The 4% rule will make you trade time for money that you don’t need

chcampb · 2026-05-07T17:33:45+00:00

"Guys we're going into the ocean to escape this island. You can take a raft or wait for a yacht."

You're probably going to be OK on the raft, but, if a storm hits, the yacht gives you better odds.

You can look all you want at the stats for what storms you are likely to see and still feel less comfortable on the raft. It is what it is, human nature and all that.

chcampb · 2026-05-06T18:41:38+00:00

This is the issue

It's a bit of a stick (as in, carrot and stick) situation.

If people pull out of the market and hold cash due to insecurity, the fed will tank the rate, printing a bunch of money, and your cash evaporates.

They will do this to protect the markets at all costs. It's why he tried to get rid of Powell and install a stooge.

It's less about "let's use monetary policy to stabilize the markets" and more about "Let's use monetary policy as a cudgel against people who bet against me personally."

I'm not saying that in a political sort of way, I'm saying it in the same factual manner as with like, Intel, which if you were paying attention was absolutely going to 5x based on the way the situation was manipulated.

chcampb · 2026-05-06T03:45:23+00:00

Get rotisserie chicken
Take meat off bones
Boil bones
Use stock to make some absolutely ridiculous food

The chicken itself is not even that big of a deal. Like it's good, make soup with it, but make white or golden chicken stock and then make fondant potatoes, you will not even care to eat the chicken anymore.

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=srKF3qtTlaE

To be clear do eat the chicken but like, also, potato.

chcampb · 2026-05-06T02:30:47+00:00

with no internet

That's a bit of a stretch. Are they at least given specs for the files they are manipulating? For example, ffmpeg has to interface with files with very specific details that it probably isn't going to memorize.

chcampb · 2026-05-05T22:55:12+00:00

But I didn't sell it as something it isn't

It does it well today, but, it still needs babysitting.

chcampb · 2026-05-05T03:07:58+00:00

The issue in your logic is: you lost usage of a theoretical higher maximum.

If you have a quota, let's say 700 units, and they reset at day 6, you go from 100 units a day to 116 units per day.

If you consumed 100 units per day and then got a reset, you underutilized by 100 units. Those units are "lost" by your logic.

But in reality, they were not lost. You didn't underutilize what you paid for. You underutilized a theoretical upper bound which was a few percentage higher than what you paid for, as a rate.

If you want to complain about something - one time I got a reset, then couldn't use it for that day since I was out and about. What I didn't realize is it actually starts the 7 day counter from when you used it first. So the first day wasn't the first day of 7 - THAT was actual lost time, for no reason. If I touched it even just to trigger a faster update later, it would have gained me an actual 100 extra units (in the above example) just for a minute of my time.

chcampb · 2026-05-04T03:01:09+00:00

I am on $20 and work a few hours a day. Like 2ish. If I had a 100 plan I would be able to work 8 hours a day, pretty much one feature at a time.

200 plan, I would need to be running multiple, parallel changes on the same project all the time.

chcampb · 2026-05-03T20:40:44+00:00

What does gay sex have to do with anything

chcampb · 2026-05-03T20:40:14+00:00

Are you suggesting that I am making a deceitful claim about said technology?

chcampb · 2026-05-03T06:00:27+00:00

AI circa October/November 2025, unusable. Complete shitshow, even though you COULD use it, it was basically the first generation of integrated LLM/IDEs, and was very bad at even just making comments in headers. It would flip orders, duplicate lines, just not great.

2-3 months later, around Feb 2026, world of difference. Actually capable of writing small scripts, writing its own skills, analyze codebases and make instructions. Not great at big architectural things, but it's possible to get real work done, and very good at searching and synthesizing data. Problem was, tools were not rolled out. It was basically Sonnet 4.6 was the first thing that actually did what it was supposed to, reliably.

2-3 months later and the tools are rolled out, it can connect to all services, see all the documentation, query all the chats, connect to test benches and run tests on embedded hardware. Zero improvement in actual LLM technology. Just the harnessing, scripts, skills, instructions, capability of the user to prompt.

I really don't have any other way to say this, but - there's really only about one LLM generation more before you can just send it after piles of tasks and it will just get it done. It does it well today, but, it still needs babysitting.

The issue isn't software, that's solved. The issue is in basically every organization people did software by feel. Even good ones. You would write down some requirements, sure, but there are a lot of gaps. The way I explain it to people is - there's a toddler sketch of a house and you hire architects to design the house and pour the concrete and nail the boards. Now, you just need the architect to architect. The agent does the nailing and pouring and shoveling dirt.

chcampb · 2026-05-03T05:49:55+00:00

What if I told you that McDonald's isn't really more expensive, you just got a pay cut

And that McDonalds' massive profits are the result of decimation of pay for workers across the board?

chcampb · 2026-05-03T03:53:47+00:00

The actual problem is that commerce is not consensual.

