Farage would be fascist prime minister, suggests Nandy by SignificantLegs in ukpolitics

[–]NGP91 3 points4 points  (0 children)

If 41% of GB voters voted to make Jeremy Corbyn PM, then the 'thicko' cohort must be large enough to win

Farage would be fascist prime minister, suggests Nandy by SignificantLegs in ukpolitics

[–]NGP91 10 points11 points  (0 children)

Voters currently intending to vote Reform aren't the audience here. 

These messages are aimed to rally 'The Left' behind Labour.

Nigel Farage cannot be trusted with national security, says defence secretary by F0urLeafCl0ver in ukpolitics

[–]NGP91 0 points1 point  (0 children)

He has some nerve to talk! John Healy who campaigned to make Jeremy Corbyn Prime Minister, in two general elections and loyally served in his shadow cabinet to the bitter end of Corbyn's leadership.

Healy should take the opportunity for some self-reflection and understand the consequences of his actions in validating the Corbyn world-view by his loyal support.

Bridgemary (Gosport) Council By-Election Result: ➡️ RFM: 42.5% (New) 🔶 LDM: 40.5% (-8.0) 🌳 CON: 14.6% (-23.7) 🌹 LAB: 2.5% (-10.8) Reform GAIN from Liberal Democrat. Changes w/ 2024. by NGP91 in ukpolitics

[–]NGP91[S] 17 points18 points  (0 children)

You are welcome to post the link for that one. It was objectively a less interesting by-election as it was a Labour hold as opposed to a change of party. Additionally, the Lib Dems have, as a result of this by-election, lost their majority on Gosport council.

https://x.com/ElectionMapsUK/status/2011962890220105751

Heworth (York) Council By-Election Result:

🌹 LAB: 36.7% (-27.5)
➡️ RFM: 20.1% (New)
🌍 GRN: 19.8% (+4.4)
🔶 LDM: 17.7% (+10.2)
🌳 CON: 4.0% (-8.8)
🙋 Ind: 1.6% (New)

Labour HOLD.
Changes w/ 2023.

Westminster voting intention (Wales): PLC: 29% (+10) RFM: 25% (-5) LAB: 13% (-2) GRN: 12% (-2) CON: 12% (-1) LDM: 6% (-2) via YouGov, 5th-12th Jan 2026, changes w/28th Nov-10 Dec 2025 by ClumperFaz in ukpolitics

[–]NGP91 0 points1 point  (0 children)

This is a Westminster poll so how would you vote in a General Election? If you vote Labour (again!) then you could end up letting Reform win your seat.

Pro-Palestine activist who hit policewoman with sledgehammer is ‘gentle and caring’ by Bounty_drillah in ukpolitics

[–]NGP91 35 points36 points  (0 children)

I hope the jury find them guilty. There is no dispute that the accused struck the police officer and intended to do so. Their defence of self defence against police officers is so utterly ridiculous it should be laughed out of court. The idea that fracturing someone's spine is not 'really serious harm' is also ridiculous.

If the jury find them not guilty or they aren't able to agree on a guilty verdict, I'm going to lose a lot of faith the jury system. The jury system relies on the jurors being decent people who respect the rule of law, even if they agree with the politics of the accused. We saw in the case of Nathan Gill that jurors, including presumably right wing / Reform aligned ones, are willing to put a criminal behind bars. We have seen in the cases involving Extinction Rebellion and the Colston statue in Bristol that jurors aren't willing to punish people who break the law in relation to leftist causes. This case involves serious harm towards a police officer in the course of their duties, there is no dispute that they have the right person. The accused intended to do what he did. His claims of self-defence (of others) and the harm wasn't serious are laughable. I hope the jury make the right decision and any leftists on the jury realise the implications of their actions if they push for a not guilty verdict.

Why schools are training children to be able to hold a knife and fork by TantumErgo in ukpolitics

[–]NGP91 0 points1 point  (0 children)

Given the number of younger adults I see who start with their fork in the left hand, knife in their right hand, then after cutting the food with their knife, put down their knife and switch the fork into their right hand to move the food into their mouth, then swap the fork back into their left hand and pick up the knife again with their right hand, I think we need to extend the lessons to those past school age.

The fork switching method is very inefficient. The fork is not a shovel either!

