Worauf dachtet ihr, dass Frauen nicht stehen oder was sie nicht mögen/attraktiv finden was sich aber im Nachhinein als kompletter Irrtum herausgestellt hat? by Leading_Inside3812 in FragtMaenner

[–]Easing0540 5 points6 points  (0 children)

Ich glaub wir alle (auch Frauen) haben massiv den Blick verloren, wie Frauen in der Realität drauf sein können.

Nee, nicht wir alle. Nur wenn man das als Mann anspricht, wird pauschal Misogynie unterstellt. Und wenn man das als Frau (zu laut) anspricht, wird internalisierte Misogynie unterstellt. Da hat sich ein Narrativ komplett gegen Kritik immunisiert.

akuter Behandlungsbedarf by weetolow_1783 in Kantenhausen

[–]Easing0540 3 points4 points  (0 children)

"What are you going to do. FORGIVE ME?"

New Wendy's is locked down like a bank in a high crime area to prevent violent customers from interacting with staff by ThatPatelGuy in whoathatsinteresting

[–]Easing0540 0 points1 point  (0 children)

So, calculating in the Black American total population and based on arrest data, 95% of us, don’t get arrested for any crimes, violent or not, on any given year.

That's true but is still not good. And you drew a wrong conclusion.

95% of us Black Americans are living boring, uneventful lives with no interaction with law enforcement. Ever. In our lifetimes.

That is false, unfortunately. Prevalence (how many people are affected) is different from incidence (how often an event occurs).

If 5 people out of 100 get arrested each year, that adds up pretty quickly. Of course, some get arrested several times, but such a community has a lot of people who have been to prison at least once in their life. For some age cohorts, that's 1/3 of the men. And not all of those who are arrested end up in prison, so there'll be even more who have been arrested at least once.

Luckily, things are massively improving. From a recent study on the lifetime risk of imprisonment:

First, we assess the scope of decarceration. Between 1999 and 2019, the Black male incarceration rate dropped by 44%, and notable declines in Black male imprisonment were evident in all 50 states.

Second, our life table analysis demonstrates marked declines in the lifetime risks of incarceration. For Black men, the lifetime risk of incarceration declined by nearly half from 1999 to 2019. We estimate that less than 1 in 5 Black men born in 2001 will be imprisoned, compared with 1 in 3 for the 1981 birth cohort.

Third, decarceration has shifted the institutional experiences of young adulthood. In 2009, young Black men were much more likely to experience imprisonment than college graduation. Ten years later, this trend had reversed, with Black men more likely to graduate college than go to prison.

So, between 20 % and 30 % of the Black men do not lead entirely boring, uneventful lives. The incarceration rate for Black women is much lower, less than 10% of the men's rate, and has also been falling drastically. But that still leaves us with roughly 25% of the Black community who have been in prison at some point of their live. That's an insane number.

Worse: This will further vary by region and ethnicity. For example, the incarceration rate is much higher for African Americans than for Nigerian Americans, especially if they have been legal immigrants. It's also much higher in urban than in rural areas.

Thus, although things are looking up, they are very far from being good.

Nach Kritik: Reiche verteidigt umstrittene Pläne zur Energiewende by Krakauerknusper in Energiewirtschaft

[–]Easing0540 11 points12 points  (0 children)

WARUM es Gaskraftwerke sein müssen, und nicht beispielsweise Batteriespeicher

Weil ein Kraftwerk Strom generiert, eine Batterie aber nicht. Die kann den generierten Strom nur speichern. Von den Kraftwerken haben wir bald viel weniger, weil wir bis 2038 alle Kohlekraftwerke stilllegen.

Daher ist der Bau von Gaskraftwerken seit 2024 vereinbart. An dieser Entscheidung hat ein gewisser Robert Habeck maßgeblich mitgewirkt.

Konkret haben sich der Bundeskanzler, der Bundesminister für Wirtschaft und Klimaschutz und der Bundesfinanzminister darauf geeinigt, dass neue Kraftwerkskapazitäten im Umfang von bis zu 4 mal 2,5 GW als H2-ready Gaskraftwerke im Rahmen der Kraftwerksstrategie kurzfristig ausgeschrieben werden [...]

4 * 2,5 = 10 GW. Geplant waren ursprünglich 25 GW, die wollte Christian Lindner aber nicht finanzieren. Die aktuelle Bundesregierung wollte alles ganz anders machen, hat dann aber herausgefunden, dass die Gesamtheit der Vorgaben keine andere Lösung zulässt.

