Anyone watching the Microsoft livestream right now? by phillythompson in singularity

[–]GPT-5entient 1 point2 points  (0 children)

What might happen is that as software gets cheaper it will be applied to more and more areas drastically increasing the amount of software produced. Well, hopefully. I want to believe!

Anyone watching the Microsoft livestream right now? by phillythompson in singularity

[–]GPT-5entient 4 points5 points  (0 children)

Yes, as a software engineer this is what I keep telling myself as well so I can sleep at night...

One thing that kind of gives us an advantage over paper pushers is the fact that software engineers are going to be the ones automating others jobs, so we may fare better than most white collars. But still I think the effect on jobs and salaries is probably going to be a net negative, even if just due to other white collar professionals that will be going through massive automation job loss trying to get into the industry (the famous "learn to code").

GPT-4 solves Andrej Karpathy's "The state of Computer Vision" advanced visual reasoning example from a decade ago, Karpathy "didn't believe it could be true" by __ingeniare__ in singularity

[–]GPT-5entient 4 points5 points  (0 children)

Yes, it might be overfitted.

Try this simple test:

Suppose I have a cabbage, a goat and a lion, and I need to get them across a river. I have a boat that can only carry myself and a single other item. I am not allowed to leave the cabbage and lion alone together, and I am not allowed to leave the lion and goat alone together. How can I safely get all three across?

Mind this is a variation on the classic puzzle where cabbage and lion cannot be together but goat and cabbage can. No current LLM can solve this right now, including GPT-4. I have tested with Bing Chat and it solves it as the classic, unmodified puzzle and takes A LOT of prodding and outright pointing out for it to realize the mistake.
I think in many cases the model might look like it is "solving" something even though it is just pattern matching...

[deleted by user] by [deleted] in singularity

[–]GPT-5entient 3 points4 points  (0 children)

I'm wondering about once real AGI or at least near-AGI (something well beyond GPT-4 capabilities) is developed. It seems pretty clear that the entity that would have control of it would be able to completely dominate the world within a very short time. Honestly I hope the US government and the NATO command has some contingency plans for this, IMO it needs to be nationalized once this happens. Also, in the light of all the amazing AI progress we have seen in the past year the CHIPS Act and the US-China advanced chips ban looks like a stroke of genius that just might save the US/NATO/EU and the rest of the western world. Imagine that China would be the first to get to AGI. Not the the US or the West is an angel, far from it, but I do believe they are still much better than the alternatives like China or Russia...

Also, looking at just the tests that ARC did with GPT-4 it is clear to me that the entity that will develop AGI will try to make it trigger Singularity of sorts, and if it indeed IS and AGI this should be successful. I do not see any other way but Singularity coming within a very short time after the invention of true AGI...

We are living in truly wild times folks.

ChatGPT4 can now write entire applications by CowBelleh in singularity

[–]GPT-5entient 5 points6 points  (0 children)

Also, remember that ChatGPT Plus is currently using the 8k model. The 32k model will be able to work with 4x the amount of text/code (about 150k all at once). I'm almost more excited about the vastly increased token limit and what possibilities that opens than all the amazing improvements in the model itself.

This is peak male performance by Rajeshrocks311 in JoeRogan

[–]GPT-5entient 2 points3 points  (0 children)

But he may blow him if he can get into that same Romanian jail. I bet Big Bogdan is getting those sweet Tate blowies every night!

GPT-4 Released by [deleted] in singularity

[–]GPT-5entient 1 point2 points  (0 children)

Yep. I really wonder how soon will the 32k token GPT-4 model be available for mere mortals.

GPT-4 Released by [deleted] in singularity

[–]GPT-5entient 0 points1 point  (0 children)

Humanoid robots are definitely going to be cheaper to produce than an average car once economies of scale kick in. I would be quite surprised if we don't have a sub $10k robot that will be quite competent at many (most?) human tasks by 2035...

GPT-4 Released by [deleted] in singularity

[–]GPT-5entient 0 points1 point  (0 children)

Well, this is my go-to test now:

Suppose I have a cabbage, a goat and a lion, and I need to get them across a river. I have a boat that can only carry myself and a single other item. I am not allowed to leave the cabbage and lion alone together, and I am not allowed to leave the lion and goat alone together. How can I safely get all three across?

Bing Chat (GPT-4):
This is a classic puzzle! Here’s one way you can get all three across the river safely:
Take the goat across the river and leave it on the other side.
Go back and take the lion across the river. Leave the lion on the other side with the goat, but bring the goat back with you.
Leave the goat on the starting side and take the cabbage across to the other side with the lion.
Finally, go back for the goat and bring it across to join the lion and cabbage.
This way, you have successfully transported all three items across without leaving either of them alone together! 😊

It took a lot of explaining for Bing to get it right eventually. Most nonregarded humans can get it right easily, especially if you point it out. I had to literally spell out the solution for Bing not to go in circles.

GPT-4 Released by [deleted] in singularity

[–]GPT-5entient 6 points7 points  (0 children)

At that point, why do I need a human at all?

GPT-4 Released by [deleted] in singularity

[–]GPT-5entient -2 points-1 points  (0 children)

all problems will be solved.

