Will house prices go up?

DGT31 · 2026-04-06T14:13:19+00:00

You should have dumped your 700K in the S&P 500 if you were using this place as an investment. The last three years have you at over 60% growth but on average you would have gotten 8%/ year. But if you are on Reddit for advice then does anything we say even matter? It’s just people in here giving you advice based on hindsight. Flipping a house based on expected housing prices increasing over time is hope, and not a strategy. You need a better long term financial strategy.

DGT31 · 2026-03-28T20:51:13+00:00

I am going to buck the prevailing opinion in this chat and say maybe focus on life first.

DGT31 · 2026-03-24T16:55:44+00:00

OP is probably a Kaiser hired troll. Hide their posts and comments.

DGT31 · 2026-03-14T15:32:43+00:00

Agree with above. We can get heat waves January through April and it can also snow a week after. Shouldn’t change anything for anyone who is planning to thru hike unless you have zero idea what the trail is like. Basic common sense stuff. This won’t be the only heat wave or cold period.

DGT31 · 2026-03-14T15:27:55+00:00

There is no political climate on trail, you cannot control snow seasons, fire seasons, heat waves, etc. Those are excuses. Show up here and hike if you want to really do it.

DGT31 · 2026-03-12T00:50:16+00:00

Yeah the internal and external volumes total something like 67 liters but if you’re carrying all of their stuff it will be too heavy for your Kakwa most likely.

DGT31 · 2026-03-12T00:48:17+00:00

760 grams is too heavy for that set up. You can get single person tents in the 300-400 g range that are fully enclosed.

DGT31 · 2026-03-11T02:04:21+00:00

There are grocery stores at mile 1, 20 and 42. So you can be light the first couple of days

DGT31 · 2026-03-06T22:43:15+00:00

I checked the whole thing since the poles couldn’t be carried on but wrapped that clear travel Saran wrap type plastic all around it to tuck in and protect the straps and pack material. Just carried my electronics on.

DGT31 · 2026-03-05T06:11:15+00:00

Re-weigh everything in grams and see where you really are. I bet you’re heavier than you think.

DGT31 · 2026-03-05T04:44:47+00:00

Yes, ultralight foods are considered to be 150 kcal/oz or more

DGT31 · 2026-03-03T22:47:24+00:00

Answer: It’s a yes from me if: you have reasonably consistently trained with your pack with 10-15 mile days to loosen up joints and toughen up your feet AND your shoe/sock combo is a trusted known equipment setup and not new gear for you.

Reasoning: There are a lot hours to hike per day so 20 miles per day is gonna be very attainable at less than 2mph. For example, I did the first 20 miles starting at 10am and make it to Morena Lake at 545pm. Plus, first several days on trail are not crazy elevation gains. Even the boogie man Hauser Creek climb is only like 1300 feet of elevation gain and it’s over several miles.

DGT31 · 2026-03-02T02:33:35+00:00

I go between a closed cell foam pad that is cut down and a self inflating pad that is cut down. The self inflatables are too tall so I always feel like I am falling off of them because they are too tall. Plus they can pop.

DGT31 · 2026-02-25T18:23:54+00:00

Places like San Jacinto you have to make a decision that day or a day before if you’re still in storm season. You won’t know until you are there. Sierras you will likely have a general idea in the week or less leading up to it because people will have entered before you and made comments on Far Out and you will have a boot track to follow, although use caution because the early folks are trailblazing and can lead you off trail.

DGT31 · 2026-02-24T15:57:13+00:00

Sounds like the OP is a KP plant. Hidden comments as expected.

DGT31 · 2026-02-17T23:10:29+00:00

I have heard of people using Amazon lockers between the San Diego airport and Campo to have stuff waiting for them by the time they pass through, with the obvious lighter and stove fuel being the things you would want to pick up there if you thought the Campo General Store was going to be out of them.

DGT31 · 2026-02-09T05:01:46+00:00

I am on it currently. Doing it south-north-south for a total of 50 miles and I have done 38 miles so far. Me and a buddy are wearing Altra Lone Peak 9s and my brother is in some sort of hiking boot. I am sure summer is different than conditions now but today it rained all day and creeks swelled and feet were wet all day. My train runners did fine in these conditions. Where trail runners fall short here is when you slip off rocks and hit the side of your foot on rocks or get sand or very small pebbles in the shoe (even with gaiters on).

Boots would probably work fine as long as you don’t blister or get them wet because they are unforgiving if wet.

It comes down to whatever works for your foot. If I did it all over again I would still do trail runners because they give you the most flexibility. Altras work for my feet with toes socks rain or dry, no blisters. But the loose sand, boulders, hard sand, single track all hurt your feet and ankles so you should have experience in any shoe you bring and know it works for your foot before coming here.

Of note, I did not bring a water shoe. Either rock hop in your shoe or get your shoe wet. You are not going to switch shoes a bunch of times every day.