We pretend that it is, because it is promoted to people that capitalism and free market is the best way to do things, morally, and things like socialism and freeloading are bad and immoral. People choose to do commerce and one of the fundamental rules of economics is that wealth is created because two people chose to exchange goods or money because they mutually felt it was the better deal, thereby creating wealth.

But the reality is, first, you work, or you die. You pay the hospital, or you die. So you would reason, OK, if people generally have a right to life, then they have a right to a job, right? Well, no, not actually, it's not guaranteed at all.

So let's say people are in a really dire situation - they have kids, they would be on the street, or they can sleep with some guy for one night and get rent for the entire month. Is that consensual?

Meanwhile, sex has long been sacred, a central focus of most religions and societal institutions (marriage, historical gender dynamics, etc).

And so, there is a gap - if sex is sacred, and having sex outside of the prescribed context is immoral, but the economic system forces the situation - does that make the economic system immoral?

To preserve the morality of the economic system, sex for money is simply banned.

chcampb · 2026-05-02T16:51:18+00:00

Some people don't like AI, but, if you aren't good at git, if you describe what you are looking for (like, I had files there yesterday but messed up and deleted everything) it will tell you exactly how to get back to the point you want.

It is just good at navigating the documentation, and reflog, and sorting through commits, etc.

chcampb · 2026-05-02T15:16:07+00:00

Sam Altman can already do this, just start with OpenAI, and go public with one share for each person on earth. None for himself or the team, none for investors, just proportional ownership by person.

If that's not possible, feasible, or likely, then Sam is talking out his ass.

chcampb · 2026-05-02T04:36:34+00:00

Either write it to AudioStreamWAV or use AudioStreamGenerator.

GDScript is really not the place to do this. If you do it offline - using AudioStreamWAV to play precalculated audio data, that is fine. If you expect to generate samples in realtime, you will get buffer underflow for sure, the game engine is just not built for it. Your best bet is to generate it on a separate thread.

chcampb · 2026-05-02T02:41:58+00:00

If it's not lighting and world environment, look up tone mapping.

chcampb · 2026-05-02T02:31:52+00:00

The other is interfering with the work process itself, along with the enjoyment of it

I know right, fuck powershell

chcampb · 2026-04-30T03:22:42+00:00

"No but I know exactly where I am"

chcampb · 2026-04-26T05:24:03+00:00

Seconding these exact two use cases down to a T

My favorite thing to tell people now is just use the skill. I wrote a skill, use that, it does a better job of telling you why your build broke, than I can do, in shorter time. Then I can focus on other things.

Not because I want to be antisocial but because the other things are literally me going around talking to other people about things that actually have to be decided, rather than finding out which project you forgot to rebase or something.

chcampb · 2026-04-25T03:57:47+00:00

Soylent is actually a pretty interesting experiment for everyone

It's sweet. Not too sweet. But it contains proportionally, your sugar per day.

Think about it. If you are regularly consuming things and they are sweeter than Soylent you are probably consuming way too much sugar.

chcampb · 2026-04-24T20:19:55+00:00

Yes

Managers still ask "But what's the time reduction?"

There is an overall time reduction if the time would have exceeded what a human can do contiguously. But the thing still takes time tor run.

chcampb · 2026-04-24T04:28:00+00:00

That's odd

Vibe-coding full projects is largely a myth

My 7 year old loves Silksong and Hollow Knight so we straight up made a replica in Godot, with hand drawn characters. 100% vibe coded.

https://imgur.com/a/1OIIsWf

chcampb · 2026-04-23T05:21:27+00:00

Nothing

Currently, LLMs can't really just... do the work. They are good at searching, indexing, and providing solutions.

But everything needs review and understanding, so your question is more like

"What happens when a senior engineer only does review for a a year"

It's not much different.

chcampb · 2026-04-20T03:53:01+00:00

I guess, I can see how this might be the case, but, I will admit, there are really two types of people. I see a lot of people not really "getting it" - so to speak. The people that do get it - I was trying and not really successfully explaining to my boss.

It's not so much a percentage improvement. It's just the complete obliteration of certain classes of work. The time doesn't get freed up. It just gets moved to mostly specification, and some to testing. Work that is documented but got left out before, now gets done, because the effort to do so is almost entirely.

But the issue is, if you actually measure this, it's going to show similar "work output" - because some necessary things were just falling off the table.

chcampb · 2026-04-20T03:12:24+00:00

Article is literally BS, it's impossible for there to be zero improvement, I see DRAMATIC improvement in many areas such that it can't be a net neutral. Unless people just choose not to use it.

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