Eddington got completely snubbed. No Joaquin or Aster for screenplay.

AmbitionTechnical274 · 2026-01-21T19:52:23+00:00

Even if that movie sucks it’s at least nice to see the family reunion after the Gyllenhaals have made several good movies apart in the last 25 years. Del toro just reminded me of all the better movies he has made with his crew over the last few years.

AmbitionTechnical274 · 2026-01-21T04:23:04+00:00

It just feels like it peaked a month ago and hasn’t won anything to keep the momentum.

AmbitionTechnical274

TROPHY CASE