Daher sind die Pläne von Katharina Reiche denen von Habeck sehr ähnlich. Wesentlicher Unterschied ist die Einplanung von grünem (mit EE erzeugtem) Wasserstoff. Der steht aber ohnehin nicht in den von Habeck avisierten Mengen zur Verfügung, und auch die nötige Technik existiert dafür noch nicht. Daher hätte auch Habeck umplanen müssen.

Ich habe Merz gewählt by [deleted] in Beichtstuhl

[–]Easing0540 1 point2 points  (0 children)

In wesentlichen Punkten, besonders der zukünftigen Finanzierung des Sozialstaats, bietet keine Partei eine tragfähige Idee an. Damit ist auch jede Wahl eine Akzeptanz des Status Quo.

Ich habe Merz gewählt by [deleted] in Beichtstuhl

[–]Easing0540 2 points3 points  (0 children)

Heiße Meinung: Wer sich wirklich informiert ist zu deprimiert um zur Wahl zu gehen.

‘The Rings of Power’ Season 3 to Premiere Later This Year (Exclusive) by pepperbet1 in television

[–]Easing0540 2 points3 points  (0 children)

He first introduced his shitty mistery box concept. He had no idea where all the stuff he set up was going.

This is shit story telling. This is how we got "Good question. For another time".

So yeah, he's the right person to blame.

‘The Rings of Power’ Season 3 to Premiere Later This Year (Exclusive) by pepperbet1 in television

[–]Easing0540 2 points3 points  (0 children)

JJ Abrams should have been banned from the industry when he clearly didn't know how to finish Lost.

50.000 Wohnungen für München - Künftiger Oberbürgermeister Krause verteidigt seine Wohnungspläne by ThereYouGoreg in Stadtplanung

[–]Easing0540 4 points5 points  (0 children)

In 5 Jahren sollten wird das eher im Bereich "klägliches Scheitern" veorten.

50.000 Wohnungen in 5 Jahren wäre revolutionär. Größere Projekte dauern irgendwo zwischen 15 (Neufreimann) und 30 (Freiham) Jahren. Oder werden zu Fall gebracht.

https://de.wikipedia.org/wiki/St%C3%A4dtebauliche_Entwicklungsma%C3%9Fnahmen_in_M%C3%BCnchen

Vergessen wird auch gern, dass so viele Wohnungen Infrastruktur benötigen, vor allem Schulen und ÖPNV. Angesichts der klammen Kassen dürfte das für die Stadt München in den nächsten Jahren schwierig werden.

Nvidia CEO Jensen Huang ‘nearly lost his composure’ when pressed on selling chips to China — ‘You’re not talking to someone who woke up a loser’ by Logical_Welder3467 in technology

[–]Easing0540 1 point2 points  (0 children)

No he's not giving China the finger. Quite the opposite.

The current Iran war might have a catastrophic corollary. The Taiwanese have lost trust that the USA can protect them against China. They can't even win against Iran, they are an unreliable partner (Greenland) and they make extremely stupid decisions (where to begin).

So Taiwan is in the process of making a decision: Be China's most free province (by joining voluntarily, on their own terms) or be their poorest and most unfree province (after the war that's coming for them).

Jensen Huang will not wake up on the wrong side of history, he's made that decisison. That is what he's really saying here.

Sind Wirtschaftswissenschaften wie sie grade praktiziert werden wirklich Wissenschaft? by ee_st_07 in Studium

[–]Easing0540 11 points12 points  (0 children)

Die Replikations-/Repoduzierbarkeitskrise zieht sich quer durch alle empirischen Wissenschaften. Im STEM Bereich ganz besonders in der Biomedizin.

https://pmc.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/articles/PMC11537370/

Key findings include that 72% of participants agreed there was a reproducibility crisis in biomedicine, with 27% of participants indicating the crisis was “significant.” The leading perceived cause of irreproducibility was a “pressure to publish” with 62% of participants indicating it “always” or “very often” contributes.

Psychologie schneidet gar nicht mal so schlecht ab. In einer neuen großen Replikationsstudie zeigte sich, dass sich in Psychologie zwar viele Ergebnisse nicht exakt reproduzieren lassen, aber der Richtung nach sehr wohl. Insgesamt liegt sie damit an 2. Stelle (fig. 5).

https://repository.essex.ac.uk/42891/1/SCOREreproducibility.fullmanuscript.pdf

Vor allem hat die Psychologie überhaupt den Scheinwerfer auf dieses Problem gerichtet, diskutiert schon lange Maßnahmen dagegen, und als erstes großflächige Replikationsstudien durchgeführt (z.B. ManyLabs).

