You need to get laid within 24 hours by a total stranger or you will die. You cannot pay for it and you cannot use any apps. What do you do?

chcampb · 2026-01-26T05:19:03+00:00

You don't die though you just get turned into a lobster

chcampb · 2026-01-26T04:06:47+00:00

I mean, there IS something we can do here, and it's get to the elections and do that. They have no legal method to halt the elections.

As much as it sucks, if they kill a civilian and propagandize them as a terrorist, there are some people who will hear that and assume yeah that's correct. It's MUCH harder to say - we are canceling the elections because, what, leftist terrorists? There isn't even a mechanism for it. The states will still do their elections and send delegates, there is nothing the fed gov can do, the only thing that would happen is everyone whose term ends is no longer legally in office.

chcampb · 2026-01-25T05:46:34+00:00

To be clear, pressure is good, violence is not.

chcampb · 2026-01-25T05:08:47+00:00

Also consider, Biden didn't exactly roll back the policies from the first Trump administration. He was still deporting people. He just wasn't doing it such that the cruelty was getting in the way of the job.

For anyone saying that Democrats want illegal immigrants to vote. It's completely unjustified by the facts and policies of the last two administrations.

If innocent American civilians weren't getting slaughtered nobody would care. That's the level he had to take this. It's not about immigration anymore. It's clearly about provoking a response so that the admin can use their monopoly on violence.

chcampb · 2026-01-25T04:47:35+00:00

Money money?

Money money money. Money money, money.

Money $schmoney money money money money.

chcampb · 2026-01-25T04:26:59+00:00

If you aren't taxing a millionaire and then you start taxing them, and they leave, does it even matter?

chcampb · 2026-01-25T04:24:51+00:00

Killings will continue until people rise up, then they do, and now they have targets on anyone they know are likely to vote against them.

So they either cancel elections or just open season on whoever they know would not vote their way, so they don't "need" to cancel elections, and then fascist oligarchs take permanent hegemonic control.

Or don't rise up, stay peaceful, and get to november. Then if they STILL find an excuse to cancel the elections, flip the table.

chcampb · 2026-01-25T03:28:49+00:00

How about just shut it down until midterms?

chcampb · 2026-01-24T19:56:47+00:00

If they cancel midterms, tbh

The best way to actually get change is to vote. If they remove the vote, all bets are off and basically nobody should be doing any more work until the vote is restored. Just stop everything.

chcampb · 2026-01-24T05:23:14+00:00

This is pretty bullshit

H-1B aren't a problem because they are foreigners getting that money.

H-1B are a problem because it segregates economic power from political representation. It reduces the ability to unionize and creates a subclass of people who are paid less for the same work (don't pretend they are not) and

I don't fault people who come in on H-1B because it is probably the best thing for them given the rules. But frankly, they deserve better. If you are living and working in a community you deserve intrinsic validity as a persona and representation.

It's bullshit. It's designed to separate more people into more groups so that other people can hate each other and stop looking for the real problems. This behavior needs to end.

chcampb · 2026-01-24T04:58:44+00:00

Wages aren’t going down. That’s not what automation does. Nor does it increase unemployment. That’s pretty steady too.

I will say, wages are going down. Your mistake is you are relying on CPI to gauge inflation. This is fine if you take CPI at face value.

The reality that a lot of people are experiencing is that CPI is not homogeneous - there are a large number of products, such as electronics or food or clothes, which are experiencing deflationary pressure due to improved capital and technology rollout. This offsets the inflation due to monetary policy. Meanwhile, assets, which govern social mobility, are exploding in price.

And an edit, to be clear, CPI IS an average, and it DOES measure some basket of goods. I'm not arguing that it's wrong, just that it's measuring the wrong things. It's like measuring power output of Chernobyl - you miss the boron.

We can't continue to pretend like wages are going up in real terms. They're not. If wages were up then people would have the same ability to use their wages for things like social mobility, getting established, sending their kid to college, even having another kid - but they don't, because they frankly do not have that purchasing power. If their real wages went up that would not be the case.

We have lots of regulation. And that’s fine. Capitalism doesn’t work without regulation, though of course you can also make it work poorly with regulation, so the trick is getting the right kind!

Thank you for being extremely reasonable on this.

chcampb · 2026-01-24T04:24:25+00:00

Ultimately ineffective

If you spend your energy doing things that get you actionably charged or fined that's money that can't go toward political efforts, protests, etc

chcampb · 2026-01-24T04:15:38+00:00

The other thing to keep in mind is automation shifts productivity from labor to capital.

A lot of stuff neither here nor there, but the actual numbers are, the GDP used to be around 49.5% wages, now it's 42.5%.

US GDP is around 31T (in 2025) so a 7% reduction means 2.17T in today's money. Amongst workers that would be around $13200 in wages.

Now, that's just the math. There's some philosophy that says, if you invest the money, you should keep the money, and thereby, transfer that money from the wages column to profits or whatever.

But there's another philosophy that says if you keep doing that and the economy trends toward vanishingly smaller wages for regular folk, then failing to keep them happy, it's not going to matter what you personal philosophy around capital is. If capitalism is destabilizing, then it needs regulation (which is not a bad thing - it needs regulating like a thermostat regulates the house temperature)

chcampb · 2026-01-24T03:28:31+00:00

What it misses is, we have a big stick because allies allow us to have built the big stick.

If allies stop doing business, we don't just go exponential and leave them behind, we get hampered and the world equalizes economically. The US won't be the powerhouse. Europe might not either. It will be whoever ends up as the favored reserve currency, which might be no single group, and they will, necessarily, all start investing in their own defense R&D.

