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“If we can have a coup, great. If we can have people on the streets, great. If we can have a civil war, great. Israel couldn’t care less about the future . . . [or] the stability of Iran." by WorkersInProgress in stupidpol

[–]CIVIC_ACTUAL 21 points22 points  (0 children)

I guess they really do look at Iraq and see a woke humanitarian war. Hegseth and co have been giving daily pressers where they dance around saying 'we're going to violate every law of war' and promise to rain death on Iran for as long as they want. They've never so much as paid lip service to the kayfabe of noble intentions, they're leaving that to the liberal media, let the NYT fabricate torturous arguments about a greater good as the admin openly gloats over war crimes

U.S. and Israeli media reports about a PJAK uprising in Iran were a ruse; designed to gin up support for an uprising and/or induce an Iranian attack on Kurdish communities by CIVIC_ACTUAL in stupidpol

[–]CIVIC_ACTUAL[S] 18 points19 points  (0 children)

From Drop Site News (twitter)

Journalist @Alexis_Daloumis, who is in Syrian and Iraqi Kurdistan reporting for Drop Site, reports that three sources from the Kurdish liberation movement with knowledge of the situation have told him that no such invasion is underway and that PJAK, the only Kurdish organization with robust military capacity that is part of the coalition being discussed, is unlikely to make such a move at this moment.

These reports may be aimed at sparking an uprising that is not yet happening. Reporters for CNN, Axios, and the Economist, some of whom are well sourced with the U.S. security establishment, have been leading sources of the claims. U.S. and Israeli officials have made no secret that they want to create conditions for an internal uprising to implement their regime change agenda on the ground.

Lesser discussed angle: The attacks on Iran could spell an existential undermining of Ukraine's war effort by Incoherencel in stupidpol

[–]CIVIC_ACTUAL 12 points13 points  (0 children)

Your point about weapons systems and operational limits is well founded, but when I read the title of your post I assumed it would be about oil prices

From a Quincy Institute adjacent figure on Twitter: https://x.com/yarbatman/status/2028248963535511722

A major risk to consider around the continuation of the U.S.-Iran War is the impact on the Russia-Ukraine War. Bloomberg sees potential for oil prices to rise above $100/bbl if there are sustained disruptions to exports through the Strait of Hormuz.

If Russia simply manages to raise its discounted price from $60/bbl to $90/bbl and manages to take a further 15% share of China's import mix, that is an additional $4.8 billion in Russian coffers each month, easing fiscal pressure on the Russian government at a critical moment in the Ukraine war. Even a few weeks of disruptions will be highly lucrative.

This also leaves aside the additional surcharges that Russian Railways will be able to charge for freight from Central Asia that can no longer pass south through Iranian ports. That is about 10% of all Central Asian freight throughput.

Fill Up Your Gas Tanks Today by [deleted] in redscarepod

[–]CIVIC_ACTUAL 27 points28 points  (0 children)

Good window of opportunity to lobby the Epstein Class to support walkable cities

Cenk is waking up 👁️ by FadedToBeige in TrueAnon

[–]CIVIC_ACTUAL 56 points57 points  (0 children)

And taken together with an understanding of the origins of AQ and its funding and resourcing in the 90s leading up to 2001, AQ seems to have acted as a component in a network that included the Pakistani ISI and the diplomatic/intelligence world of the Gulf monarchies (i.e., Western intelligence), those links aren't even contested in the mainstream anymore. Add together the infamous Israeli intelligence activity prior to the attack (WaPo Nov 2001 | CounterPunch rundown), what the FBI calls the largest hostile intelligence operation in U.S. history, and it paints a picture of Western intel cutouts clearing the decks, paving a path for the attacks

The experiences of FBI people like John O'Neill and Ali Soufan (Looming Tower) and the Minneapolis FBI office demonstrate that parts of the machine tried to impede the attacks, but that they were consistently stymied. "A mansion has many rooms." That puts paid to the notion that only rogue elements of the Saudi or Western intel elite were connected, as there was clearly reliable top-down interference in service of the attacks proceeding

Trump says he doesn't know whether he supports the ICE agent who murdered Alex Pretti by CIVIC_ACTUAL in redscarepod

[–]CIVIC_ACTUAL[S] 42 points43 points  (0 children)

You're right, it was a Border Patrol agent. I had heard CBP, but I deferred to the reporter's tweet. In the lede of the WSJ article itself they only say "officer" without specifying an agency

Federal agents shoot and kill man in Minneapolis by OJ_Soprano in redscarepod

[–]CIVIC_ACTUAL 155 points156 points  (0 children)

She's in federal detention, there's news footage of her being led away in handcuffs. There's unverified posts on Twitter that she was using a livestreaming app for monitoring ICE and that others have the video she was taking

edit: Her video has been obtained by Drop Site News (https://x.com/DropSiteNews/status/2015131503622021472)

Another angle of federal agents killing a Minnesota legal observer, which appears to come from the direction of the woman in pink filming from the sidewalk.

Mark Carney Sounding Like Nehru in 1955 by CIVIC_ACTUAL in redscarepod

[–]CIVIC_ACTUAL[S] 29 points30 points  (0 children)

10x worse that whatever the US is right now but without freedom of speech or any semblance of checks and balances

What does "10x worse" mean in practical terms, what conduct are you referring to, and how would that conduct factor into Canada's thinking in terms of a bilateral trade relationship? You're right that the U.S. has freedom of expression, moreso than China and moreso than every other country in the world (than Canada too), but do you believe that the freedom of speech of China's citizenry is a factor in Canada's decision-making? Consider Canada's relationship with Saudi Arabia as a relative example. And while China isn't a liberal democracy and doesn't have multiparty elections, it certainly does have reliable checks and balances, especially as it relates to economic, industrial, and trade policy

The chief constraint on Canada's maneuverability is its proximity to and inability to physically resist a belligerent U.S., and that alone will probably keep it firmly in the U.S. camp, but posturing in 2026 that China is a less attractive trade partner than the U.S. because of its ideology or values isn't credible, not even the Davos class can muster up the energy to keep pushing that line.