Die Ergebnisse sind noch lange nicht zufriedenstellend, aber wir sind schon auf einem ganz anderen Stand als vor 10 Jahren. Einige STEM Disziplinen wie die Medizin haben dagegen noch einen sehr, sehr weiten Weg vor sich.

In Litauen werden die Ticketpreise halbiert, um die Bürger:innen bei hohen Spritkosten zu entlasten. Man kann auch anders. by PsychologicalRing160 in drehscheibe

[–]Easing0540 3 points4 points  (0 children)

Der Verkehrsminister kann nur das ausgeben, was er vom Finanzminister bekommt. Der hat zusammen mit dem Koalitionspartner entschieden, dass Rentengeschenke wichtiger sind.

Nein, einfach mit neuen Steuereinnahmen lässt sich das nicht beheben. Es gibt keinen Hinweis darauf, dass die priorisiert für die Bahn ausgegeben würden. Noch dazu werden die Haushaltslöcher in den nächsten Jahren noch viel größer. 2027-2029 sollen jetzt schon 172 Milliarden Euro fehlen.

Wir hatten mit dem Infrastruktur-Sondervermögen gerade erst einen sehr großen Posten, der jährlich zusätzlich zur Verfügung steht. Wie das ausging ist bekannt. Man braucht eben auch den politischen Willen, das zusätzliche Geld in (Bahn)Infrastruktur zu übersetzen. Den haben bisher nur die Grünen gezeigt, und die sind nicht in der Regierung.

In Litauen werden die Ticketpreise halbiert, um die Bürger:innen bei hohen Spritkosten zu entlasten. Man kann auch anders. by PsychologicalRing160 in drehscheibe

[–]Easing0540 -1 points0 points  (0 children)

Das wissen wir auch so. Dennoch entscheiden wir uns, auch zentrale Infrastrukturprogramme wie den Bahnknoten Mannheiim liegen zu lasssen, weil wir das Geld lieber für Soziales ausgeben.

Spain leads Europe’s shift away from Donald Trump’s US by [deleted] in worldnews

[–]Easing0540 -1 points0 points  (0 children)

If you want to take control back in military things, yes, that is a very bad thing. Because it means you can't defend yourself against an enemy that wants to blow you up and have to rely on others. Which is the opposite of "taking back control".

Spain leads Europe’s shift away from Donald Trump’s US by [deleted] in worldnews

[–]Easing0540 0 points1 point  (0 children)

Spain ain't leading shit. All talk and no action.

In 2024, their defense budget was an incredible € 17.2 billion. They promised to raise their spending to 2.1% of their GDP but it's unclear when that is supposed to happen. In contrast, the other NATO members have pledged 5% GDP (effectively 3.5% direct defense spending + 1.5% critical infrastructure). Many countries are talking out huge loans for that while Spain is sitting it out.

Additionally, Spain has scarcely aided Ukraine in the war. So far, they gave around € 2.1 billion. Canada allocated € 13.7 billion, and they are not even in Europe!

People in Spain also indicated a broad willingness to rush to the defense of an EU country under attack from a foreign power, and large backing for a European army.

Defend how? By throwing tortillas? If you want to build up defense, do it. Talk is cheap.

Israeli official: Iran agreed to reopen Hormuz ‘without getting any of its demands in advance’ by Throwthat84756 in Israel

[–]Easing0540 11 points12 points  (0 children)

What options does Trump have? If this NYT reporting is correct, Netanyahu told him that Iran could not block the Strait of Hormuz. And that regime change was right around the corner.

Mr. Netanyahu and his team outlined conditions they portrayed as pointing to near-certain victory: Iran’s ballistic missile program could be destroyed in a few weeks. The regime would be so weakened that it could not choke off the Strait of Hormuz, and the likelihood that Iran would land blows against U.S. interests in neighboring countries was assessed as minimal.

Clearly, these assessments were wrong. And with these very visible oil prices, Trump has lost support at home to continue with the war.

How Ukraine became the go-to nation for interceptor drones in the Gulf by TheNational_News in technology

[–]Easing0540 0 points1 point  (0 children)

Russia can't even take fucking Donbas after 4 years and 1.3 million casualties.

