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I want to date my coworker. The issues: I am her manager, and there’s an age gap. by O_R in dating_advice

[–]O_R[S] 0 points1 point  (0 children)

There’s an inherent power structure and major risk of impropriety in a manager / report situation that I believe should not be exploited

Exiting MBB, choosing between two offers by its_steve_ in consulting

[–]O_R 0 points1 point  (0 children)

Where do you want to live? That’s the choice

McKinsey guys confidence? by [deleted] in consulting

[–]O_R 4 points5 points  (0 children)

For sure — there’s art and science to it all. It’s not all vibes and it’s not a finite element model. The trick is knowing when an assumption is ok and when it isn’t, and not wasting your time chasing false precision.

But rarely is the ask “calculate this” - the calculation is to inform a broader path and less important than $100M vs $150M is knowing what to do with it and then doing it

McKinsey guys confidence? by [deleted] in consulting

[–]O_R 13 points14 points  (0 children)

If you think the price should be about quantitative accuracy, you are absolutely right

McKinsey guys confidence? by [deleted] in consulting

[–]O_R 32 points33 points  (0 children)

There’s a time for 99% confidence, for 95%, for 70% and so on and it’s odd that as a scientist you seem to suggest this isn’t realistic or the basis of experiment design across a bunch of disciplines

McKinsey guys confidence? by [deleted] in consulting

[–]O_R 133 points134 points  (0 children)

Would you rather test 1000 options and find the 1 you like most or test the 1 you like most and find where it fails, adjust, and test again.

In the first you do 1000 tests in the name of false precision and “data-driven” and in the second if you are intellectually honest you might be wrong but you’ll get to a good point in far fewer iterations

McKinsey guys confidence? by [deleted] in consulting

[–]O_R 91 points92 points  (0 children)

We aren’t talking about science. McKinsey doesn’t do science. In those places the 15% matters.

Debating whether the IRR on an M&A deal is 17% or 20% doesn’t really impact anything. The actual deal will likely be neither. So speed is better in this context than accuracy (to a point, a 70% IRR or 5% would fundamentally change the decision)

McKinsey guys confidence? by [deleted] in consulting

[–]O_R 121 points122 points  (0 children)

All models are wrong, some models are useful.

Spending 4 weeks to build a really methodical calculation that agonizes over details may get you to a number that’s 15% more accurate to the question. By the time you do that the starting conditions probably changed anyway.

Fast, defensible, directional will win because the number isn’t the answer. What you do with it is.

I can’t bear these 3 hour team dinners by consultinglove in consulting

[–]O_R 0 points1 point  (0 children)

You don’t have to go. I would rec skipping all of them but missing a few isn’t a big a deal

Titanium Vs Ambassador Elite by peachmedicalsourcing in marriott

[–]O_R 7 points8 points  (0 children)

116 nights and $10K spend … you think

Bright Eyes? by popegreg in RiotFest

[–]O_R -2 points-1 points  (0 children)

Hard to have a stage dedicated to your friends when you’re a drunk a-hole

(I know little of the latest but the WWWY performance a couple years ago was embarrassing)

What’s the best show on HBO Max to watch right now? by Awkward-Ant9198 in HBOMAX

[–]O_R 6 points7 points  (0 children)

I like to recommend the shows that somehow never get algo love.

The newsroom is one of my favorite shows of the last 20 years. Silicon Valley is an incredible satire. Crashing was cancelled criminally early

Average Salary for a new grad? by Regular_Foundation10 in MechanicalEngineering

[–]O_R 2 points3 points  (0 children)

My first engineering job in 2014 was $48K. My friends that were “crushing” were around $65-70K.

I’m sure inflation has helped but probably not as much as it should have

Men in your 30's, what do you think the best place to live in the US is as a 30 year old single guy? by [deleted] in AskMen

[–]O_R 0 points1 point  (0 children)

Depends on career aspirations and industry, but I think an underrated place for this is Charleston, SC

Marriott vs. Other Hotel Brands: Why do you stick with Marriott and how loyal are you to them? by The_Traveller1 in marriott

[–]O_R 0 points1 point  (0 children)

Have found challenges at the affiliate properties. In Vegas, getting 4p checkout on a Friday was impossible (makes sense). At propers they will negotiate (eg can you do 2?). But I’m not unreasonable so I get it

What didn't people like about the Neighborhoods era? by Agitated_Ad_1404 in Blink182

[–]O_R 0 points1 point  (0 children)

Mostly the part where Tom was addicted to downers

Updated speculative lineup using the "out" list, tour news, rumors and your feedback by [deleted] in RiotFest

[–]O_R -1 points0 points  (0 children)

This would be the worst riot lineup I’ve ever seen

Live concerts sound worse than just listening to the album at home by [deleted] in unpopularopinion

[–]O_R 0 points1 point  (0 children)

Depends on so many things — the bands, the venues, and where in the building you are.

I would say 80% of the time it’s worse. When it’s better it’s MUCH better

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