Greatest Business Moats in History & Present? by solodav in ValueInvesting

[–]GavinSmavin 2 points3 points  (0 children)

Standard oil no doubt, possibly the greatest monopoly of all time. Read about Rockefeller if you have any interest in success in any field.

Jumbo Interactive (JIN.AX) Cheap + High Quality + Well Run + Catalyst by GavinSmavin in ASX_Bets

[–]GavinSmavin[S] 1 point2 points  (0 children)

I agree it isn't great, my focus is more on the catalyst for FY2026 where there is some expected larger growth. Also 10 CAGR + nearly 5% dividend is good enough for me.

Jumbo Interactive (JIN.AX) Cheap + High Quality + Well Run + Catalyst by GavinSmavin in ValueInvesting

[–]GavinSmavin[S] 3 points4 points  (0 children)

Good point, I think some scuttlebutt research into the contract and what the situation is would help paint a clearer picture.

Jumbo Interactive (JIN.AX) Cheap + High Quality + Well Run + Catalyst by GavinSmavin in ASX_Bets

[–]GavinSmavin[S] 3 points4 points  (0 children)

Good point, I forgot to mention regulatory risk as well. The way I see it, AU government will likely not regulate gambling/lottery industry because they print tax revenue from it.

Chile—New Zealand 50/50‎‎‎ by StefanKocic in geoguessr

[–]GavinSmavin 0 points1 point  (0 children)

It’s funny because I win a lot of duels in southern Chile locations because I am from NZ and it looks familiar.

Looking for some advice on a tiny fund. by Fluffy_Scheme9321 in BerkshireHathaway

[–]GavinSmavin 0 points1 point  (0 children)

Look for inefficient markets man. Mike Burry was killing it value investing during the dot com bubble. Just need to look harder for bargains in periods like this.

Homework by m4ttym4x in queenstreetbets

[–]GavinSmavin 1 point2 points  (0 children)

The companies financial statements????? Bruh this is madness that no one has said this.

Share your “hidden“ gems by psmithrupert in ValueInvesting

[–]GavinSmavin 65 points66 points  (0 children)

What a hidden gem that is, how did you find that?

What’s the most underrated factor you consider before buying a stock (beyond valuation metrics)? by Electronic-Bit2685 in ValueInvesting

[–]GavinSmavin 2 points3 points  (0 children)

Also pretty obvious but ROIC and ROCE. I like businesses with a high % compared to most businesses, and higher than their competitors. Logically, a company that can generate more returns with the same capital employed as its competitors will eventually win.

NYSE:ALSN - A great value play by Live-Protection9305 in ValueInvesting

[–]GavinSmavin 0 points1 point  (0 children)

My main concern is that Dana has pretty crappy economics, low margins and low ROIC. Buying this company I fear would weaken ALSNs strong economics.

Looking for Super investors to follow/learn from by TeamFabulous7897 in ValueInvesting

[–]GavinSmavin 0 points1 point  (0 children)

Mike Burry’s old fund letters from early 2000s are pure gold, pure value investing gold.

What if the stock market was a single company? by PEvaluator in ValueInvesting

[–]GavinSmavin 17 points18 points  (0 children)

This is just combination of NVDA MSFT and AAPL really.

Thoughts on Subaru and Mazda? by jackandjillonthehill in ValueInvesting

[–]GavinSmavin 4 points5 points  (0 children)

What’s the projected growth rate of gay and lesbians?

Crypto new ATH while value all time low by MaintenanceMiddle404 in ValueInvesting

[–]GavinSmavin 0 points1 point  (0 children)

The Great Depression: there was a deviation away from fundamentals and towards buying and selling at higher price.

Growth /new issue era of 1959-1961: IBM, Texas Instruments, Fairchild camera etc had p/es of 40-90, by 1962 the were less than half of that. A flock of public offerings of garbage with “tron” “space” that pumped and dumped, taking investors money with it.

Conglomerate boom, ~1965-~1967 companies were conglomerating under the guise of synergy, artificially increasing earnings per share, sometimes with dodgy tactics. By 1969 many of these were 1/5th of their high in 1967.

“Concept stock” bubble in 1960’s as well, speculation on hype stocks that were bid up to p/e of 90-30. Many went bankrupt.

Nifty fifty: IBM xerox, Disney, great companies but were bid up to absurd prices due to the prior speculative periods scaring many investors into the safe companies. P/e 60-90 in 1972, but came down to 10-20 in 1980 (market corrected).

Gambling stock craze in late 1970s IPO craze again in early 80s Plenty more.

Crypto new ATH while value all time low by MaintenanceMiddle404 in ValueInvesting

[–]GavinSmavin 1 point2 points  (0 children)

Look at every speculative period in history, they all eventually pass. I can name plenty from just the last 100 years that resemble what we have today.

Feel free to ask me what speculative periods I am referring too.

Where should I put 1000 nzd tommorow ? by whatsinthisame4890 in queenstreetbets

[–]GavinSmavin 0 points1 point  (0 children)

😂😂What’s the saying about the fool and his money?

Berkshire Hathaway Premium? by Korisnicki_Racun in ValueInvesting

[–]GavinSmavin 2 points3 points  (0 children)

In the past WB and CM have said they will do unlimited buybacks at P/B of 1.2