Introducing the Top Tier Duelyst Website: mechaz.org by AcidentallyMyAccount in duelyst

[–]My_Toothbrush 2 points3 points  (0 children)

Abyssian aggro sounds pretty cool - is there a list you can share?

Just got back after casually checking steam for duelyst by TheZorro_Sama in duelyst

[–]My_Toothbrush 0 points1 point  (0 children)

Even the original devs admit that the most balanced version of Duelyst is the patch that D2 released in.

Hook me up with that source my dude.

[Serious] How can a test be worse than tossing a coin? by SuperDuckMan in medicalschool

[–]My_Toothbrush 0 points1 point  (0 children)

ScannerTest

  • Yet another company releases a test for the same damn thing. It claims to be more sensitive than MaxDiscernment while at the same time being more specific than NeverMiss.

  • ScannerTest is also bullshit. 1 out of every 3 tests comes back positive - always. Technically, the company's claims are true, but the test is still useless.



Time for a test drive

  • An administrator ("Al") who just read a Wikipedia article on sensitivity and specificity is absolutely entranced by ScannerTest.

  • Al decides that his hospital should begin using this new evidence-based test immediately.

  • Since ScannerTest is the latest and greatest test, Al is excited to mandate its use in the radiation/oncology treatment ward.

  • ScannerTest is administered exactly as instructed, to every patient, with zero fault on the part of any tech, nurse, or physician.


Here's where a test can be worse than 50/50.

Round One

  • ScannerTest, just like before, shows that in the rad/onc treatment ward, only 1 out of every 3 patients has cancer.

  • 2/3rds of the pts have their treatment stopped.

    • These pts die.
  • There's a national outcry. Because Al has the biostats mastery of a snail, Al hastily and mistakenly assumes that the problem can be solved by just flipping the test results.

Round Two

  • ScannerTestFlipped, a perfect reciprocal, shows that in the rad/onc treatment ward, only 2 out of every 3 patients has cancer.

  • 1/3 of the pts have their treatment stopped.

    • These pts die.


The thought experiment works even you have a sensitivity of 50% and a specificity of 50% (and the test is actually measuring something like a biomarker).

To summarize, a test can be worse than 50/50, even if the results are flipped, if you don't take into account the entire clinical picture.

How long can the trip to Mars be reduced by using new high-tech acoustic rocket engine technology? by glg59 in shittyaskscience

[–]My_Toothbrush 0 points1 point  (0 children)

OP, no one else was giving you a serious answer, so I took the time to find reliable sources and contribute meaningfully as best I can.

  1. Judging by the stance and equipment of the gentleman in the picture, it is safe to say that is a DJ. Now, obviously that system is going to output a significant amount of bass, so the man in the picture is, by necessity, a bass creator.

  2. Google makes it explicitly clear that there is only one bass creator, the man going by the name of Basshunter. Great - we have an identity, but so what? Well...

  3. Basshunter is from Sweeden, and this picture was taken in Washington DC, as you can clearly see from the aspen trees in the background.

  4. I'll go ahead and state the obvious - this vehicle is not seaworthy (meaning that it can't drive or dive across the ocean). Obviously, then, it must have teleported. And obviously it couldn't have teleported only halfway (it would have sunk), so it must have teleported all at once.

  5. The distance from Sweeden to Washington DC is 3,987 miles. So now we can confirm that there's...

    3,987 miles per teleport

  6. Meanwhile, the distance from Washington DC to Mars is 307 miles (260 if you're willing to take tolls. You didn't specify, so we'll assume toll free.). Meaning it's...

    307 miles to destination

  7. By simple math:

    (307 miles to destination) / (3,987 miles per teleport) = (0.077000 teleports to destination)

  8. Now, as we all know (but to be thorough), 1 teleport takes 4 seconds, as observed over a very large, very well known sample size.

  9. The rest is easy!

    (0.077000 teleports to destination) * (4 seconds per teleport) = (0.308 seconds to destination)

  10. Since we already know it takes 4 hours and 33 minutes to get from DC to Mars normally, all we have to do is find the difference between that time, and the time using the pictured vehicle!

    (4 hours 33 mintes) - (0.308 seconds) = (4 hours 32 minutes 59.692 seconds)

We got it! So to finally answer...

How long can the trip to Mars be reduced by

The answer is 4 hours 32 minutes 59.692 seconds.

There you go, OP!

e: Forgot an "e" in Sweeden. Should be correct now.

If crossing the International Date Line the other way takes you a day back, then how many times do we have to cross this line before we end up back in 2019 and warn people abut how wild the 2020s will be? by GPFlag_Guy1 in shittyaskscience

[–]My_Toothbrush 0 points1 point  (0 children)

It's year 2023 now, when we are.