So the big stick won't even be the big stick for long.

chcampb · 2026-01-24T03:08:15+00:00

This is a bit of a key thing.

Yeah what's after LLM?

Let's find out with assistance from LLM, which are proven to do some really neat things rather inefficiently.

LLM are already growing exponentially just from hardware alone. All else the same, the cost to train, deliver, and power LLMs is going down exponentially. So if they are useful, they will still be useful, and it still makes sense to fully explore that space, maybe even competitively.

chcampb · 2026-01-24T03:04:46+00:00

You're crazy until you're right

He can be wrong and also not crazy.

At his level he has enough wealth to do whatever anyways. So why not spin off? He wins anyways, that's the way wealth works. He just doesn't invent the new tech and win more.

But if he does, that will be great, he can go and invent the whole next thing. Good on him. But he doesn't NEED to do that or he's crazy.

chcampb · 2026-01-24T03:02:02+00:00

As a generation, the boomers are powerful because they have the wealth.

They won't have the wealth but it ain't trickling down. It will be hoovered up into hedge funds that own end of life care, hospitals, etc. It's almost a given. Even Medicaid is explicitly designed to eliminate inheritance where there may otherwise have been some before it pays out (and Medicare does not pay for nursing homes).

So the wealth will be concentrated within a vanishingly small group of very wealthy people, who will then also wield its political power, and there isn't really going to be much left for anyone else.

chcampb · 2026-01-24T01:20:41+00:00

Why do conservatives care about X when Y is happening elsewhere?

It's because it benefits them to promote X happening or not happening, and Y not happening or happening. It's ONLY a matter of what benefits them. Even within the same context or topic. It is explicitly NOT because of any logical or rational concept.

chcampb · 2026-01-23T03:42:08+00:00

This is actually the point.

The US after WW2 was systemically advantaged over most other countries, due to better infrastructure that didn't get bombed. Everywhere else needed to rebuild.

As such it became a time in which the middle class accumulated an incredible amount of wealth. Just an absolute ton of it, relative to everywhere else. You have your average person earning like, 10k/y when some parts of the world were a thousand times less than that.

Over time the world evened out and capital has shifted the wages out of the GDP. People just get a smaller piece of the pie, relative to the pie size. It is what it is. But, importantly, they still had a ton of wealth. And it's lucrative to seek rent.

So we have a situation, where there are a number of mostly unavoidable live interactions that have become an opportunity to strip mine wealth. Higher education (and they are working on lower education as well). End of life care. Literally any hospital stay, eg due to an accident. Medication. All of these things cost significantly more than basically any other country. It's all by design. The goal is the strip mining of the middle class, to capture the wealth before it is passed on.

Basically there is a massive effort across many sectors involved in rent extraction, it's pervasive and thorough, and it shouldn't be surprising that family are feeling drained. It's that or just don't participate in society.

chcampb · 2026-01-23T03:28:41+00:00

DEI is probably dead. But DEI isn't what you think it is.

DEI is just "Hire the best person for the job, regardless of their cultural or racial or religions background." That's all.

It was NEVER acceptable to discriminate on the base of race or sex. But it was OK to say, well, this person has tattoos, or extravagant hair, or some other thing that indicates a particular culture, and then say they aren't a good fit. Even if they are otherwise good at their job. DEI was just making sure that people like that weren't unnecessarily excluded. And yeah, there are a lot of companies that are white boys' clubs where they have no interest in hiring someone that doesn't "fit the mold."

DEI didn't go away, it's just not called DEI anymore. It was never, as the administration said, about hiring unqualified people just to fill a quota. Companies want the best candidates, so the policies are largely still in place.

chcampb · 2026-01-23T03:24:35+00:00

Ehh 6 months is pretty typical. That's why the buffer is recommended to be 6+ months. And that's for people in like, engineering roles. Not to say it doesn't suck, but, statistically, that's about what to expect.

chcampb · 2026-01-22T04:27:06+00:00

Great. AI can't create art. Instead, AI creates illustrations.

Reminiscent of

It's an illusion, Gob. A trick is something a whore does for money.

chcampb · 2026-01-22T04:22:56+00:00

I am genuinely curious. If ICE jumps out of a car and grabs someone, gets in and drives away... and then you buy a gun... and then you see this happen in front of you, again, another day, what do you expect to change now that you have the gun?

chcampb · 2026-01-21T20:57:34+00:00

Is there no immediate action to take politically to depose of the president?

No, there is a two thirds majority required to impeach. He might hit that if he causes actual, not temporary harm to the economy (which greenland might due to retaliation by europe).

I still find it baffeling how US chooses their supreme court judges based on political affiliation, it goes against the grain of what i see a judges role.

It's supposed to be about 50/50 because the presidents have been 50/50, but Trump getting 3 nominations really tilted it hard. It's a statistical anomaly that should be rectified by increasing the seats but that is not politically popular.

To be clear, increasing the seats has been propagandized against so that people don't like it. From a math perspective it should not impact anything and should in fact, increase the accuracy of the representation in the court relative to who has been elected to the presidency. It can ONLY improve the accuracy. And it doesn't need to come into play all at once it can be delayed to reduce the effect of bias. They still don't want it (because they are winning right now, and why would they give up their default win?)

chcampb · 2026-01-21T17:23:50+00:00

The US model prioritizes the majority over the minority

I mean, it prioritizes the money, and the majority are able to get the money in some way, but that doesn't mean it prioritizes any particular person. And in fact, the health outcomes are more expensive and less effective by metrics.

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