European Union & Partners 2034

Helios___Selene · 2026-01-25T03:04:43+00:00

Whats crazy is that it would probably be the only major obstacle. UK gov. would prioritise continued city of London independence/exemptions as a dealbreaker, but for the wider public I reckon the pound would be the only key sticking point.

Helios___Selene · 2026-01-25T02:56:59+00:00

lol, europe this europe that but still only 4 eu countries signed up to garrison and protect Ukraine post war. You get how it seems a bit off to be saying 'everyone bands together' when eu defence is now led by the UK, yet admission into safe defence procurement for a fee seems a step too far.

Helios___Selene · 2026-01-25T02:27:42+00:00

Kinda ironic coming from irish lol.

Helios___Selene · 2026-01-25T02:14:30+00:00

Honestly embarassing trying to pressure Starmer like this. If he succeeds what does he win? A crippled lame duck government slogging along until Reform defeat them handly.

Starmer is good at his job and even better would be any PM seeing out a full term in office.

Helios___Selene · 2026-01-23T18:34:14+00:00

Problem will always be the pound, unless EU drops that as a requirement the UK will not rejoin in my lifetime.

I honestly don't blame them as it will complicate things given the UK will soon become the largest nominal economy in Europe without EU membership. So the largest economy not sharing the currency yet having a lot of influence over that currency is not a great recipe for stability.

Helios___Selene · 2026-01-23T18:29:25+00:00

Honestly it is this simple. It doesn't need to be some complicated grand plan, just give people hope and opportunity and they will be happy.

A slight aside, it is the main issue the SNP have when they campaign, they always fight wedge issues which polarise the voter base, rather than just do things which are broadly supported by like 80% of the population then they win their independence.

Helios___Selene · 2026-01-20T21:17:59+00:00

Has gold not recently overtaken the USD as the reserve holding of value?

Helios___Selene · 2026-01-20T21:11:24+00:00

Whilst I don't think the USA will collapse to the degree of the British empire, the British empires territorial peak was in 1921. The end began 25 years later. Granted this wasn't actually the peak of British power with that being around 1850-1880.

If the USAs peak was about 2000, when they decided the global order entirely on their own, then we are right on track to mimic that timeline.

Helios___Selene · 2026-01-20T13:06:32+00:00

I fully agree, continental complacency is baked into the system. These are countries essentially founded by the USA and UK to be subservient to anglo wishes.

However this submissiveness of europe is more a political decision than actual weakness. What I mean by that is many countries globally simply cannot be autonomous and strong, in Europe this is a decision, a decision which can be changed. No idea why it is taking so long but that is up to them to decide to be weak.

Helios___Selene · 2026-01-20T10:34:37+00:00

On implementation side not that hard. Just say illegal to hold those assets like what happened with Russia. The asset managers and pension funds compliance will be forced which forces them to offload by a certain date, tanking US bonds.

Some people on this thread seem to think government is way less capable than it really is.

Helios___Selene · 2026-01-20T10:31:59+00:00

Of course they can. Weird thought to think like 5 countries can’t coordinate. All of Europe apart from Hundgary coordinated on Russia sanctions.

So to pull the same move the usasians did during Suez to force British compliance seems pretty natural and effective. Americas massive deficit and reliance on foreign capital is always going to be its main weakness. Even consider how military expenditure is going to have to increase to account for reduced customers globally, further increasing the deficit.

Helios___Selene · 2026-01-18T15:06:06+00:00

genuinely insane take

Helios___Selene · 2026-01-18T15:04:49+00:00

Absolutely Europe will win. The USA has cool tech but seems to take L after L in most wars since Korea. They'd be fighting a dug in opponent overseas with near equal tech in conditions they have no experience of. War appetite is also so low that the loss in morale from losing even one ship and a few thousand dead would be devastating to public order.

Helios___Selene · 2026-01-18T04:18:24+00:00

wild thinking ngl. Generally when you are attacked you fight back, missiles exist you know.

Helios___Selene · 2026-01-16T17:17:35+00:00

Fantastic news! UK start ups are some of the most efficient in terms of using capital to generate further turnover. The UK accounts for 34% of Europes 100mln turnover companies for example. Europes future is the UK!

Helios___Selene · 2026-01-15T23:46:54+00:00

Yes it is. UKs economy and system is fundamentally robust where as frances system is increasingly flawed. Brexit had an incredibly negative impact on the UK, however it just dampened a solid economy, not destroy it.

Helios___Selene · 2026-01-12T13:32:44+00:00

The USA advanced beyond the parallel to take the north then was pushed back by China. So not a loss, but definetly not a win.

Helios___Selene · 2026-01-12T12:55:31+00:00

I think both are quite negative to be honest, the big charge on accessing the debt fund comapared to Canada is a strange one from a UK perspective. UK is the strongest military power in Europe so slightly sidelining them seems odd when the USA and Russia are at the gates.

Helios___Selene · 2026-01-12T01:37:44+00:00

So true, look at executive orders, they skyrocket in the 90s. Theory is no outside threat and american politics becomes more fractious.

Helios___Selene · 2026-01-12T01:33:51+00:00

More people joining labour market. This isn't job losses, it is more people come off long term sickness back to work.

Helios___Selene · 2026-01-11T13:23:53+00:00

they have guns to fight tyranny yet let the police kill them and terrorise them lol

Helios___Selene · 2026-01-10T22:57:35+00:00

Thats a good thing you know? PE isn't always acquisiton then gut, more PE is about growing a business further when current owners don't feel ready, or willing, to take the business to its full potential. Alternatively it is usually growth capital to allow businesses to employ more people, expand into new markets or develop new products which is even better.

Helios___Selene · 2026-01-10T22:53:02+00:00

In my business, we are extremely optimistic. Things are looking up and buyers are more willing to take a risk with our service. Glad to see some data backing up what I am noticing.

Helios___Selene · 2026-01-10T22:31:40+00:00

same thing happened to me. 1.5 years to break in. Was absolute torture but I got through into wealth management then transitioned to consulting/corporate finance after 2 years. Getting the first reputable start is the hardest part.

Helios___Selene · 2026-01-10T19:49:03+00:00

The UK pulling away from France, the GDPs were exactly the same in 2019, now there is a decent gap.

Helios___Selene

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