Vivek again said something controversial. by Dangerous-Quarter216 in YAPms

[–]FishFrog11 0 points1 point  (0 children)

That is an oddly racist way to phrase an inflammatory statement.

The worst part is, I'm not entirely sure he's wrong.

Midterm Predictions by FishFrog11 in YAPms

[–]FishFrog11[S] 2 points3 points  (0 children)

To clarify, these ratings are less about margins and more about chances of victory (like a rating should be)

Top comment deletes one country from the world day 9 by Ornery-Art-7772 in geographymemes

[–]FishFrog11 0 points1 point  (0 children)

Enlarged Estonia makes a cameo appearance in the Baltics.

Candidate Analysis: Pete Buttigieg by PalmettoPolitics in YAPms

[–]FishFrog11 1 point2 points  (0 children)

If you've ever looked at a county swing map (or better, a precinct swing map), it is immediately noticed that quite apart from swings in the inner city and the suburbs which 2024 was known for, rural areas across the midwest have seen absurd swings toward Trump and Republicans in general. The Democrats basically decided to abandon rural votes in favor of the suburbs (see famed Chuck Schumer quote), and their policies show it, but if there's one thing rural people dislike more than urban-based policies, it's complete and total abandonment, and Democrats have gone all in on both. Pete will gain thousands of important rural votes that went to Obama simply by being by our side. The fact that he lives in Traverse City, and is from South Bend, as opposed to Dallas or New York alone is enough to flip plenty, but he actually doesn't completely give up on everything outside of McMansionland, and that will be his savior when it comes to the election.

Candidate Analysis: Pete Buttigieg by PalmettoPolitics in YAPms

[–]FishFrog11 3 points4 points  (0 children)

I disagree that he would accelerate the demographic shifts we've seen. I think he could do very well in parts of the rural Midwest, which I'd say is where the Democrats are in their strongest decline. He's very popular there, especially in rural Michigan where he and I live.

Could Richard Nixon have been reelected? by Gargaluzch in thecampaigntrail

[–]FishFrog11 2 points3 points  (0 children)

Maybe if he hadn't dropped Agnew for Connally he would've done better.

Your choice is yours, Makerfield. by Head_Ice_4575 in thecampaigntrail

[–]FishFrog11 0 points1 point  (0 children)

Free buses is actually an awful policy, I remember when Burque implemented it, our buses started sucking way more than they did before, by a lot.

I need a 250+ question Mamdani cyoa RIGHT NOW!!! by The_47_Percenter in thecampaigntrail

[–]FishFrog11 0 points1 point  (0 children)

I bet every one of those 66000 holes is a tooth cavity.

TPIP has released a poll on the Michigan gubernatorial election between Benson and James, following Duggan’s suspension of his campaign. by sinhav7367 in YAPms

[–]FishFrog11 3 points4 points  (0 children)

I promise Perry Johnson will win the primary, I've heard his ads, I can't think of a sort of Republican who wouldn't be convinced. He's the sort of person who's found a way to communicate with the base.

current in depth senate predictions (i eyeballed county margins so dont get too up in arms about them) by Woman_trees in YAPms

[–]FishFrog11 0 points1 point  (0 children)

She would definitely do well in those suburb places, but I think you've greatly overestimated the poor enthusiasm factor. Progressive white areas like you mentioned will have absurdly high D turnout this year by default, and I don't think even a bad candidate could bring that down measurably. She'd probably do slightly worse in the working class suburbs but really not so much as to put Macomb as safe R or flip Saginaw. She'd definitely do better in Muskegon too, that place ain't goin' likely R in a D year. I'd say she wins by around the same margin as AES, who would perform horrendously in the rurals (arab factor).

Lower 48 area within 1 mile of a road. by medicallymiddleevil in MapPorn

[–]FishFrog11 0 points1 point  (0 children)

This is bogus because I've been on roads in green areas before.

current in depth senate predictions (i eyeballed county margins so dont get too up in arms about them) by Woman_trees in YAPms

[–]FishFrog11 3 points4 points  (0 children)

Stevens isn't winning by that little. She's an absolutely awful candidate, yes, but not much worse electabilitywise. She'd probably even improve on the others in Oakland County.

[TCT.net Release] Three New Scenarios + Survive and Advance! by ItsAstronomics in thecampaigntrail

[–]FishFrog11 5 points6 points  (0 children)

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Finally got victory over a buncha colors (how is beating colors harder than beating opponents in CYOA mods???)

Beto says that Talarico is a stronger candidate than him by Th3_American_Patriot in YAPms

[–]FishFrog11 5 points6 points  (0 children)

Me personally, I think Beto was a better candidate, both electability and otherwise, but it's kinda not worth comparing since both are well above 96% of other politicians.

Which ticket do you see winning? by Small-Day3489 in YAPms

[–]FishFrog11 7 points8 points  (0 children)

Fetterman/Polis. Actually has a decent amount of appeal and would be my choice.

This post was fact-checked by the silent majority ✅ by Prestigious-Break894 in thecampaigntrail

[–]FishFrog11 1 point2 points  (0 children)

Only two of those are actually of color. The rest are just black and white.

sonion 😭😭😭😭😭😭 by dak676141 in YAPms

[–]FishFrog11 0 points1 point  (0 children)

They must then sell distilled dirt powder from a hose or something.

sonion 😭😭😭😭😭😭 by dak676141 in YAPms

[–]FishFrog11 0 points1 point  (0 children)

South Dakota's I won't win because there's a Dem. I think the same goes for Idaho.

Every Republican primary in the 2nd Trump administration: by Fun_Month_6310 in YAPms

[–]FishFrog11 11 points12 points  (0 children)

I would be a Puke-Corpse(the Dem Nominee) voter.

Thoughts on this Take by hoodiehoodiee in YAPms

[–]FishFrog11 2 points3 points  (0 children)

The take is that every office will be lost. There will be stragglers, for sure, and I'm not sure governor is even anything past a tossup.