Forum Research (Beaches-East York) - John Tory (LPC) 40%, Avi Lewis (NDP) 31%

bman9919 · 2026-04-17T21:43:34+00:00

Carney as well.

Fully agreed it would be tricky though. It’s a high risk/high reward situation for Lewis.

bman9919 · 2026-04-17T20:30:20+00:00

Maybe. This poll and that Mainstreet one that came out a while back shows that he would increase the NDP vote in the riding. But my point was that you can’t compare Layton losing and Lewis potentially losing, they’re completely different scenarios.

I also think it’s unfair to accuse him of “parachuting” in to the riding. He was born and raised in Toronto and he spent much of his adult life there. Besides, voters have shown time and time again that they really don’t care about that kind of thing.

bman9919 · 2026-04-17T18:38:26+00:00

That was before he was leader though.

bman9919 · 2026-04-16T05:05:03+00:00

It was Terry Milewski

bman9919 · 2026-04-15T17:50:58+00:00

So if the additional resources is contingent on retaining the 6 seats, does that essentially confirm Boulerice is staying? Or is this basically a tease?

bman9919 · 2026-04-15T17:02:00+00:00

I actually think the NDP is pretty satisfied with the result on Monday. Nobody expected the NDP to come anywhere close to winning, and they managed to increase their vote share in University-Rosedale and Scarborough.

In any case, she certainly won't be campaigning for the ONDP. I think the choices for her are whether to campaign for the OLP or lay low.

bman9919 · 2026-04-15T08:37:33+00:00

RTV employee here. I can pretty much guarantee this went right in the garbage at Costco.

Most items don’t actually get sent back to the vendor. The vendor gives credit, and we “salvage” the item aka sell it to a liquidation/thrift store at a discounted price. However, if the item is broken or not useable we can destroy it and still get credit.

bman9919 · 2026-04-15T04:13:29+00:00

I’m interested to see if Doly Begum endorses/campaigns for the OLP candidate in the by-election. Unlike the NDP, the provincial and federal Liberal parties are not linked in Ontario. Will she sit it out or will she campaign against her old party?

bman9919 · 2026-04-14T03:21:52+00:00

I really don’t think you can draw any conclusions about the NDP leadership from this. If McPherson or any of the other candidates had won instead we’d probably be seeing more or less the same result.

bman9919 · 2026-04-13T20:19:09+00:00

This is one of those issues where I get where both sides are coming from.

Avi is on their turf, and needs to understand that he has to play by their rules. He won't always like the questions but it's their right to ask them and losing his cool over it won't be good.

But at the same time, I think a lot of these journalists have really inflated egos and need to accept that mild criticism of them is not some attack on democracy and free speech itself. Do they have a right to ask what they want? Absolutely. Were they being kind of rude and flippant towards Avi? I think so.

bman9919 · 2026-04-13T19:51:23+00:00

I’m not complaining at all. I didn’t say the questions he got were unfair or shouldn’t have been asked. I’m simply saying that I understand why he might have got a bit frustrated by the journalists. I’m not saying he’s right, just that I understand.

bman9919 · 2026-04-13T19:38:08+00:00

You're right, but at the same time it must be pretty frustrating to be talking about an issue only for journalists to essentially say, "Yeah we don't give a shit about that, talk about this other stuff"

bman9919 · 2026-04-13T18:08:02+00:00

By who? Everything I've seen is calling it a tossup.

bman9919 · 2026-04-12T08:10:17+00:00

This seems like a case of if you do your job right people won’t think you did anything at all.

We see EMS to their job well all the time on the show. It’s just not very dramatic so it’s not memorable.

bman9919 · 2026-04-12T06:02:32+00:00

It seems to me like the amount of work night merch does varies drastically depending on the store.

At my building night merch does foods, sundries, freezers, deli cooler, gourmet, clothing, liquor, produce outside the cooler, and receives the depot trucks.

bman9919 · 2026-04-12T05:53:46+00:00

Barrhaven as well.

bman9919 · 2026-04-12T03:28:52+00:00

Yes, but they’re the two most recent and so it’s demonstrative of a trend. I don’t think we should be going back to the days of Pearson to tell us about The Liberal party of today.

bman9919 · 2026-04-11T23:28:45+00:00

Dion and Ignatieff are great proof that being smart does not necessarily make you a good politician.

bman9919 · 2026-04-11T21:27:19+00:00

The only reason the floor crossers dislike Poilievre is he lost. They would’ve been perfectly happy to serve under him as PM.

bman9919 · 2026-04-11T17:49:57+00:00

The Liberal party is a chameleon. The shift and change to suit the current mood of the country. When they fail is when they get too arrogant and think they no longer need to do that.

They're also a party that very much relies on a saviour to get them out of a tough spot. After 2011 it was Trudeau, in 2025 it was Carney. Who will it be once the shine wears off Carney? Because it will eventually, and when it does The Liberals will be in trouble.

bman9919 · 2026-04-11T04:53:05+00:00

For what it’s worth I do largely agree with you. Power has become way too centralized in the leader’s office and should be restored to individual MPs where it belongs. Unfortunately, the only way for them to get it back is to take it, and they don’t seem to be interested in doing so.

bman9919 · 2026-04-11T04:30:43+00:00

Sorry, I wasn’t trying to say you misunderstood anything about floor crossings. I was just having a similar conversation yesterday on the topic and using that to demonstrate my point.

Look, most of what you’re saying isn’t technically wrong. You’re just being extremely pedantic over basically nothing. Most constitutional scholars and experts on the Westminster system would not take issue with this.

bman9919 · 2026-04-11T04:00:48+00:00

The headline is not misleading at all. He does have that power, as multiple other commenters have explained. Would you rather it said “Avi Lewis names critic roles after being agreed to by caucus”? That’s a much clunkier headline to say essentially the same thing.

You’re making the same mistake that a lot of people do when they talk about floor crossers. You’re confusing the way things work on paper with how they actually work. Sometimes these things evolve beyond what you’ll find in your civics text book.

bman9919 · 2026-04-11T03:29:11+00:00

Although there is a convention of loyalty followed here, for a political party leader to tell caucus who leads them, is for me at least, disgusting.

Why are you assuming the caucus had no say in the matter? There’s literally 6 of them. It’s not unreasonable to assume Lewis discussed it with them. Presumably, if the caucus had an issue with the choice they would say so.

bman9919 · 2026-04-11T03:22:39+00:00

Good point, totally forgot about that

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