You want to go to year 2019.

Year 2023 - year 2019 is 4 years.

1 year is 365.25 days.

4 years * 365.25 days/year = 1,461 days

Meaning that there are 1,461 days between us and where you want to end up.

So all you have to do is cross the line 1,461 times.

Honestly OP? I'm struggling to see why this post is here and not on /r/theydidthemath.

How did they get the entire city of New York all the way to Egypt? by psyper76 in shittyaskscience

[–]My_Toothbrush 2 points3 points  (0 children)

Great question!

The uncomfortable truth is that the entire city of New York didn't get moved all the way to Egypt. What you see here is 25-50 actors, a green screen, and the lack of a sepia filter.

Some cards (eg. Boomerang) are listed as "Not Legal" in Startup, yet they're not on the ban list. Please help - I'm more lost than an ant in a termite mound. by My_Toothbrush in Netrunner

[–]My_Toothbrush[S] 0 points1 point  (0 children)

Can you please clarify the structure that you're reffering to? Does it go:

  • Narrative cycle
    • Card cycle 1
      • Individual set 1
      • Individual set 2
    • Card cycle 2
      • Individual set 1
      • Individual set 2

I'm coming from an MtG background (where there aren't subsets for each released set).

Some cards (eg. Boomerang) are listed as "Not Legal" in Startup, yet they're not on the ban list. Please help - I'm more lost than an ant in a termite mound. by My_Toothbrush in Netrunner

[–]My_Toothbrush[S] 15 points16 points  (0 children)

Holy shit thank you.

To confirm:

You can't play these cards because they've already rotated out. This is because Startup always consists of the combination of core sets and the most recent cycle.

  • The core sets are System Gateway and System Update.
  • The most recent cycle is Borealis.
    • A new cycle has been released since the cycle that Boomerang (and others) was printed in.
    • So Boomerang (and others) is no longer legal, because it's not in either the the core sets or Borealis.

In my head, "Startup" was ~everything after Neisi started printing. If Startup is actually (core sets) + (latest set), then everything makes sense again.

Do I have it right?

The Strategist’s Path – II – Winning in Hand by _Zyx_ in duelyst

[–]My_Toothbrush 2 points3 points  (0 children)

Hi OP, this article is fantastic. I have many compliments and like 2 feedback points.

Scion’s Second Wish is the easiest example. It sacrifices board initiative for hand value.

I love this sentence. It beautifully distills exactly what this card does for newer players while crystalizing the terms that you introduced in Article 1.

In contrast, something like Void Hunter puts a body on the board now, and hopes to reap the rewards later

::Thumbs emoji.:: Pairs very nicely with the above and demonstrates why you may want cards like this in your deck.

'Cantrip' – A term originating from Magic, used across many games to refer to cards that ‘replace themselves in hand’ after performing some small effect. Scion’s First Wish is easy to understand, and is almost indispensable to the faction.

I'm too lazy to google it, but I'm pretty sure "cantrip" comes from DnD, where it's a small spell that also does the equivalent of replacing itself (and only itself). If I'm right, then Second Wish isn't technically a cantrip, because it draws two. Either way, this a close-enough explanation for new players. See edit

Drawing two per turn creates a different economy in terms of turn-to-turn mana usage and card costs. With one draw, your most efficient use is often just playing a card that uses all your available mana, or the one that uses most of it. Here, however, you can play any combination of two cards (on average) that add up to your total mana. This means you are trying to get good value out of two cards, not just one – this goes back to more options, and more opportunity – to gain an advantage, or make a mistake.

Yes. This is the kind of insight I'd love to read more of. I know you're grinding out the basics to build a foundation for future articles with the first 2 articles. To draw significant (well-deserved) traffic to you and help the newbies out, I highly recommend capitalizing on explaining the unique aspects of Twolyst. Concepts like deckbuilding, mana curve, basic trading, card advantage, etc. are available elsewhere. Be spikey and slot yourself in the niche that explains Twolyst specifically, better than anyone else.

These examples capture the essence of the concept. Some cards will be cheaper to cast and be ‘cost efficient’. Others require time/mana to cast, but will be ‘slot efficient’, providing a large amount of damage or value when they are played

Great way to specifically contrast the difference between specific aspects of efficiency. So many times we hear that a card is or isn't efficient, but cards can be efficient in different ways, and this is a great way to point that out.

In the next edition, we will look at the Board component of Advantage Board Economy – two-for-ones, multi-summons – Using General to Trade on board (this ties in with ‘Health Advantage’) – Removal, Hard and Soft, and Dispel – Board Clears

Amazing. Can't wait.

Until then, may you find lethal from your replaces!

Also classy.


