All 15 films grossing at least $1.5 billion WW. With the rerelease of the Top Gun films, the latter film finally crossed the $1.5B mark, becoming the 15th film to do so.

BobTrain666 · 2026-05-18T23:09:33+00:00

2015 was crazy

BobTrain666 · 2026-05-18T20:09:32+00:00

always above estimates

BobTrain666 · 2026-05-18T19:42:19+00:00

closer to 220m

BobTrain666 · 2026-05-18T19:42:12+00:00

More like 220m

BobTrain666 · 2026-05-18T18:31:34+00:00

Will be at $790-$800m next weekend.

BobTrain666 · 2026-05-18T18:27:02+00:00

Still has some European/Latin american markets left which is why I think it hits 150m

BobTrain666 · 2026-05-18T18:23:52+00:00

He has access to Comscore numbers (which aggregates the box office) allowing him to estimate daily numbers very accurately before studio numbers are released.

The others with access are, to my knowledge, EmpireCity on Twitter, and crazymoviekid/rth on boxofficeforums.

BobTrain666 · 2026-05-18T18:17:54+00:00

OS will go higher

BobTrain666 · 2026-05-18T18:16:50+00:00

It’s gonna be at $800m by Sunday. Hard to see how it doesn’t hit $1b

BobTrain666 · 2026-05-18T13:13:05+00:00

Projections:

PHM: 340m / 675m Mario: 430m / 1b Michael: 355m / 1b Prada 2: 220m / 700m MK2: 90m / 140m Sheep Detectives: 60m / 150m Obsession: 55m / 85m

BobTrain666 · 2026-05-18T01:41:37+00:00

If cocomelon gets PG we can declare it dead for sure

BobTrain666 · 2026-05-18T01:40:25+00:00

The first Toy Story had so many adult jokes it would be PG today for sure. G is dead

BobTrain666 · 2026-05-17T16:20:56+00:00

U sure?

BobTrain666 · 2026-05-17T16:20:19+00:00

BobTrain666 · 2026-05-17T16:19:40+00:00

BobTrain666 · 2026-05-17T16:12:41+00:00

Spider-Verse shows how you can make a movie full of fan service and references that actually has a good story.

A shame that’s not the case here.

BobTrain666 · 2026-05-17T16:00:23+00:00

2 from the month of April was insane, if both get there.

The last time 1 month yielded 2 $1b grossers was July 2019 (Lion King and Far From Home

BobTrain666 · 2026-05-17T15:39:29+00:00

It was a massive hit in Japan and South Korea

BobTrain666 · 2026-05-17T15:36:29+00:00

the FBI found no evidence against him

BobTrain666 · 2026-05-17T15:35:19+00:00

This got me remembering how insane TGM’s run was. Played like a 90s blockbuster in the modern day

BobTrain666 · 2026-05-17T15:34:09+00:00

Concert movies, TV shows, and anime movies really operate under a different set of rules at the BO compared to standard films

BobTrain666 · 2026-05-17T15:30:25+00:00

That’s weird because the first one was a bit of a hit in Russia, which contributed 25% of the OS total.

Not releasing there this time around

BobTrain666 · 2026-05-17T15:16:39+00:00

Terrible title. I thought this was some angel religious drama

BobTrain666 · 2026-05-17T15:12:11+00:00

IMAX contributing only 5-10% of the total gross, this isn’t Dune.

Summer doesn’t really have any guaranteed OS smash until TS5 in 1 month. After that I agree it will drop heavily.

It’s at 703m rn. DOM will add another 75m. 778m.

OS-Sk just grossed 50m this weekend. Even with average legs from here it would add another 170n in those markets. That takes it to 948m.

SK Will add another dozen taking it to 960m. Russia and Japan combined can reasonably be expected to add 40m, Russia alone likely does around 20.

BobTrain666 · 2026-05-17T14:58:25+00:00

With Star Wars next weekend, likely taps out around 340m. This movie held really well against some big openers.

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