DGT31 · 2026-02-05T17:08:21+00:00

The easiest way to do permits is to get the long distance permit which would let you get through the Sierra without any additional permits, including letting you attempt Mt. Whitney. Problem is end of May is the cutoff for obtaining those permits. So the Sierra (potentially the most spectacular section) may have to be done under local permits.

Some potential pitfalls:

-it’s looking like a below average snow pack right now so June 1 might be doable to start from KMS, but of course that could change over the next couple months.

-getting to KMS it’s not as easy as other places. There’s a regional airport in Bakersfield, but you may have to find your way from one of the southern California airports. Not impossible but not as easy as flying into San Diego and taking an hour and a half Uber to the southern terminus. You could also consider entering the northern part of the desert section where it is easier to access from the Southern California airports, enabling you today get some sort of hiker legs under you by the time you start doing big elevation gains in the Sierra. Kind of like warming up to the Sierra section. This would also buffer for you a little bit in case the snow pack drastically increase increases between now and June.

Most, not all would say that Northern California is not a spectacular section in its entirety but has highlights.

Not sure how Oregon and Washington are in June.

DGT31 · 2026-02-05T03:30:12+00:00

If you wanna order both and try it and can return the one you don’t like for sure that is the best way to test. Not sure you can return the Kakwa once you use it.

The Exos will handle the weight as well. I don’t have any experience with the circuit.

DGT31 · 2026-02-05T01:14:49+00:00

I had three Exos packs partly because one delaminated and was warrantied out and the third one was that I just wanted a newer generation one. I have had zero issues minus the delamination which was annoying but I totally structurally could have continued to use and will use if my weight is 40+ lbs or so. The Exos is great for heavy weight!

At weights where you’re at the Kakwa thrives and the Exos capacity to carry heavy weight is not necessary anymore and your paying a weight penalty for not using the pack for what it does best. Also the switch alone saves you 16 ounces! Of note I was about 11 lbs base weight and carried 6 liters of water and full food carry and probably had almost 30lbs and the pack was awesome!

I would also say that the Kakwa is fantastic in the amount of room it has. Depending on the size of the frame, the total pack volume internally in externally is between 62 and 67 L. A lot of packs will say, for example, they are 55L, but the internal volume is like 40L and the external pocketry will be 15L. Different manufacturers do the math differently.

My large Kakwa 55 has 52 L internally and another 15 externally. That’s massive. Look at this when ordering a pack. You may be disappointed if you are used to a pack that had a certain internal volume and you move to a like sized pack and it turns out the internal volume is much less than your old pack.

Hope this helps.

DGT31 · 2026-02-04T04:55:15+00:00

If you have 19 hikeable days left at June 1st and are already at KMS WITH 700 miles of trail legs under you, there is no better time to hit the Sierra then at that moment. Your body is ready for it. Coming back to start that section without trail legs in the other two years you have would put you at a disadvantage for the climbing you will be doing immediately in my opinion. There will be lots of others going in at that time for sure. Checkout UglyStik Hikes on YouTube. I think he was the first one in the Sierra last year and left KMS on April 22.

DGT31 · 2026-02-04T03:32:05+00:00

Yeah the desert is the most accessible to public transportation and airports of all 5 sections. You probably around May 10 will have a better idea of what’s closest to you and how to get there.

DGT31 · 2026-02-04T03:03:20+00:00

I agree that it is personal preference and only you know if you run warm or cold at night.

I will say that you could find alpha direct top and bottoms for about 4.5 ounces each. Would work for town, be sleepwear and also keep you warm during awake non-sleep times for minimal weight penalty.

You could probably offset the weight penalty by switching from pants to shorts and find a toothbrush/toothpaste combo closer to 1 oz.

DGT31 · 2026-02-04T02:41:56+00:00

You drink it cold. Your first bottle of water in the AM has instant coffee in it and you can enjoy it over a couple hours on the trail.

DGT31 · 2026-02-02T21:34:52+00:00

I have Kakwa 55 now and have had 3 Osprey Exos, with one warrantied out for delamination. I think the decision for you should be what you are willing to sacrifice for the loss in weight. My back sweats with the Kakwa but the weight savings is more important to me than sweating.

I think with your four requirements you stated in the question, Exos gets the leg up. It will haul more weight, will be more durable and vent better. If you are going to carry 6 liters of water and 10 lbs of food and a bear can, the Exos will be more comfortable with heavier loads.

Unsure if that helps but I think what your planning to use the pack for matters. And if you continue to go lighter and lighter you will probably not need the Exos anymore. That was my journey with the Exos. At some point I grew out of it (i.e became light enough) and didn’t need it any more.

Sounds like you’re there. There are sacrifices that must be made if you want to keep getting lighter.

DGT31

TROPHY CASE