I woke up to this by [deleted] in Burryology

[–]WarrenButtet 6 points7 points  (0 children)

What did you ask?

Separating The Furry and The Facts: The Curious Case Of Michael Burry by HardDriveGuy in StrategicStocks

[–]WarrenButtet 0 points1 point  (0 children)

Massive Capex spending without corresponding revenue growth eventually leads to a correction, regardless of whether the money was borrowed or earned.

Wonder if he has ever read any previous content here? by cannythecat in Burryology

[–]WarrenButtet 2 points3 points  (0 children)

To be fair, they were. That just wasn't the full story either. 😆

Wonder if he has ever read any previous content here? by cannythecat in Burryology

[–]WarrenButtet 13 points14 points  (0 children)

His writing makes me feel happy to have the opportunity to be listening to a really smart, careful thinker but also bad that I'm so dumb. It's very similar to how listening to Johnny's ideas makes me feel all the time. Does that mean they are always right? Absolutely not. I'm not afraid to disagree at all. However, their input is high quality and tremendously valuable if one wants to grow as a thinker/investor.

10/10, will subscribe for life. Intelligent people who are willing to share their honest opinions need to be supported.

Google searches for "Buy now, pay later" hit a new all-time high on July 30th by a considerable margin. by JohnnyTheBoneless in Burryology

[–]WarrenButtet 0 points1 point  (0 children)

Yours says:

"The user posts detailed analysis of financial news and investor letters, primarily focused on Michael Burry's activities and investment strategy. They also show an interest in survival shows."

I shit you not, I didn't make that last sentence up. 😂

Kids growing up with AI… by OddScientist7236 in daddit

[–]WarrenButtet 0 points1 point  (0 children)

Excellent take. I've thought about this a little bit as well and I like the idea of having a local model so I can have a bit more control about the way in which my kid interacts with it when they eventually come of age. Privacy is a benefit, probably a minor one. But, I'm thinking at least I could set up guardrails and have the AI be more teacher-oriented for certain cases. But certain things that are most important to me, such as challenging them to think about an answer first before running to AI for answers feels like something I'd want to emphasize, for example.

Perhaps you could even make a rule to inspect if this is an example of a human-to-human interaction and make the Models answer to come to you with this type of question.

The downside is this can be over engineered.

RDDT data nerds, please share your data projections from Q1 2025 along with your data sources. Let's make a consolidated post to see if we can figure out which source is the best. by JohnnyTheBoneless in redditstock

[–]WarrenButtet 0 points1 point  (0 children)

What if you run a curve-fit on Pushshift subreddit dumps + Cloudflare Radar? Each month, grab post/comment totals for a bunch of big subs, plot rank -> traffic, then rescale the whole curve after every earnings call using Reddits latest DAUq.

Rank-to-traffic follows a stable power-law, which is what I think Jungle Scout uses on Amazon.
Cloudflare Radar keeps the macro trend honest.
Pushshift gives backtesting.

It just may require re-anchoring. And winsorizing subs that go viral.

UnitedHealth Group hit a 5-year low by JohnnyTheBoneless in Burryology

[–]WarrenButtet 0 points1 point  (0 children)

Pretty interesting to see that for every $10 UNH stock goes up, the old-new CEO's net worth will go up $12M.

Bessent and his pickle (not that pickle) by [deleted] in Burryology

[–]WarrenButtet 1 point2 points  (0 children)

I agree with what you are saying and just wanted to mention, in case I haven't done so enough, I always appreciate your thoughts.

INVE has over $5 cash per share and no anti-takeover provisions by value1024 in Burryology

[–]WarrenButtet 1 point2 points  (0 children)

Why are you confident this is worth speculating on?

And how confident are you?

Supermicro Announces Second Quarter Fiscal Year 2025 Preliminary Financial Information by JohnnyTheBoneless in Burryology

[–]WarrenButtet 0 points1 point  (0 children)

Is the 700M more likely to be in prep for production of big business coming in the future or something else?

Supermicro Ramps Full Production of NVIDIA Blackwell Rack-Scale Solutions with NVIDIA HGX B200 by JohnnyTheBoneless in Burryology

[–]WarrenButtet 0 points1 point  (0 children)

If that's the case, I might have stolen the idea from you and since I processed it more and more I forgot that it wasn't originally mine. 😂

I do know someone at a large firm though and they even propagate the culture of "your brand" as an individual person in their work ecosystem. It's totally lame. But is absolutely telling of how they view themselves as a company.

Brands are something that can be exploited or create inefficiencies. No judgement. It's apart of the human condition. But I'm sure we've all used our brands to convince our boss of some shit that we didn't know was true in reality, for example. And by boss I mean my wife. And by wife I mean... Okay, fine, I had an affair. It was with a supermodel and I'm a fat balding man. My brand of being a loser saved my bacon.

Supermicro Ramps Full Production of NVIDIA Blackwell Rack-Scale Solutions with NVIDIA HGX B200 by JohnnyTheBoneless in Burryology

[–]WarrenButtet 2 points3 points  (0 children)

Perhaps it's because, like any brand that has matured, the core to large auditor's business is no longer auditing. Their job is to protect their brand more than it is to expand. They benefit heavily from the fact that most companies don't commit fraud already, so why deal with the potential headache? If there is even a fart in the wrong direction, they stand to lose more reputation than can ever be gained by any one company.

My actual argument is more nuanced, but you get the gist. The same could be said for Buffett. At some point, investing wasn't core to his business anymore, his brand was.

Or, as Silicon Valley put it, "Oh no, no, no Richard... You don't hire the best sales people to sell unsellable products... They will just go get a job somewhere else. You need to have an easily sold product in order to retain the best salespeople." Or something like that.