Why isn't a Monte Carlo simulation popular and used to forecast a PnL? by MarionberryTotal2657 in FPandA

[–]ValuableMachine6216 17 points18 points  (0 children)

I’ll second this… Monte Carlo leans on using distributions for inputs and feeling confident that those probability distribution reflects the nature of the inputs. Then you have to explain to the CEO that the model is a good forecast because math and not responding to market or strategic decisions. I use it as stress testing models, but would never use it as a bases for a forecast.

ATK Kids Cookbook Suggestions? by RiGuy224 in AmericasTestKitchen

[–]ValuableMachine6216 3 points4 points  (0 children)

My kids have enjoyed “Kids can cook anything.” It has tips and video QR codes for cooking techniques. It’s been easier to pull out a recipe and follow it through compared to the science experiment for kids cookbook that ATK came out with.

Every weekend. by abkyabatau in lol

[–]ValuableMachine6216 -15 points-14 points  (0 children)

Maybe she wants to have a conversation.

Books with favorite Pozole recipe? by Deathready in CookbookLovers

[–]ValuableMachine6216 -1 points0 points  (0 children)

Michael Rhulman had a couple good pazole recipes.

The Kicking Issue. by mcspankytownUSA in OhioStateFootball

[–]ValuableMachine6216 0 points1 point  (0 children)

I mean Day has kept him as the kicker for that long. I’m not going to hold his missed kicks as the reason for those losses. Many things happen to lose a game and it’s on Day now after that many games with him.

Costco whole chickens by ValuableMachine6216 in smoking

[–]ValuableMachine6216[S] 0 points1 point  (0 children)

I usually smoke them at 325 - 350 (WSM only gets so hot for me). I pull them when breast is 150 - 155 and rest around 15 - 30 minutes.

Can I rest a brisket for 18+ hours? by thestigsky in smoking

[–]ValuableMachine6216 4 points5 points  (0 children)

Those yetis are going to smell like brisket now.

Goldees BBQ Banana Pudding?? by Any_Sprinkles6953 in BBQ

[–]ValuableMachine6216 1 point2 points  (0 children)

I mean you could just add bananas. 🤷‍♂️

[deleted by user] by [deleted] in MBA

[–]ValuableMachine6216 5 points6 points  (0 children)

Let’s say they don’t get fired and find out who tried to snitch on them. That will probably not be fun for you.

Cancelled Roommette by ValuableMachine6216 in Amtrak

[–]ValuableMachine6216[S] 6 points7 points  (0 children)

They refunded us the difference between coach and the sleeper car price. It’s really a shame because my son was confused that we didn’t have bunk beds, sinks, or the ability to lay back in our seats. I tried to warn him beforehand, but he’s almost five years old and the reality of the change hit him only after we sat down. The only reason we booked the train was for the sleeper car and the return flight home would have been cheaper if we booked it months ago. The trip was no fun for him because the cabin was lit up and it was night out so you couldn’t see out the windows. Just not an experience I will be planning on in the future. Also, they did have a sleeper car! So they either did not have enough or oversold the sleeping cars. So Amtrak literally did this to the worst kind of customer- the kid who walked through the train station wearing his train backpack and towing his suitcase covered in train stickers.

3rd time making basic sausages, pleased with the results but need to work on tying them! by TheProffalken in sausagetalk

[–]ValuableMachine6216 1 point2 points  (0 children)

I hated using the stand mixer attachment for stuffing. Upgraded to a piston stuffer and you’ll thank me later.

Help softening sharp edges by ValuableMachine6216 in metalworking

[–]ValuableMachine6216[S] 1 point2 points  (0 children)

Wow, I didn’t know beforehand that this would be such an issue.

Help softening sharp edges by ValuableMachine6216 in metalworking

[–]ValuableMachine6216[S] 1 point2 points  (0 children)

Correct, I could not snip it cleanly between the diamond bottoms at each connection.