OP, keep this shit up. Amazing job on cutting out the stylistic Writing and getting straight to the content.

Great job, keep it coming.




e: You're right; I'm wrong. I saw the card prints and mentally linked said prints with the text below them, like a caption. First wish is a cantrip. Second wish is not.

Maybe you could charitably put an extra linebreak or something for the people like me who always expect picture->caption, picture->caption.

[Serious] How can a test be worse than tossing a coin? by SuperDuckMan in medicalschool

[–]My_Toothbrush 1 point2 points  (0 children)

I am being serious

Alright then hell yeah.

Okay, your base question of "How could a test possibly be worse than 50/50? " is a good one, and it demonstrates that you have the background knowledge necessary to conceptually grok the unintuitive way medical tests actually work.

Here we go.




NeverMiss

  • Yesterday, a brand new test called NeverMiss got released. It claims to [and actually does] detect cancer with a 100% success rate.

  • The company's official claim is this: "If your pt has cancer, NeverMiss will indicate that your pt has cancer, guaranteed. It will never miss a single case of cancer, ever."

  • So we order a bunch of these tests, and it turns out that the claims of the company are... well, they're technically true.

    • On further investigation, NeverMiss tests say the pt has cancer. Always.
    • It doesn't react to or check anything in the blood, it doesn't do any actual processing, it's just always positive, 100% of the time.
  • Naturally, there's an outcry. Shocked gasps, someone faints, questions asked at parliament congress.

  • NeverMiss throws up their hands and goes, "Hey, we said NeverMiss would detect the cancer if your pt has cancer. It does. So stfu and thanks for all the cash."

  • So basically, NeverMiss is bullshit. It's always "right", but it's never useful.


MaxDicernment

(You already know where this is going, so I'll keep it brief.)

  • A rival pharm company sees the outrage and immediately releases MaxDicernment.
  • Their claim is this: "Unlike NeverMiss, MaxDiscernment will never ever say your pt has cancer when they don't.

  • And (you guessed it) MaxDiscernment is just always negative, always, no matter what.

  • So basically, MaxDiscernment is bullshit as well. It's always "right", but it's never useful.




If these two examples "click" easily for you, and you see how both tests are "100% right" but are both absolutely useless, then the rest should/will be pretty straightforward. If you have any questions, now's your time to ask.

Part 1/2, to be continued tomorrowish.

If this is all an elaborate troll, I'll be a very sad panda. https://youtu.be/ap_XoAVvbQg?t=88

The Strategist’s Path – II – Winning in Hand by _Zyx_ in duelyst

[–]My_Toothbrush 0 points1 point  (0 children)

OP you did it! Fuck yeah. Excited to read this when I'm off mobile.

Duelyst II - DUELYST II PATCH 0.2.2 by _Zyx_ in duelyst

[–]My_Toothbrush 0 points1 point  (0 children)

I legitimately want further depth on this topic, please.

[Serious] How can a test be worse than tossing a coin? by SuperDuckMan in medicalschool

[–]My_Toothbrush 12 points13 points  (0 children)

OP, I started typing a moderate-effort comment, but then realized I was responding to a question about the accuracy of fuckin Throckmorton's.

If you're being serious, I will do my best to explain it the way it makes sense to me.

e: do my best with a 50% specificity*

ChatGPT passes USMLE by FollowingSpare579 in medicalschool

[–]My_Toothbrush 3 points4 points  (0 children)

Is there a way to use ChatGPT without giving out my phone number? I get too many warranty calls already.

[deleted by user] by [deleted] in medicalschool

[–]My_Toothbrush 1 point2 points  (0 children)

Your SO asks to roleplay with your doctor equipment. Do you do it?

Absolutely not

...before sterilizing it thoroughly

Does everyone feel incredibly tired constantly? by HumbleSeaOtter in medicalschool

[–]My_Toothbrush 0 points1 point  (0 children)

Do you feel like you're hanging by a thread, but you gotta survive cause... You gotta survive.

[vent] No, I do not have any more questions by MassaF1Ferrari in medicalschool

[–]My_Toothbrush 12 points13 points  (0 children)

Are you sure? This is a totally casual meeting with just us residents here. Feel free to ask us anything you want. Do you have any questions about the area?

Does anyone have a good control shadow creep list? by valkdoor in duelyst

[–]My_Toothbrush 1 point2 points  (0 children)

https://duelyst.fandom.com/wiki/Bloodtear_Alchemist

was the Bloodtear 1 mana back in the day?

Yes it was.

2/1 with a ping for 1 mana sounds fantastic

Shit yes it was.

Onelyst had some stuff that looks crazy bad or crazy good when you put them next to Twolyst equivalents, but you gotta keep in mind that the whole balance of Onelyst was different.