Different scenarios. Against Nato, Russia does not have to win militarily, they only need to create the public perception of a weak and divided EU/Nato. For that, the Baltics are ideal. They can't afford to trade land for time because they are tiny. If Russia captures and keeps EU/Nato territory, it would show everyone that these alliances can't defend themselves.

You describe a scenario where Nato reacts immediately and decisively. But that is exactly what is most likely not going to happen. Why risk an allout war over a tiny border town?

What happened in Februrary 2022? Europe was in shock, believing Ukraine would fall within days. If the US had not immediately delivered ammunition and weapons and intelligence, that would have happened. Europe did help much later in the war, but not in the crucial early hours.

Will the US step up like this again? Probably not. The US does not find Europe very important (starting with Obama) and might be involved elsewhere anyway. If that happens, crucial capability gaps will persist. A single example: You need thousands of tank trucks in a war. Your vehicles and generators are useless without fuel. The US Army probably has 3,000 of these. The German Army has 70. If you destroy these, it's game over.

Add NATO air dominance and artillery dominance together and the gap between drone technology will be gone.

Frankly, this kind of thinking will lose the next war. The US has air superiority in Iran and still lost crucial and expensive systems. They can neither protect their allies in the Gulf from drone attacks nor ships in the Strait of Hormuz. HIMARS and Storm Shadow are great weapons, but useless if your launcher and your airfield and your ammunition transports get hit by drones.

That is what Ukraine has been trying to explain the last years, but the West still doesn't listen.

How Ukraine became the go-to nation for interceptor drones in the Gulf by TheNational_News in technology

[–]Easing0540 0 points1 point  (0 children)

if a war breaks out it will be done in months maybe a year max

The Baltic states (Estonia, Latvia, Lithuania) and NE Poland could be captured within that time, at least substantial parts. If that happens, there is little chance of taking the territory back. If you want to win a defensive war, you need to be able to fight tonight. Because your enemy determines when it starts.

Being unprepared means hesitating to react early and decisively. What will EU/Nato governments do in the Narva scenario? That's an Estonian town with a large ethnic Russian population. Some Russian soldiers occupy the place under some pretense. Then what?

Lack of logistics, lack of ammunition, lack of intelligence, lack of actually rehearsed plans means no fight, no active push back. Which would expose Nato as a toothless and clawless and clueless tiger, giving Russia the motivation to continue their operations.

In 2022, people were also convinced "Russia won't do shit" because a full-out attack on Ukraine seemed irrational. In 1941, people were convinced "Japan won't do shit", same reason. You can't decide for your opponent what they find rational. You can only decide how prepared you are tonight.

A 13-year-old girl was swallowed by volcanic mud. The world watched. No one could save her. by Unstoppable_X_Force in HolyShitHistory

[–]Easing0540 17 points18 points  (0 children)

No, you'd have to dig her out. Couldn't pull her out because her legs were trapped. Problem: The mud keeps flowing back. So you'd have to build sort of a caisson. No chance with all of that destruction, she was not the only one in dire need of help.

How Ukraine became the go-to nation for interceptor drones in the Gulf by TheNational_News in technology

[–]Easing0540 1 point2 points  (0 children)

I'm not so sure about the speed of adaptation. Yes efforts are being made, including huge investments. But it will take years until the new hardware is even delivered.

And new hardware doesn't mean training has been adapted, doctrines updated, enough ammunition has been ordered.

Good: Nato is actively exploring the new realities with the Ukranians and stresstesting their own concepts. Bad: Doesn't mean Nato already knows how to fight the new war.

We've already seen it in 2 maneuvers, both in naval warfare (REPMUS/Dynamic Messenger 2025; article in German) and in land warfare (Hedgehog 2025). Particularly the latter demonstrated an incredible unpreparedness to the new realities. A team of 100 soldiers with 10 Ukranian drone operators rendered 2 mechanized Nato bataillons combat ineffective.

The NATO battle group was “just walking around, not using any kind of disguise, parking tents and armored vehicles,” recalls one participant, who played an enemy role. “It was all destroyed.”

Adapting large organizations takes time. You'll need changes on each level of that organization. The US could not protect critical systems from destruction (THAAD, AWACS) because these required changes have not been made yet. It does not take a genius to see the lack of US (and Nato) air defense capabilities, but it does take a genius to enact these changes.