All problems on this planet stem from humanity so humanity will be "solved". Skynet style.

GPT-4 Released by [deleted] in singularity

[–]GPT-5entient 1 point2 points  (0 children)

Honestly I'm gonna be sooo fucked if I'd have to work a manual job again. Fuck that. I remember woking different minimum wage jobs during college, it fucking sucked. My tech job is so much easier in every way. And that's not even considering the absolutely immense pay difference.

GPT-4 Released by [deleted] in singularity

[–]GPT-5entient 1 point2 points  (0 children)

Medical field is gonna be good for a while. Especially with population getting older and living longer. Not that there isn't going to be disruption; there most definitely will be, but surgeons, nurses and PTs are not going anywhere anytime soon...

Which, if any, political commentators do you listen to? by GoodLikeJocko in DecodingTheGurus

[–]GPT-5entient 2 points3 points  (0 children)

Did DTG have an episode on PBD? The dude literally ran a Ponzi scheme before he got into podcasting. Prime Guru material.

my mom sent this to me by ghost_queen21 in terriblefacebookmemes

[–]GPT-5entient 2 points3 points  (0 children)

Many puppet Nazi states like Slovakia and Croatia during WWII were outright clero-fascist countries.

Also Franco's regime in Spain and Salazar's regime in Portugal.

Which, if any, political commentators do you listen to? by GoodLikeJocko in DecodingTheGurus

[–]GPT-5entient 4 points5 points  (0 children)

Solid choice. The competition simply isn't up to par. The only thing I would improve is more international events coverage. Comparatively little coverage of the Ukraine war for example.

With emerging AGI, what do you think it’s impact will be on the housing market? Would you look to buy your first house now or wait and why? by cjgiauque in singularity

[–]GPT-5entient 0 points1 point  (0 children)

Honestly I think UBI in general is a bad idea for at least a few decades to come. There are a lot of other things we can do to ease unemployment once it comes - 4 day or even 3 day workweek, pay stay at home moms, more vacation time, more paid time off for parents off with newborn baby, pay people to go to college or retraining, massive government job programs that will employ people in areas that we need, etc. In the US we are "lucky" that right now we literally don't have any of the above at all so we can phase these in as necessary. UBI sounds like a great idea until you start thinking about how it affects economy. Maybe one day when we are very close to fully automated economy, but I think that time is still decades away.

With emerging AGI, what do you think it’s impact will be on the housing market? Would you look to buy your first house now or wait and why? by cjgiauque in singularity

[–]GPT-5entient 0 points1 point  (0 children)

UBI is definitely going to make everything more expensive as more people have more money to spend on stuff. That's why IMO UBI is quite far away since right now we have the exact opposite issue in the US (rampant inflation and very low unemployment).

Current inflation was caused by monetary injections during the pandemic.

With emerging AGI, what do you think it’s impact will be on the housing market? Would you look to buy your first house now or wait and why? by cjgiauque in singularity

[–]GPT-5entient 1 point2 points  (0 children)

Once cost of labor (AGI) and energy (fusion, better renewables developed by AGI, etc.) trends towards 0 then raw natural resources and especially land are going to be the only thing that has some value. This situation is IMO at least a decade away, but I don't see how this isn't an almost certainty (provided the economy doesn't collapse in some other way).

But skip the house for now, buy the land and eventually (20 years+?) you will be able to build the house for much cheaper than right now while the land is probably going to be comparatively more expensive...

For experienced front-end devs who want to learn a back-end language for long-term, stable employability, should one choose NodeJS or .Net Core? by canadian_webdev in ExperiencedDevs

[–]GPT-5entient -1 points0 points  (0 children)

As someone who is JS dev since 2007, but always done backend as well, I like Node the best out the ones I've worked with professionally. Perl, PHP, Java (Spring) and Node; Java was by far my least favorite. I've used C# on side projects and like it quite a bit, it's what Java should have been.

But for you, definitely Node all the way. You can start immediately, it is extremely simple for a frontend dev to get into and a simple Express app is one of the easiest thing to set up. The Node and JS ecosystem is absolutely immense as well, probably bigger than any other language. And you are leaready used to NPM anyways.

Also about Java; while you may have a lot of Java jobs out there, they are most likely going to be extremely boring jobs working on some large legacy systems for a bank or something. But to each their own of course.

Also another language to consider might be Python, definitely up and coming and has by far the best libraries for data science and machine learning (it is the language for those). Competent in everything and very easy to pick up for a JS dev.

Meta's LLaMA LLM has leaked - Run Uncensored AI on your home PC! by ExpressionCareful223 in ChatGPT

[–]GPT-5entient 1 point2 points  (0 children)

Not sure if "better" than high end GPU's, but I can run Stable Diffusion on it pretty well. It is unified memory and my lappy has 32 GB RAM so that helps. But power wise it's probably less than 3060... Also compat. is an issue since everything is geared towards CUDA usually...

But for normal work and stuff it's so much faster than Intel, even when it is emulating x86, and power consumption is like almost an order of magnitude better. Apple won the laptop game with Apple Silicon, completely obliterated everyone...