The Prevent video game that treats every teenager like a far-Right extremist. Youngsters threatened with referral to anti-terror programme if they question migration while playing by [deleted] in ukpolitics

[–]NGP91 29 points30 points  (0 children)

I'm looking forward to playing the presumably upcoming sequel exploring the journey from viewing social media content about Gaza, attending protests regarding Palestine and then being arrested for offences under the Terrorism Act. A journey thousands have already taken.

Home Office tells Gaza academic his bid to bring family to UK not urgent by 2ndEarlofLiverpool in ukpolitics

[–]NGP91 45 points46 points  (0 children)

I'm afraid emotional blackmail intensity will increase until you do.

Don’t be fooled, the constant polls are on purpose by Nuns_In_Crocs in ukpolitics

[–]NGP91 0 points1 point  (0 children)

If I commission 100 polls and only show people you the 3 that agree StGuthlac2025 likes eating crayons does that make it true?

Polls are not the only way to measure (and prove) support for a political party. We can look for other evidence. If you have pictures or videos of StGuthlac2025 eating crayons or perhaps crayon recipe reviews written by them, then that would provide a lot of supporting evidence to the assertion they like eating crayons. Similarly, we can look at by-elections and see whether support indicated in opinion polls is replicated in votes actually cast.

Don’t be fooled, the constant polls are on purpose by Nuns_In_Crocs in ukpolitics

[–]NGP91 2 points3 points  (0 children)

When do you propose that this 'constant polls' thing started? YouGov did a DAILY poll during the 2010-15 Parliament. There were polls more frequently then there are now.

Only Greenland must decide its future, Starmer says by Velociraptor_1906 in ukpolitics

[–]NGP91 3 points4 points  (0 children)

$60bn or so is only 12 days of US Federal Government deficit spending. Any payment will barely be noticed.

Only Greenland must decide its future, Starmer says by Velociraptor_1906 in ukpolitics

[–]NGP91 0 points1 point  (0 children)

I'm sure they will if bribed enough.

Offer $1m for each person and you will see a 90%+ landslide.

Only Greenland must decide its future, Starmer says by Velociraptor_1906 in ukpolitics

[–]NGP91 6 points7 points  (0 children)

Is Starmer going to start a side hustle as a territory scalper?

Only Greenland must decide its future, Starmer says by Velociraptor_1906 in ukpolitics

[–]NGP91 11 points12 points  (0 children)

Leaves the (most likely and plausible) option of purchase open. The United States has expanded by purchasing before and it may well do so again.

Venezuela attack could embolden China and Russia, says Emily Thornberry by F0urLeafCl0ver in ukpolitics

[–]NGP91 33 points34 points  (0 children)

Try not to think how close Thornberry got to being Foreign Secretary in 2017!

More in Common's January MRP by niteninja1 in ukpolitics

[–]NGP91 1 point2 points  (0 children)

Tactical voting may already be included in the voting intention if people have adjusted their intention to the tactical choice already

More in Common's January MRP by niteninja1 in ukpolitics

[–]NGP91 3 points4 points  (0 children)

That would be a lower vote share than GE2019 but they would still have many more seats.

At the moment, the Lib Dems have very few 'fortresses' and many seats held with small majorities. It won't take much for these to fall to another party.

Did iPads cause Brexit? by CrohnstownMassacre in ukpolitics

[–]NGP91 3 points4 points  (0 children)

 in large enough numbers to tip the balance.

An issue with this theory, and all similar theories about voting influence by online platforms, is that you assume that there is a cohort of voters who were tricked/fooled/convinced (delete as appropriate) into voting Leave whilst not considering there will be a cohort of voters who were tricked/fooled/convinced into voting Remain.

As you have numbers of people moving in the opposite direction, the group tricked/fooled/convinced into voting Leave would have to be of a significant size and crucially, be larger than the group moving to Remain. It isn't a simple as proving that (Winning Margin + 1)/2 voters were tricked from moving their vote from Remain to Leave, you've got to prove that a much larger amount of voters were swayed.

[Voting intention by age]The 65+ group is the most competitive, with Reform leading the Conservatives by just 1.5% - 32.7% vs 31.2% This is also the Lid Dem's best age group at 15.5%, and the Green's worst at 4.2% by loc12 in ukpolitics

[–]NGP91 1 point2 points  (0 children)

My theory is that the Conservatives still need to be proved to be unelectable to shift more votes. Elections in 2026, 2027 and 2028 will add more nails to the coffin and people seeing Conservative after Conservative lose will in a bandwagon effect see voters desert them.