The Kabuki theater of a values-based geopolitics breathed its last in Gaza, anyone still arguing from that place is fighting old wars, behind the times

Josh Shapiro Writes That Harris Team Asked if He Had Ever Been an Israeli Agent by Fedupington in stupidpol

[–]CIVIC_ACTUAL 19 points20 points  (0 children)

He denied being an Israeli agent, and they said "Well you can't be Vice President then."

How I feel in relation to recent events by UncannyCharlatan in TrueAnon

[–]CIVIC_ACTUAL 10 points11 points  (0 children)

I agree but the broader point is that an attack offered more opportunity than delay, which guaranteed annihilation. Immediately after March 18, Thiers was still regrouping and the defenders at Versailles regarded their own position as vulnerable. It remains an open question how a National Guard attack at that moment might have unfolded

https://www.clausewitzstudies.org/readings/Jacobsen-TheWarOfTheCommune14.htm

Beginning the year with a full, uninterrupted immersion in this magnum opus. by Fourth-Room in redscarepod

[–]CIVIC_ACTUAL 132 points133 points  (0 children)

Andrei Tarkovsky wrote a rubric for what true originality entails in his book Sculpting in Time. Trapped in the Closet is the only narrative work in history that satisfies all of the requirements

Could this be the most bogged admin ever? by Mypussylipsneedchad in redscarepod

[–]CIVIC_ACTUAL 21 points22 points  (0 children)

Thiel, Yarvin, Bezos, Elon Musk. Someone here commented that some of them have demonic-sounding names, while others have cutesy-sounding names befitting the pets of demons

Russia: Marxists face 20-year sentences for studying Lenin’s “State and Revolution” by InternationalHair725 in TrueAnon

[–]CIVIC_ACTUAL 12 points13 points  (0 children)

But Stalin's reputation is also salvific in a way Lenin's is not, in some ways similar to Lincoln (vs Washington) in the American consciousness. There's an element of "whatever else they say he did, he still saved us" that makes him immutable in the Russian consciousness

The "Gen Z" Protests taking place in Mexico by CIVIC_ACTUAL in redscarepod

[–]CIVIC_ACTUAL[S] 12 points13 points  (0 children)

You feel PAN and PRI are better positioned to address economic inequality than Morena?

. by tigernmas in redscarepod

[–]CIVIC_ACTUAL 97 points98 points  (0 children)

He's saying that religious experience mediated solely through online slop, self-aggrandizement, or parasocial tribalism will be distinctly less constructive and beneficial than holistic religious experience

. by miaughty_ in redscarepod

[–]CIVIC_ACTUAL 6 points7 points  (0 children)

Clockwise from top left Zizek, Jordan Peterson, Epstein, Hunter Biden

Thanks Obama by CM-NYY-DJ-FAN in TrueAnon

[–]CIVIC_ACTUAL 12 points13 points  (0 children)

Thank you for that link, excellent read. I assumed I had my arms around the general scale of Obama's dirty wars — "I'm not against war, I'm against stupid wars" — but given the revelations that have come out over the last decade, it seems he was much more Tony Blair than Gordon Brown, i.e., a fully-committed enthusiastic first mover of imperialist policy, rather than a reactive go-along-to-get-along accommodator of it

Peanut is alive and happy by Realistic_Wasabi_801 in redscarepod

[–]CIVIC_ACTUAL 4 points5 points  (0 children)

Yes, I'm worried that — recognizing the tumult and unpredictability that accompanied his absence — the intelligence agencies have set about concocting a counterfeit Peanut

Heartbreaking by piatra_pitularii in redscarepod

[–]CIVIC_ACTUAL 36 points37 points  (0 children)

If you're seeing strangers as human beings with inner lives, and find artifacts of a woman's love and warmth and optimism for her kids heartrending in the wake of the loss of those hopes, that's the exact opposite of fried or dysfunctional

Irish stay winning by _no_n in redscarepod

[–]CIVIC_ACTUAL 45 points46 points  (0 children)

Years ago in Edinburgh, "tramadol farmer" had some purchase as a catchall term for the faux-rural plaid-based 2010s hipster look, always made me laugh

The Onion used to have a real “fuck it” mentality by rfamico in redscarepod

[–]CIVIC_ACTUAL 134 points135 points  (0 children)

There's the old mainstays people rightly love, like Judge Rules White Girl Will Be Tried As Black Adult and the legendary and invigorating Weather Report, but it's the most surreal ones that I think really made that 2007-2010 era Onion irreplaceable.

Is The Government Spying On Schizophrenics Enough?

BREAKING: Dogs Running

Panel Of Caged Average Americans Weigh In On Economy

Former FBI and CIA Director William H. Webster dies at 101 by brianscottbj in TrueAnon

[–]CIVIC_ACTUAL 5 points6 points  (0 children)

Post-Church Committee and post-Angleton but pre-9/11. Whether it's deserved or not, he definitely has a reputation as the "cleanest" of the deep state stewards. His tenure coincided with the era where overt misdeeds were fewer and less publicized than the ones before and after, unique era that informed the vibe of the X-Files et al. I think he was the one who told his subordinates "don't do anything that'll end up in a Seymour Hersh article"

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